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Showing posts from December, 2021

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Caterpillar Jumps On The Opening

Can you fight it? ... Why would you want to? It's not like the Stellantis opportunity we had on Monday morning. Is the stock running out of momentum? Now this less than an hour later. Caterpillar takes a hit. When Caterpillar goes up $30.00 in fourteen minutes and you catch it on the downside just take it and run. I will show you below how it closed the day. Now a trading comment. It's difficult to fight rising stocks and in hindsight the answer to Caterpillar's meteoric rise would be in holding it's thirty days Calls purchased in the recent past. Today's situation was a mid week option trade, the day of the week I have often said to be the day of reversals. Caterpillar jumped on no news and Deere just sputtered along. It's largely insituational trading and various analyist are bullish on the stock. If this kind of a jump happened on a Thursday or Friday I wouldn't be trying to play it for the downside. This was a one-off situation, something like t...

Ford's Largest One Day Share Price of The Year - Or Santa Claus Came Early.

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Ok, so yesterday, a Thursday I looked at Ford because management was in the news saying they are going to stop taking more preorders on their upcoming F150 electric truck. They have too many orders. They were also saying look out world - we are going electric. V.W. and Toyota were also making similiar claims. Here is a look at Ford at 12:11 p.m. today. At noon Ford was up 5.6% and their short term options which expire today were up ten fold. Stocks the size of Ford seldom jump that much in one morning. Why didn't lightbulbs go off in my head yesterday saying lets take a flyer on Ford Call options for tomorrow with one day's trading life left in them? That would be the Dec 10th 20 Calls. As you can see, the 20 Calls this morning went from .06 or six dollars a contract to .61 or sixty one dollars a contract at noon! Then looked at how they ended up the day. A .06 or six dollar contract would be worth one hundred and forty three dollars! A six hundred dollar investment would be ...