CAT Puts

Nobody knows whats going to happen tomorrow. Let's jump forward. $1.64 or $164.00 dollars plus commissions will buy you one "310" series of Puts. In the first twelve minutes of trading only one contract traded. That just shows you how dangerous these option contracts can be. We are not talking about a one day move at this point in time. For option traders holding positions like this which were bought for quick flips an hour of watching the stock becomes a guessing game. Here it is now about seven minutes later. Note this, the pain continues? What's the DJIA doing? This becomes the path you are now on and it's to early to think about it becoming a dead end. If you still like the situation then yes you should buy more if you can afford to lose. Perhaps you made a big score on Disney Calls on the previous day. I have talked about that. Now this at 11:09 a.m. Still the same number of contracts traded. Hold these thoughts. Look at how the 310 Puts and the D.J...

Here are one series of it's Puts that expire this Friday. They are "out-of-th-money" so it's going to take a bit of a directional move to get a payout. Now it's five day chart. Is the stock going up because the DJIA is up? This to me is more a play on what the markets are doing than the stock itself. Here is how it closed the day. It's largely unchanged from where it was trading at back at 1:18 p.m.. Here is how the D.J.I.A. closed the day. A weak opening tomorrow will do wonders for this position. Let's see what happens.

Few traders like trading options on Disney because the stock constantly disappoints. Look at these Calls which expire this Friday. Options on stocks in the 100 range offer good leverage and Wednesdays at noon mark the "middle-of-the-week" inflection points. Let's see what happens here. These Call options expire on Friday. To be continued. Now this, 36 minutes later. Is that good enough of a return? $1.05 was the low of the trading action. Now look at this "bid-and-ask" thirty four minutes later! Mid week trades like this do happen.

On Monday I talked about two things. First I talked about catching Tesla dropping in price as the markets sold off after a super strong initial surge upwards. Then I talked about Calls on a stock called Super Micro Computer and how it's seventy one year old co-founder got arrested causing the stock to drop over 30% in one day and playing it using Calls for a slight rebound. Both of those situations were one day, relatively straight forward trades. This blog today on Tuesday leading into Wednesday is different. Home Depot jumped upwards in price on Monday partly on "self-promotional" news and then dropped a touch. Here we now are looking a Home Depot at 1:30 p.m. on Tuesday. As you can see it has rebounded somewhat. The DJIA is trading relatively flat. .... It's a good news story but might it be running out of steam? Once again, at 1:30 p.m. according to the volume of Puts bought it looks like it is not going to. Traders do not appear to be jumping into the downside. ...

Here is it's chart. Nobody used options to play it. The stock opened stronger. Now what? The Puts? Ten contracts have traded in the 707.50 series. . Why aren't more traders attracted to this situation? Why haven't ten or fifteen thousand contracts on this series traded so far this morning? Sure it's dangerous however the potential to make money on this trade is huge. Over the next few hours or days Trumph will mess up again and say something stupid. He is the most powerful man in the world. Let's see what happens. Now this only fourteen minutes later. Look at the wide spread in the "bid-and-ask"? Nervousness is in the air. Now this, a look at a lower series of Put options, the $700.00 series. When I see 100 contracts traded I get suspicious. A bigger fish is also playing these options. That doesn't matter. Going solo can be a lonely game. Let's move forward to 12:15 p.m.. Let's go back to the 707.50 series of Puts and look at how it is t...