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Showing posts from January, 2022

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Caterpillar Jumps Like $30.00 On The Opening

Here is it's chart. Nobody used options to play it. The stock opened stronger. Now what? The Puts? Ten contracts have traded in the 707.50 series. . Why aren't more traders attracted to this situation? Why haven't ten or fifteen thousand contracts on this series traded so far this morning? Sure it's dangerous however the potential to make money on this trade is huge. Over the next few hours or days Trumph will mess up again and say something stupid. He is the most powerful man in the world. Let's see what happens. Now this only fourteen minutes later. Look at the wide spread in the "bid-and-ask"? Nervousness is in the air. Now this, a look at a lower series of Put options, the $700.00 series. When I see 100 contracts traded I get suspicious. A bigger fish is also playing these options. That's a good thing. Going solo can be a lonely game. Let's move forward to 12:15 p.m.. Let's go back to the 707.50 series of Puts and look at how it is t...

Disappointment on The Opening - Caterpillar Earnings Report

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Caterpillar's earnings report. What I see is 4th quarter sales up 23%. Strong 4th quarter earnings of $3.71 per share.That's a solid number. Just think, the supply chain issue isn't being used as a mistake. Now look at the the opening options market. The stock is down on the news. Management made a few remarks about near term headwinds. They do that sometimes to temper growth expectations. These two quotes are the 205 Call series which expire today. One is at 9:44 a.m. and one is at 10:03 a.m.. They would be very dangerous to consider purchasing since its very unlikely that they could ever shake off this downward spike so early in the morning. So now what? It's at this time in the morning when the decision to reacte to this bad news gets tricky. The stock is down like ten dollars and the DJI is having a good day. There is a strong tempation to jump in on the upside hoping for a quick reversal. That's one of the things that makes option trading so difficult. One...