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"Tony The Tiger" - A Food Stock

The mood of Wall Street is now changing as the reality of tariffs is starting to kick in. Two weeks ago not so much so. Kelloggs had "so-so" earnings come out a few weeks ago and the stock exploded upwards. Note the very last line above mentions the effects of tariffs are not taken into consideration. So many stocks with "so-so" earning reports have jumped in price based on the "lets make America great again" slogan. Deere stock is shooting to the moon as I keep writing about in spite of declining sales in the last quarter. The sentiment seems to be that they are immune to tariffs. On paper they might be. Read this. Americans are struggling to buy gas, eggs and insurance. Total housing starts in the U.S.in 2024 were down 3.9%. Walmart, the recent darling stock in the last four weeks for Call option players woke up this morning with an earnings report which was healthy but with came with some caveats. Here is what happened. Perhaps the U.S. is starting ...
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"Looking at "Ford" Options And Trying To Illustrate How Volatile They Are"

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Let's start with a definition of volatile. "Liable to change rapidly and unpredictably, especially for the worse". "Ford" is priced somewhere in the $13.00 range with with volatile "Put" and "Call" options offering excellent liquidity. Here now is a five day chart on "Ford" and here is the closing price of the 13.50 series of "Call" options. Let's see what happens tomorrow. Bid .14 and ask .15. Buy one hundred contracts near the close today and see if you can get out tomorrow morning and make $500.00. Yet then again the chart is going sideways so what happens if the stock sells off on the opening tomorrow and your stuck with "out-of-the-money" Call options" with only four days life left in them? That wouldn't be fun to wake up to. The chart doesn't help us very much. The point is that looking for directional moves on stock early in the week is a difficult game to play. Here now is the next ...
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A Week With Boeing Up $35.00

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"Boeing" is up over eleven dollars on the day and the DJI is up over 350 points. It's 1:17 p.m. in the afternoon on a Wednesday. What are the odds of being able to make money playing "Boeing Puts" on the downside which expire this Friday? 50:50? The real question is why would you want to? The stock is now up over twelve dollars on the day. Here is the daily chart and here are two near term "Put" option positions. Would now be a good entry point looking for a reversal? Notice in the twelve minute difference in the period of time between these two printouts "Boeing" has gone up by almost a dollar. Other stocks like "Disney" and "Caterpillar" sometimes have five dollar a day rallies and sometimes they don't stop going up for a couple of days. When a stock goes up twelve dollars in one day you can't really wander in willy nilly hoping for a reversal. Now here is an end of the day chart on "Boeing". Lo...
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"500 Point Friday Rallies"

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Strange times for sure, a one time Friday afternoon rally. All was relatively calm at noontime followed by an upward surge. Look at these two series of "out-of-the-money" "Call" options on two different stocks I often blog about. Who at noon last Friday would want to jump into "out-of-the money" positions on option series with only four hours to go? Only people watching mulitple screens who were witnessing almost everything going up. Look at the highs and lows of these interday moves. What a smooth and somewhat unrelenting market rise. Moves of this magnitude only happen a few times each year.
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"One Day Spikes and More"

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This blog is going to write itself. Look at this chart and look at the volume of trading. There are no options on it. . Some traders watch on their screens lists of the most actively traded stocks looking to daytrade situations like this. It's a different way to trade. Let's see what Monday's action brings. A Tuesday March 9th update, Look at these premarket prices! Look at the volumes of trading in the last few days. This stock can't keep on going up forever.
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