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Showing posts from May, 2021

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How To Avoid Time Value Traps With Last Week Options.

This blog is not going to be an exhausting study of this topic. I just want to show you a few charts found in recent blogs and comment on which ones seem to skirt the issue of "time-value-concerns' and which ones don't. 1) Avoid Thursday at the close Call options. In this case Thursday is the second last day of the above chart. If you guess the wrong direction on the close it's going to be game over on Friday when the options expire. Thursday at the close on options that expire the next day are the biggest time value traps you can buy into. If the stock moves in the wrong direction it's game over. 2) Ford on a Monday going into Tuesday. On this chart April 13th is a Monday and Tuesday is the 14th. Can you see Ford closing strong on the close of the 13th? It would make sense to get in on the stong closing because these Calls would still have four trading days to recover if Tuesdays opening was not all that spectacular. 3) This time it's Caterpillar and it...
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"Ford" and an Extreme Opportunity Missed

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If you were out cruising in your Mustang convertable on Friday you probably missed this action. It's a shame because had you purchased $1,000 of a certain "Ford" series of "Call" options on the opening and sold out just after lunch you would have made enough money to turn your ride into something a lot nicer, something like $47,000 nicer. Honestly, this did happen and it wasn't all that complicated trade. This blog from this point on is going to write itself. Try and follow this action. Look at the high and low on these options. .01 and .47 . One thousand dollars actually turned into $47,000 if you caught it right. I have talked about how options on stocks in the ten and fifteen dollar range can often be darlings to play and "Ford" and "U.S." Steel are two of these darlings with options series that are the most splendid to play because their liquidity is excellent, bid and ask prices tight and price movements swings on only five and te...
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