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Showing posts from December, 2021

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The Falling Off A Cliff Chart. I.B.M.

I.b.m. had a bad week. Here is how bad it was. Sometimes you see charts like this. It was down $74.89 on the week. What happened? The headlines said "I.B.M. just sent a warning to dividend investors". Something about it missing earnings forecasts because of an artificial-intelligence-related shift in it's customers spending. That is a new one that we don't hear very often. Which way is this stock going to now move? It's probably dumb to be chasing this when the outcome will most likely be all so random. Let's share the experience together. Here is what the Calls and Puts closest to what the stock is trading at are doing going into Monday morning's action. Don't gasp and say that the premiums exorbitant? They are not. Something is happening in our markets. I.B.M. got a real shakeout. Which way do you play it? Buying in on a Friday and cashing out on the following Monday morning opening would be one way however that opportunity is now missed. These opt...

Ford's Largest One Day Share Price of The Year - Or Santa Claus Came Early.

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Ok, so yesterday, a Thursday I looked at Ford because management was in the news saying they are going to stop taking more preorders on their upcoming F150 electric truck. They have too many orders. They were also saying look out world - we are going electric. V.W. and Toyota were also making similiar claims. Here is a look at Ford at 12:11 p.m. today. At noon Ford was up 5.6% and their short term options which expire today were up ten fold. Stocks the size of Ford seldom jump that much in one morning. Why didn't lightbulbs go off in my head yesterday saying lets take a flyer on Ford Call options for tomorrow with one day's trading life left in them? That would be the Dec 10th 20 Calls. As you can see, the 20 Calls this morning went from .06 or six dollars a contract to .61 or sixty one dollars a contract at noon! Then looked at how they ended up the day. A .06 or six dollar contract would be worth one hundred and forty three dollars! A six hundred dollar investment would be ...