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Showing posts from January, 2022

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Lucid Had Another Scare

Look at this big bump in the road. A spike down to $2.45. at 1:44:59.p.m. on a Tuesday followed by a full rebound. It's never good news when things like thus happen. There were rumors of it going into bankruptcy which the company quickly denied. Was someone purposely spreading this rumor for self serving reasons? From my point of view the uncertainty caused by this occurance adds an extra layer compexity to the long journey that this company endured. Will institutional traders worried about liquidity issues and the preservation of capital change their attitudes on this stock? Traders, for reasons I don't understand seemed to quickly brush this incident off. The company has recently raised more money and has cash on hand. Production numbers in 2025 were somewhere around 16,000 units and are now estimated to be around 21,000 units in 2026? This nervous dip muddies up the waters around this company. In the bigger picture this stock offers investors an opportunity to bet on a rebo...

Disappointment on The Opening - Caterpillar Earnings Report

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Caterpillar's earnings report. What I see is 4th quarter sales up 23%. Strong 4th quarter earnings of $3.71 per share.That's a solid number. Just think, the supply chain issue isn't being used as a mistake. Now look at the the opening options market. The stock is down on the news. Management made a few remarks about near term headwinds. They do that sometimes to temper growth expectations. These two quotes are the 205 Call series which expire today. One is at 9:44 a.m. and one is at 10:03 a.m.. They would be very dangerous to consider purchasing since its very unlikely that they could ever shake off this downward spike so early in the morning. So now what? It's at this time in the morning when the decision to reacte to this bad news gets tricky. The stock is down like ten dollars and the DJI is having a good day. There is a strong tempation to jump in on the upside hoping for a quick reversal. That's one of the things that makes option trading so difficult. One...