CAT Puts

Last week Deere dipped on a lousy earning's report but rebounded. I wasted part of last Friday watching the stock going up, to timid too play it for the upside and yet smart enough not to try and play it to the downside. Deere afterall is 68.58% owned by institutional investors who pay big bucks to get the best and the lastest insider's reports. They were told the stock should go up. Here is a five day chart as of February 18th around 11:00 a.m. which is now two trading days after last Friday's big rally. The stock continues to go up. . How lousy was it? It was really bad. Caterpillar also recently had a really bad (not just poor) earning's report. The economy is on the verge of a recession. Farmers are not buying tractors. Read this. Scary stuff right? Sales down 30% year over year. "A shaky backdrop for consumers". Shaky is not an inspiring word for an executive of the company to be using. With new tariffs on the way and steel prices on the verge of costing...

Let me spill out some information. Next-Generation Investors Are Different. An organization called "Finra" published this information. In a 2021 survey the Finra Investor Education Foundation found that 36% of respondents aged 18 t0 34 said they have traded options. That compares with 21% of respondents ages 35 to 54 and just 8% of respondents age 55 and older. Then there are crypto investors. According to something called a Pew Research survey based on Feb 2024 data, 42% of men aged 18-29 have invested in, traded, or used cryptocurrency compared with 17% of women in the same age range. Interestly, just 17% of all adults say they have invested in, traded, or used a cryptocurrency, according to the same 2024 survey. When it comes to buying on margin,in 2021, just under of a quarter, or 23%, of investors ages 18 to 34 said they have made purcheses on margin, compared with 12% of respondents aged 34 to 54 and 3% of respondents age 55 and older. Opening accounts is now easier and...

Electric motorcycles - what a great concept. A blast to drive. But wait. They are not really practical because of their range and they are terribly expensive to purchase. Yet if a person had lots of money, a three or four car garage and two or three motorcycles already in it then why not add one of these models to your collection to spice up the mix? Why wait, why not buy one now? One question lingers in the air. Would buying one of this year's models be a trap knowing that next years model or the model the year after that might cost slightly less and most likely to be both superior in design and offer additional driving range? (current mixed use riding is 152 km and more if just in the city). As an example it was announced back in January that another new model was being offered to their product lineup. Maybe adding new models way to add creditability to the voyage they now find themselves on. If anyone is going to build one, who is it going to be? Harley Davidson would seem to be...

It doesn't really matter which stock it is but sometimes a chart formation like this tells you in advance something is going to happen. This time it is McDonalds. Here is what is cooking. So what is the stock formation I am talking about? I call it the "step-up-formation" chart for lack of better words. Last Thursday it stepped up and then held it's gain all day Friday. That's an important ingredient of a "step-up-formation". There was no faultering and then there was instant action to the upside on the following Monday morning! Now a look at this stock on Tuesday at around noon. Everything that's going to happen from here on in are just crumbs in comparison to what just happened but look at this Tuesday mornings action. The very moment a large block of shares traded (you can the spike on the chart) two analyst came out with these following remarks. Go figure. The end.