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Showing posts from January, 2022

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Micron Technology. A Nervous Market With Big "One-Day" Option Swings

It's Friday July 31st. Look at this stocks one and five day charts and then look at how one series on Puts which expire today struck gold. First it's one and five day chart. ... I don't know much about this stock however this blog follows the last blog on the topic of buying Puts on spiking stocks. Look at how this one series of Puts below has reacted on this one day selloff. Had I picked a series of Puts further "out-of-the-money" the gains would be even more remarkable. Look at the low of the day which happened on the morning spike and look at where the option is at now! Yet wait the game is not as easy as it looks. How often does a stock drop that much in one day? Not very often. Look at how Apple dropped like 30 points after an earning's release and this series of "out-of-the-money" Puts merely doubled. It could be argued that risk involved in making the trade outweighed any potential reward. If we now go back to our friend, the stock name...

Disappointment on The Opening - Caterpillar Earnings Report

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Caterpillar's earnings report. What I see is 4th quarter sales up 23%. Strong 4th quarter earnings of $3.71 per share.That's a solid number. Just think, the supply chain issue isn't being used as a mistake. Now look at the the opening options market. The stock is down on the news. Management made a few remarks about near term headwinds. They do that sometimes to temper growth expectations. These two quotes are the 205 Call series which expire today. One is at 9:44 a.m. and one is at 10:03 a.m.. They would be very dangerous to consider purchasing since its very unlikely that they could ever shake off this downward spike so early in the morning. So now what? It's at this time in the morning when the decision to reacte to this bad news gets tricky. The stock is down like ten dollars and the DJI is having a good day. There is a strong tempation to jump in on the upside hoping for a quick reversal. That's one of the things that makes option trading so difficult. One...