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Showing posts from January, 2022

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Do You Have To Be A Wizard To Play Exxon Mobile Options? You Decide.

Look at this chart. It's Exxon's one day trading chart of last Friday. Zoom,zoom, zoom. Here is it's five day chart. Shipping oil on the high seas is becoming more of a game of cat and mouse. Some ships regularly change their flags and their colors. Looking at the above five day chart on Exxon Mobile would you want to be holding this weeks 135 Calls starting the trading session on Monday morning? Here is how the 135 Calls closed the week. Now this, the premarkets on Monday morning. You can't trust these numbers. Sometimes the hype burns itself out before the markets open. At some point in this process the following news was being assimilated. Now this. Exxon jumps on the opening but not that much and quickly gives up some of that gain. Now this. The Calls are up 25% in the first three minutes of trading. That's something but not all that bad if you bought into this series of Call options during the closing seconds of Friday's trading session. Are t...

Disappointment on The Opening - Caterpillar Earnings Report

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Caterpillar's earnings report. What I see is 4th quarter sales up 23%. Strong 4th quarter earnings of $3.71 per share.That's a solid number. Just think, the supply chain issue isn't being used as a mistake. Now look at the the opening options market. The stock is down on the news. Management made a few remarks about near term headwinds. They do that sometimes to temper growth expectations. These two quotes are the 205 Call series which expire today. One is at 9:44 a.m. and one is at 10:03 a.m.. They would be very dangerous to consider purchasing since its very unlikely that they could ever shake off this downward spike so early in the morning. So now what? It's at this time in the morning when the decision to reacte to this bad news gets tricky. The stock is down like ten dollars and the DJI is having a good day. There is a strong tempation to jump in on the upside hoping for a quick reversal. That's one of the things that makes option trading so difficult. One...