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Showing posts from January, 2022

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News On Rivian

Rivian needs money again. The stock dropped on the opening today, a tuesday, then stabilized and then dropped again towards the closing. A drop of 18% in one day is pretty crazy and the timing happened after previous snippets of good news. Managament is well aware of the importance good news just prior to the announcement of these type of share offerings. What good news? Well last week Rivian raised delivery projections for this year after its second quarter numbers exceeded expectations. They also recently came out with a new R2 model , an all-electric SUV with a lower price tag. Last year Rivian lost $432 million dollars on 42,277 vehicle deliveries or $10,200 per vehicle. A new question. Why even try to outsmart what's going to happen next? In a way it was kind of sneaky for management to flood the market with additional shares when the stock was trading on an upward blip. Also consider this. Offering new shares in some ways is a sign of weakness. What happened the next day, ...

Disappointment on The Opening - Caterpillar Earnings Report

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Caterpillar's earnings report. What I see is 4th quarter sales up 23%. Strong 4th quarter earnings of $3.71 per share.That's a solid number. Just think, the supply chain issue isn't being used as a mistake. Now look at the the opening options market. The stock is down on the news. Management made a few remarks about near term headwinds. They do that sometimes to temper growth expectations. These two quotes are the 205 Call series which expire today. One is at 9:44 a.m. and one is at 10:03 a.m.. They would be very dangerous to consider purchasing since its very unlikely that they could ever shake off this downward spike so early in the morning. So now what? It's at this time in the morning when the decision to reacte to this bad news gets tricky. The stock is down like ten dollars and the DJI is having a good day. There is a strong tempation to jump in on the upside hoping for a quick reversal. That's one of the things that makes option trading so difficult. One...