CAT Puts

Let's jump right in. It's Monday morning and here is how the 12 series of Ford Calls that are expiring this coming Friday are starting the week. The "bid-and-ask" on the stock was down about $.05 cents in the premarkets. The markets are sometimes slow to get going after a weekend. If the stock opened lower in sympathy with the markets opening lower, how low could this $.27 premium trade down to? Would they then be a good buy if they dropped to like $.19? They do afterall still have five full days of trading like left in them. Now this, today's action. It was nothing to crazy. The stock only moved up $.03 or three cents on entire the day. This printout is not pretty but it tells you a lot of stuff. 1) The low of the day. It was $.11 or eleven dollars a contract at around 11 a.m. Yes the stock sputtered a touch, then it moved up again. 2) Look at the high of the day, $.27 or twenty seven dollars a contrct which is over a double from the low of the day. 3) I am not...

The Nasdaq Composite index closed up 4.7% on the week. the S&P 500 index, was up 3.6% and the D.J.I.A.was up 3%. Given the elevated volatility levels options have become extremely expensive to buy. Here for example is how Avis Budget traded on Friday. At one point in the day the 300 series of Calls traded as high as $15.43 on the day. The stock never traded much ovee the $302.00 range. What an exorbitant premium forming part of this equation. ........ Now look at the prices on this week's upcoming Calls and Puts. ... What happened to the old days of paying $5.00 or $6.00 for one week out options on stocks in this price range? Look at how Caterpillar jumped on the week on no real news? Up like $83.00 from it's low of the week back on a Monday. Here now is what a one week out just slightly "out-of-the-money" 790 series of Puts is trading at. That's not as bad as the premiums on Avis Budget but look at Caterpillar's thirty day chart. Actually the stoc...

Back on April 2nd I did a blog called "Two Hour End Of Week Option Trading on Tesla". In that blog it was noted that Tesla dropped in price starting at 1:30 p.m. and 42 minutes later it was $5.95 lower in price, approaching the "must-get-out" at 3:00 p.m. mandated option deadline. Put option buyers getting in around 2:00 p.m. did well on their investments. (The stock was down $20.67 on the day). Here was it's chart on that day. It was a Thursday with Friday being Good Friday. Now let's fast forward to today's action, it being the following Friday. Tesla options had a tough start to the day. Here an example of what I am talking about. Look at the 347.50 series of Calls at 12:34 p.m. Are you able to see how they are down in price on the day? Down and dangerously "out-of-the-money". Now this. A look at how these same options closed out the day. They charged back upwards towards the close. The $140.00 option price we were looking at below is act...

Here is how it seems to be set up to go. How it all turns out might surprise you. We are expecting a slightly weak opening on the price on Ford's stock price this morning and on the D.J.I.A. index. Yes there is fresh news on the Ford Motor Company before the opening. They have announced yet another recall. This time it's for "wiper blade" issues on over 400,000 vehicles. That number is not a typing error. At least it's not a recall for engine or transmission problems. In an odd sort of way this news will help to get past customers back into their showrooms for like thirty minutes or so. The recall should be a quick, one time fix. It's still however going to cost them massive headaches to organize and millions of dollars. What an inconvience for a large number of drivers. Look at these two premarket readouts, the second one at 9:00 a.m. Can you see Ford's stock price trading down in the premarkets?. The question is how much will the 11.5 series of Calls d...

Tesla now has option series that expire on a Monday, Wednesday and Friday. A handfull of other stocks shown below have also switched to this same format. Before that they expired only once a week on Friday with traders often wondering if they should jump onboard Thursday seconds before the closing bell looking for a definitive move on the opening. With this new 'three-times-a-week" format traders will be watching the action on Fridays, prior to the markets closing, looking for Monday morning moves. This switchover started back on January 28th of this year. All of the stocks listed below were part of this new change. Now watch the wild action on one series of Tesla Calls today. First it's five day chart. Now it's early Monday morning chart. Look at how it has given up it's opening gain. Option traders who bought Call options just before the close last Friday had a morning opportunity to get out at a decent profit. Now this, a look at one series of its Call optio...

There is always news. War news. News on gas prices and news that Costco is trying to sue the government over tariff monies. Two weeks ago I mentioned a situation with Super Micro Computer. That stock really got beat up when a company officer was arrested. Now that news is slowly being shrugged off. Now this, the car leasing company Avis has a story. To better help explain what is happening let's look at it's five day chart. . What's going on? Articles are appearing saying that stocks in this sector are being boosted by TSA Airport chaos. Yet there has to be more news than that. Look at it's latest five day chart. Here now as shown below is how the 170 series of Calls last Friday closed out the day. On that day alone the stock closed up $20.35 dollars! Options trading at $4.00 jumped up to $21.00! Other stocks in the same sector remained relatively unchanged. The stock is now in nose bleeding territories. Obviously options on this stock will be hot potatoes this we...