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Showing posts from January, 2022

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Exxon On A Major One Day Dip. Will Trumph In His Usual Way Add To The Confusion After The Market Closes? That's The Bet

It's Wednesday and Exxon has has its's biggest dip on the day in a long time. The DJIA is up. Here is it's chart as of 1:27 p.m. Now it's Calls that expire tomorrow. The trading volume on these contracts is relatively light. Retired U.S. Generals are coming forth and saying Trump has no strategy and just wait until more soldiers get killed. Yet four hours ago and three and two hours ago Exxon was trading at higher prices. Why now? Why an interest in looking for a rebound? Chevron is also down over $11.00. Let's also look at it's Calls. This time we are looking at Call options $2.00 or so "out-of-the-money". These are both high risk trades. Picking a bottom is never an exact science. Let's see what happens.Now this around 2:25 p.m.. Notice a slight rebound in both of these stocks. ... To be continued.

Disappointment on The Opening - Caterpillar Earnings Report

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Caterpillar's earnings report. What I see is 4th quarter sales up 23%. Strong 4th quarter earnings of $3.71 per share.That's a solid number. Just think, the supply chain issue isn't being used as a mistake. Now look at the the opening options market. The stock is down on the news. Management made a few remarks about near term headwinds. They do that sometimes to temper growth expectations. These two quotes are the 205 Call series which expire today. One is at 9:44 a.m. and one is at 10:03 a.m.. They would be very dangerous to consider purchasing since its very unlikely that they could ever shake off this downward spike so early in the morning. So now what? It's at this time in the morning when the decision to reacte to this bad news gets tricky. The stock is down like ten dollars and the DJI is having a good day. There is a strong tempation to jump in on the upside hoping for a quick reversal. That's one of the things that makes option trading so difficult. One...