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Showing posts from October, 2021

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Caravan On A Monday Opening Rally

Let's start with the action on Carvana back at the start of the week. Here is it's mid afternoon chart on Monday. The stock is up $23.00 on the day! When you see stocks move up like this you sometimes wonder why there isn't more profit taking at the end of the trading session. . Now let's jump forward to Wednesday afternoon with tomorrow being a holiday. Carvana is up. How much? Well about $28.00 more dollars in two days! The word on the street is that their main competitor "Carmax" is in trouble. Here it how it has traded in the last thirty days. It had a bit of a dip but seems to be coming back. Avis Budget Group, also shown below the same thing. Hertz in the last three months has also struggled. So back now to Carvana. It's on fire this week. Buying Puts now that expire on Friday would be kind of dumb. Yet then again the stock could swing $15.00 or more in only a few hours! It's a bet on catching the right directon. Now here is a wildcard facto...
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Ford - An Earning Report

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Ford is going electric, that's the buzz. We all know the story. Earnings just came out on the stock and the Call options jumped on the opening. If you were playing options you had to get out just after the opening. With option plays on earning reports that's usually the way to best way play them. First, I will show the prior day's action. There was a gap down on the opening and 94 million shares traded. That's a large number. People were cashing out after recent good times. Now here is a chart of Ford the next day and here is how two option series traded. Buy in at the close and sell out just after the opening. Look at how high each series traded up to just after the opening. The earning numbers were not all that great but it's the buzz about going electric. Ford is one of the better stocks out there to play earning report releases. ** Scroll up to the upper left and read my most recent blog on MacDonald's earning report.
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McDonald's And An Earnings Report

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I was sitting in the drive through line yesterday at McDonalds redeeming a free coffee sticker won from being there a few days prior. It was a long line up for mid-afternoon. I am not a fast food junkie. I found myself thinking of how the Domino Pizza stock was on a terror for much of last year but not so much now. When we were all locked in last year everyone was ordering their pizza. I was also wondered if they would now accept my little free coffee sticker as it was only thumbnail size. Then when I pulled up to the drive thru window I hit a patch of bees. Apparently for whatever reason they were enjoying being at that window. They gave me my free coffee. Boy it was busy there. I note in this option series that there were only 292 open contracts. That small number suprises me. Why didn't more option players see this coming?
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