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Will The Markets Top Out?

The Nasdaq Composite index closed up 4.7% on the week. the S&P 500 index, was up 3.6% and the D.J.I.A.was up 3%. Given the elevated volatility levels options have become extremely expensive to buy. Here for example is how Avis Budget traded on Friday. At one point in the day the 300 series of Calls traded as high as $15.43 on the day. ........ Now look at the prices on this week's upcoming Calls and Puts. ... What happened to the old days of paying $5.00 or $6.00 for one week out options? Look at how Caterpillar jumped on the week on no real news? Up like $83.00 from it's low back on a Monday. Here now is what a one week out just slightly "out-of-the-money" 790 series of Puts is trading at. That's not as bad as the premiums on Avis Budget but look at Caterpillar's thirty day chart. Actually the stock does look somewhat vulnerable to the downside however the risk of pulling the trigger and purchasing a Put is to great. What else is there to consider...

McDonald's And An Earnings Report

I was sitting in the drive through line yesterday at McDonalds redeeming a free coffee sticker won from being there a few days prior. It was a long line up for mid-afternoon. I am not a fast food junkie. I found myself thinking of how the Domino Pizza stock was on a terror for much of last year but not so much now. When we were all locked in last year everyone was ordering their pizza. I was also wondered if they would now accept my little free coffee sticker as it was only thumbnail size. Then when I pulled up to the drive thru window I hit a patch of bees. Apparently for whatever reason they were enjoying being at that window. They gave me my free coffee. Boy it was busy there.
I note in this option series that there were only 292 open contracts. That small number suprises me. Why didn't more option players see this coming?

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