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A Random Walk In The Park On A Monday Morning. A Caution. Monday Mornings Are Often Not An Option Players Best Friend

Let's start with this. It's now 10:26 a.m. A bet on Caterpillar rebounding by the end of the week. There are no takers. Why have to watch the screen for the next four days in agony waiting for a rebound which if happens is just a "break even trade"? But Wait. I made a mistake. The market is actually now down 668 points. What else can we look at? Interactive Brokers. These kind of stocks always do poorly on days with the threat of margin calls. Yet there is something interesting about the printout I am about to show. It is that these options are "one-month-out" Calls. These longer term options trade differently than short term options. (these options trade in one month intervals). If the stock we are following stops it's freefall the value of the options will nudge up ten, fifteen or twenty percent. A seven dollar option Call might creep back up to $8.00 or $9.00 at which time it could be sold. In contrast with a five day option a slight reversal in ...
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A Week With Boeing Up $35.00

"Boeing" is up over eleven dollars on the day and the DJI is up over 350 points. It's 1:17 p.m. in the afternoon on a Wednesday. What are the odds of being able to make money playing "Boeing Puts" on the downside which expire this Friday? 50:50? The real question is why would you want to? The stock is now up over twelve dollars on the day. Here is the daily chart and here are two near term "Put" option positions. Would now be a good entry point looking for a reversal?
Notice in the twelve minute difference in the period of time between these two printouts "Boeing" has gone up by almost a dollar. Other stocks like "Disney" and "Caterpillar" sometimes have five dollar a day rallies and sometimes they don't stop going up for a couple of days. When a stock goes up twelve dollars in one day you can't really wander in willy nilly hoping for a reversal. Now here is an end of the day chart on "Boeing". Look at what today's "Calls" did. Notice the extremely high number of "Call" options traded.
Now a next day March 11th 10:00 a.m. update. "Boeing" continues to charge up. There doesn't seem to any real news as to why. If your holding "Call" options one of the most difficult things to do is to avoid the temptation to sell out.
What a ride for the "Call" holders. This type of action is someone unusual but "Boeing" is an amazing stock to watch/play when it is on fire. A Friday morning pre-market report. "Boeing" is up something like $35 dollars since Tuesday. Once again what a nice ride for any "Call" holders. Here also is a five day chart after the closing bell.
Now we end the week with the followng news.
Here now again are the March 12 240 "Calls" which are up ten-fold from where they were only a few days ago. Look at Boeing jumping over $17.00 in one day.
What is there to make of all of this? Well, keep this blog in the back of your mind and six or ten or fourteen months down the road when you see it rallying at the start of the week. Don't be afraid to go along for the ride.

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