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Showing posts from January, 2022

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Rivian. History Repeats Itself

Back on June 26th 2024 I posted a blog about V.W. injecting $5 billion dollars in Rivian. That's a fair chunk of money. Here are two clips borrowed from that blog. .... Rivian jumped on that news. It now has a future. Look now at how it traded two days later. The good news from this event quickly dissipated. Now guess what? Look at what happened this week. There was a Rivian "good news" event again. Now here is how the stock performed this week on this news. Jumping into buying Puts on this news with two days of life left in them would have been the way to play it. Here is how two series of Rivian Puts traded on Friday. (For interest sake only, here is Rivian's three year chart. It has it's ups and downs). For the most part, Rivian is not a fun stock to play options on. That's a comment I often make about playing stocks in the $15.00 range. **** History doesn't repeat itself when it comes to where our readership is coming from. This is a Canadian bl...

Disappointment on The Opening - Caterpillar Earnings Report

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Caterpillar's earnings report. What I see is 4th quarter sales up 23%. Strong 4th quarter earnings of $3.71 per share.That's a solid number. Just think, the supply chain issue isn't being used as a mistake. Now look at the the opening options market. The stock is down on the news. Management made a few remarks about near term headwinds. They do that sometimes to temper growth expectations. These two quotes are the 205 Call series which expire today. One is at 9:44 a.m. and one is at 10:03 a.m.. They would be very dangerous to consider purchasing since its very unlikely that they could ever shake off this downward spike so early in the morning. So now what? It's at this time in the morning when the decision to reacte to this bad news gets tricky. The stock is down like ten dollars and the DJI is having a good day. There is a strong tempation to jump in on the upside hoping for a quick reversal. That's one of the things that makes option trading so difficult. One...