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What does the word disconnect mean? As a verb it means "to sever or interrupt the connection of or between; detach". Option trading - one day options - is a disconnect from the world. What happens to slightly "out-of-the-money" Call options on Costco when the stock shoot up thirty dollars on the day? I will show you what happened on Friday to Costco Calls and the options on a few other stocks I frequently watch. What a disconnect from the real world. But before that a look at how the indexes traded. 1) Costco. It's five day chart and a look at how three of it's option series moved upwards in one day. You may not know how to read these printouts but try to read the highs and lows on these option pricings. One printout shows an "at-the-money" option which means you are buying a contract on the stock, good for one day only at a locked in price equal to (or very close to) what the stock is currently trading at. The other two contracts shown are ...

Buying Caterpillar - A "Catching a Falling Knife Trade".

In with two "Calls" at $1.59 each which expire the next day. The stock is down ten dollars in three days on no real news. This kind of judgement calls is sometimes difficult to make. The stock seems to dropping on light volume which is better than on heavy volume. It's a "no news scenario".
Let's see what happens next. A 10:30 a.m. update, one hour after I got in. I am down something like 37%. At this point in time it has turned into a "sit-and-wait" hold. What I like better is an"in-and-out" in thirty minute trade.
Now another look at it at 11:30 a.m. with the D.J.I. now up over 225 points. Remember I got in at $1.59 a contract. I don't enjoy these having to wait until Friday morning situations.
There was a bounce on Friday morning and I got out. It's difficult to read but it says two contracts sold at $3.60 each at 9:49.a.m. Here is it's morning chart.
Would I make this kind of trade again? I am attracted to these "falling knife" chart formations. This one turned out OK for me. My point is, the next time you see one of these chart formations happening remember this blog and my comments about jumping in to quickly. Hopefully my comments will help in saving you some money.

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