CAT Puts

Let me share some of it's backpages. I am not going to show you too many insights but a few which you might find of interest. The first reading is of Feb21st 2026 showing two things. First it talks about how many people are on the site at any given time (in this case around 8:00 p.m. on Feb 16th) and their locations around the globe. Four viewers were from the U.S. and I can tell which cities they were in. One person from England and one from Sweden were also online with no city names attached. If hits are coming from a from a big country like China they will tell me the actual city however with small countries they don't. Then there is the list of which countries bring in the most readers. Canada is usually higher on the list. There is always a battle between Canada and the U.S. with the U.S. usually winning but not always. Here is that map of the world I am talking about. Russia is not lit up however it is sometimes is. Austrilia doesn't seem to care about North Amerci...

Since the start of the year I have done 9 blogs on Tesla, 8 blogs on Caterpillar, 6 blogs on Eli Lilly, 5 blogs on Exxon and less on others. Guess which stock fascinates me the most for option trading? The answer is Exxon and I want to share with you one of the most dramatic one day option price swings I have witnessed this year. It affected as you might guess "last-day-to-expiring options'. It happened yesterday on February 20th which was a Friday and it happened with it's one day Put options. What do I know about the world energy situation and the complexities of oil tankers circling the world? Not much. I do have two good friends in the oil business who don't know each other but they both say the same thing. They don't talk about business that much but say things are good when the price of oil is down and say things are bad when the price of oil is up. They both seem to work like six months a year overseas and they both are avid soccer fans. They bet on soccer ...

Tesla has moved sideways all week. That is unusual. Here is what the markets are doing. Now it's morning trading chart and two series of it's options late in the morning. It's 11:51 a.m.. There is also more action in the Calls than the Puts as there always is. Call holders were rewarded in the early morning trading action. Now a different way to present the same material. Now this action on the Calls and Puts a few minutes later at 12:30 p.m. or 31 minutes after our first reading. The Puts have gone from $1.44 to $3.48. Here is how Tesla closed the day. If you could do one trade a week like this you would be a happy camper. ** See my February 13th blog about Telsa dropping on a Friday afternoon.

Read my last blog. Yesterday John Deere shot up to the sky. Will there be a fallout today? That's the current question. The first printout shows the 645 series of Calls at 10:17 a.m. There was some action early in the morning. These options expire today. Look at this printout. The Call options crashed on the opening and then rebounded. I can explain better what happened by showing both it's five day and one day chart. Can you see the massive jump it had yesterday? Now can you see on the printout below how it dipped on the opening at 9:40.00 a.m. to 647.05? That's when the 645 Calls dipped down to $6.00 before jumping back up again and doubling in price. One has to now wonder if the 9:40 a.m. reversal was a computer generated/Ai move given that it happened at exactly 9:30 a.m. So now what? Let's look at the current chart above and think about whether or not we want to buy the Puts to catch what looks like to be a fall. Here is one series to consider. At 10:18 a.m. wo...

If it jumped this much can you purchase a Put $8.69 "out-of-the-money" at 10:09 a.m. shown below that expires tomorrow in the hopes that some of the froth comes out of this stock? How do you jump in to play the downside with any confidence? Is a reversal imminent? It becomes a question of waiting it out to see when it tops out. There are other stocks we can look at for guidance in what to expect. The entire trading community has their eyes on this situation. When G.M. had an earnings report release back about three weeks ago the stock jumped something like four or five dollars and then hung in at that higher level for an extended period of time. Here is a chart showing that situation. Once Deere stops going up is it going to linger sideways for a while? Probably not. It's not like the company suddenly discovered gold. They make tractors. It's kind of a boring business. Let's find out. It's now noon. Suprisingly Caterpillar is not jumping up in sympathy. W...