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Showing posts from July, 2021

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Looking For Something To Buy On A Tuesday Afternoon?

Trumph says the war is over but is it? Exxon sells off on that news. Does this make the Calls a good buying opportunity? It's 2:38 p.m.. The Calls shown below expire in two days. Moves downwards this much in a one day time period are somewhat rare. Let's see what happens. This leads us to a new topic. Overtrading. Avid daytraders can pick the days they like to trade the best. I like Fridays for it's one day options and for it's late in the day look at it's "next-week-out-options" which might at that point of the day be somewhat mispriced. Resets in pricings can sometimes happen over the weekend which become apparent in the first few hour or so of Monday morning trading. I also like Wednesday for mid week reversals. The biggest trap are Thursday options that expire the following day. These are the ones that seem to lose the "time value" aspect of the equation the most quickly. Finally Tuesday options that expire the next day, two days away or a...

Caterpillar Earning Report Plays

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So tomorrow is the big day when Caterpillar releases it's second quarter earnings report. It is expected to be good. Boeing just had a great earnings report yesterday and analyst are expecting Caterpillar to also report decent numbers. Let's look at the five day trading charts on these two companies and this mornings super strong premarket indicators. (It's always good to be selling into strong premarket indicators because history tells us that they never stay strong forever). It's July 29th and Caterpillar's earning report is tomorrow. Ford also just had their earning reports and good new also on that front. So far so good? Good news everywhere right? It's only good news if you can capitalize on it. What am I implying? Well I don't want to digress to far off topic however option trading can be an exacerbating experience. I missed the Boeing and Ford trading opportunites despite the fact that I anticipated both of these two companies would do well. Do I...

The Trade of the Year

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It's not that complicated however it kind of slipped under the radar. It was a big name company we all know called Lowes. The payoff was wild. What are we looking at? Options that closed on Thursday at ten cents a contract and opened at one cent the folling morning, a Friday which then then hit an interday high of one dollar and fifty cents. A one thousand dollar investment would have went as high as $150,000.00. Folks, all of this is legal and anyone can play it. You could have made it all by lunchtime. What happened? Well we are talking about the 200 series on Calls that expired yesterday on Friday July 23th. At the start of the trding session they were over $3.00 "out-of-the money. Very few traders saw value in them. Yet Lowes did close strong on Thursday the day before it. Then it wobbled a touch on the Friday opening and resumed it's upward charge. The price of lumber is dropping and many people are waiting to purchase lumber at these new lowering prices. The kicker ...