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Caterpillar Is Misdirected.

It's five day and one day chart. It dipped on the opening this morning and the 'buy-on-the-dips' mentality won again. Like a $7.00 interday jump in one series of it's Call options as witnessed on the second chart below. Now it's 30 day chart. This is madness. How can a stock keep going up? Now this, a chart borrowed from a Caterpillar blog I posted on December 26th. That wasn't that long ago. It tells a different story. It shows Caterpillar dropping thirty dollars in one morning! So here we are now in a situation where Caterpillar is up $30.00 in three trading sessions. So here we are in the premarkets on Wednesday morning. Wednesdays can be good days for market reversals. Here are the 630 series of Puts that expire this Friday. The open interest in them as with all of Caterpillars options are very low. The stock given given it's premarket pricing is expected to open slightly lower than it's closing price. This $600.00 dollar pricing is in $U.S. ...

So Tesla Drops On The Opening On A Tuesday

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It's chart. A look at it's Calls. A look at Tesla a minute or two earlier. Can you jump in the play it for a rebound? These Calls are down 50% on the opening. So we are experiences early morning market jitters. Tesla was down $37.12 last week. That's like $5.00 everyday. Is looking for an upward reversal simply wishful thinking? Hold that thought. Now this, another shoe has fallen off. A new thought. 10:00 a.m. often times are for lack of better words "points of inflection" or better yet, "points or pre-inflections". There is no reason for the stock to stop dropping but computer buying programs might start to kick in willing to accept the obvious degree of risk. Is that at 10:07 a.m. what we are looking at now? The problem with rebounds like is that if the stock starts move up a touch it runs the risk of getting knocked down again. I don't like trading Tesla this early in the week with it's option series that expire this Friday. Let's w...

Exxon Under The Spotlight

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First it's five day chart and a look at how one series of it's Calls that expired that day (Friday) traded. They went up from their lows of the day by about nine-fold! Now let's look at it's one day chart that caused that kind of action to happen. It was a gamble because it involved an exercise of riding a Call option that was about to expire that same day. Notice it got off to a rough start before it began to take off on the upside. Our last blog on Boeing shared the same experience. What's going to happen this week? We have Trump bombing Venezuela. Given the expected volatilty to follow might this be a good opportunity to revisit last weeks blog (Dec 30th) on concept of doing an option straddle? Buy one Put and one Call on the same stock at the same time with the same expiry date and see what happens. In using this stategy (which once again in most instantaneous is a very stupid thing to do) the hope is that the stock will have a decent move in either direction ...

The Trade Of The Week

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Boeing Calls suprised on Friday. The stock dipped at 10:00 a.m. So did the Boeing "at-the-money" Calls at that exact time. I often talk about Boeing options, most usually in the context of purchasing one week out Call options on Boeing at 3:59:56 p.m. or 3:59:57 p.m. on Fridays "at market" looking for jump upwards on monday mornings. I also note that 10:00 a.m. as well as 12:00 a.m. are commonly periods of time in the trading sessions where reversals in stock prices can take place. This phenomena is not an illusion. In this instance, there was an opportunity to pay $20.00 per contract for one day Call options on Boeing that were expiring that day which ended up closing the day at $990.00 Your timing in doing this had to be spot on. In all fairness it is not everyday that Boeing jumps up almost 5% in one trading session. Call options on Boeing at that time which where "out-of-the-money" had even more extreme upward moves. I don't want to bore you howe...

Tesla Calls That Expire In 55 Minutes At The End Of The Week.

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First Tesla's five day chart going into Friday's mid afternoon. It's January 2nd on a Friday. Is it time to make another trade to end your week? Can you trade Telsa options that expire in one hour? How stupid can you be? That's one way to look at it. You can see it jumped upwards on the opening and then lost that gain. It is now off over $20.00 from it's morning high. On the surface it appears that there there is no quick way to make money on this situation. If there was everyone would be playing them. Hold that thought. Look at these Calls which now expire in 55 minutes (for retail traders on Friday's last day to expiring options expire at 3:00 p.m. and not 4:00 p.m.) and look at the open interest number from the previous day. Why does it only read 290 contracts. Doesn't that number seem small? Well it has to be remembered that yesterday the stock closed just over $12.00 higher in price than where it is now so these were at that time exp...

Netflix With One Day To Go. Also Boeing, Tesla And Caterpillar.

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Here is a one day chart showing how Neflix traded on December 31st 2025. It sold off on the opening and then had a decent rebound followed by a flat to down closing. January 1st was a holiday and options on it expire on Friday, January 2nd. Now look at a chart of how the 93 series of Calls that expire tomorrow (January 2nd) traded on the previous trading day December 31st. At one point in the day they rallied only then to sell off again. Here now is the same chart from a different provider. Let's put a bold spin on things. Let's move up the price point by $1.00 to the 94 dollar price level and put a new spin on things. Will the 94 series of Calls with one day to go jump on the opening January 2nd which is tomorrow? Why the 94 series and not the 93 series? Well it's hoping for a rebound from three prior days of falling markets. Here they are. Both of the series we are showing are slightly "out-of-the money" one day Calls. Both need a sizeable morning bounce to p...