Posts

Showing posts from January, 2022

Featured

In These Times Option Trading On Caterpillar Is Near Zero

When you see Caterpillar drop over $21.00 dollars in one day with an earning report soon to be coming out what does that tell you? One could speculate that some institutional traders who own 71-72% of the outstanding shares are selling their shares and saying thank you for a good ride. Get out before it's earnings come out. It's a double in price in less than one year event. It could be said that the reason it has gone up so much is because everyone is waiting for the war in Europe to come to an end. The equipment that Caterpillar produces will be needed in the ensuing rebuilding process. This is forward thinking which has little to do with this years earnings. Now this printout. Friday's volume of trading in this one series of Call options was 100 contracts. That's a suspicious number. It could be one institutional trader trying their luck on selling short fifty contracts on this one series of Calls to then close them out later in the day. That would be a straight f...

Disappointment on The Opening - Caterpillar Earnings Report

Image
Caterpillar's earnings report. What I see is 4th quarter sales up 23%. Strong 4th quarter earnings of $3.71 per share.That's a solid number. Just think, the supply chain issue isn't being used as a mistake. Now look at the the opening options market. The stock is down on the news. Management made a few remarks about near term headwinds. They do that sometimes to temper growth expectations. These two quotes are the 205 Call series which expire today. One is at 9:44 a.m. and one is at 10:03 a.m.. They would be very dangerous to consider purchasing since its very unlikely that they could ever shake off this downward spike so early in the morning. So now what? It's at this time in the morning when the decision to reacte to this bad news gets tricky. The stock is down like ten dollars and the DJI is having a good day. There is a strong tempation to jump in on the upside hoping for a quick reversal. That's one of the things that makes option trading so difficult. One...