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Showing posts from January, 2022

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If a Stock Drops 10% In One Day Can You Play It For A Two day Rebound?

Here it is. Here are the 240 series of Calls that expire in two days. $565.00 U.S. is a lot of money to shell out as an experiment. Now this. The next days action. Half of this options life has now disappeared. Now a look at its five day chart which tells a different story. I don't like chart charts that look like they are languishing sideways. This one does. Analysis explained this drop away under the guise of "macro shift's" happening within the industry, not company specific reasons. With just one trading day left I would get out. Hanging in is to big a gamble. Wednesday's index loss was almost 500 points and today's action was an across the board market rebound. Get out and start tomorrow with a clear head. Read my previous blog on Pfizer options which also traded during the same time period.
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Disappointment on The Opening - Caterpillar Earnings Report

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Caterpillar's earnings report. What I see is 4th quarter sales up 23%. Strong 4th quarter earnings of $3.71 per share.That's a solid number. Just think, the supply chain issue isn't being used as a mistake. Now look at the the opening options market. The stock is down on the news. Management made a few remarks about near term headwinds. They do that sometimes to temper growth expectations. These two quotes are the 205 Call series which expire today. One is at 9:44 a.m. and one is at 10:03 a.m.. They would be very dangerous to consider purchasing since its very unlikely that they could ever shake off this downward spike so early in the morning. So now what? It's at this time in the morning when the decision to reacte to this bad news gets tricky. The stock is down like ten dollars and the DJI is having a good day. There is a strong tempation to jump in on the upside hoping for a quick reversal. That's one of the things that makes option trading so difficult. One...
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