Featured

Trying to Outguess The Markets

A few years back the markets crashed when Russia invaded Ukraine. The front pages of newspapers around the world at that time showed people trying to escape cities which were heavily shelled. Our heart's sank. How could such atrocities be happening? Why were schools and hospitals targeted? War is evil. Guess what? With Trump acting as a new dictator the world once again has gone awry. It's scary that one old man with so much power can abuse the system. What does all of this mean for option traders? It means time to sit on the sidelines. Yes you can jump in playing rebounds and catch some nice short term directional moves. You are basically trading against computers. Why not just sit it out and chill? Everything is amuck. Why be trying to make hero trades? Ironically enough some traders are being drawn into this action. Look at this chart. While its difficult to see because of a "pop-up" on the screen "Netflix rebounded over ten dollars a share after reboundin...
Post a Comment

The Corporate Update Conference Call - Electrameccanica

To listen to this call anytime in the next next few days before they take it down. Call 1-844-512-2921 and use this pin number 13724898. Electrameccanica is a Vancouver based company is now building an electric three wheeled vehicle called Solo. They are currently on display at the Los Angeles Auto Show to help build brand awareness. The company now has capacity to build 20,000 vehicles per year in China and plans to build that many more a month also here in in Arizona. Will they sell? Yes. Priced from $18,500. One model is a cargo carrying designed vehicle. What a great way get small packages moved across the city. At top speed of 80 m.p.g., a one hundred mile range and a warranty for 20,000 miles. They will sell for many reasons.They would be fun to drive. The companies working capital now is $238 million and zero debt. Any hicups? Cash flow perhaps. They still have a big way to go. Here are my comments on the conference call. The questions at the end of the call were from no name analysist and very few brokerage companies follow the stock. October sales were only 28 units. Why are sales numbers so low. Isn't that the name of the game? One quick comment comment was made about how many months they can survive before they will need more money. The stocks performance has being a disappointment over the last few years. The problems will be in the cost of ramping up production. One other Canadian company in the electic vehicle space is Quebec based company called Lion Electric Company (LEV) who are having problems in this regard. Here now is a five year chart of Solo.
If you check out the options on this stock you will see that no one is playing them. This stock it's not worth buying until they can get some traction.

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Living on Kraft Dinner?

Image
What does the word disconnect mean? As a verb it means "to sever or interrupt the connection of or between; detach". Option trading - one day options - is a disconnect from the world. What happens to slightly "out-of-the-money" Call options on Costco when the stock shoot up thirty dollars on the day? I will show you what happened on Friday to Costco Calls and the options on a few other stocks I frequently watch. What a disconnect from the real world. But before that a look at how the indexes traded. 1) Costco. It's five day chart and a look at how three of it's option series moved upwards in one day. You may not know how to read these printouts but try to read the highs and lows on these option pricings. One printout shows an "at-the-money" option which means you are buying a contract on the stock, good for one day only at a locked in price equal to (or very close to) what the stock is currently trading at. The other two contracts shown are ...
Read more

The Little Engine That Could

Image
Walmart again. It's all I seem to blog about. Here is it's five day chart. The stock keeps going up and the option series are set up in one dollar spreads. Even a fifty cent move on the stock moves the needle on these Calls. Look at how this series of Calls was trading yesterday at 3:00 p.m.. Now here is this same series of Calls just before noon today. Thirty days of upward action like this punctuated by the off day of decline. Now notice the higher volume of trading in the series of Calls with the higher striking price. These are the ones's with more leverage. At the same time look at the five day chart on Costco. The two stocks sometimes trade in tandem. Humpty dumpty sat on a wall .... a had a great fall. Someday soon a fall might happen but what a great ride it has been.
Read more

A Fireside Chat - One Year Options and Thirty Day Options. Which is Better?

Image
Some say to think small, not big. Trying to play Disney options is thinking big. It is a stock slighty out of favor. If we start with it's a three year chart, we will see it is down by about 50% over that period of time. Now it's one year chart. If the stock can break 110 in early 2024 the sky is the limit. It does have a lot of moving parts so anything could happen. Look at these Calls options one year out. One year in options buys a lot of time.They look reasonable. If the stock ever inched up to the $105.00 price level in the three or four months these options would jump up in price by about 50%. Even more if they had really good news. Yet it's the "what-if" aspect of the equation that castes such a trade in doubt. "What if" stories just don't cut it. There are to many variables in play. Then again, why are we even thinking of long-term Call options after a December's rally? Let's switch gears. If consumers are out spending for X-mas...
Read more