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A Random Walk In The Park On A Monday Morning. A Caution. Monday Mornings Are Often Not An Option Players Best Friend

Let's start with this. It's now 10:26 a.m. A bet on Caterpillar rebounding by the end of the week. There are no takers. Why have to watch the screen for the next four days in agony waiting for a rebound which if happens is just a "break even trade"? But Wait. I made a mistake. The market is actually now down 668 points. What else can we look at? Interactive Brokers. These kind of stocks always do poorly on days with the threat of margin calls. Yet there is something interesting about the printout I am about to show. It is that these options are "one-month-out" Calls. These longer term options trade differently than short term options. (these options trade in one month intervals). If the stock we are following stops it's freefall the value of the options will nudge up ten, fifteen or twenty percent. A seven dollar option Call might creep back up to $8.00 or $9.00 at which time it could be sold. In contrast with a five day option a slight reversal in ...
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Ford, Deere, Home Depot and Lowe's

Will Ford jump again this week? Here is how the stock Ford looks in the premarkets Sunday night followed by how Ford traded on Friday January 7th.
Will it jump up again this week? Here is it's five day chart and here is a look at the Ford 24.5 Calls which expire this coming Friday.
My answer is yes I think it will move up again this week however I am not a fan of purchasing Call options on Mondays on options which expire at the end of the week. So no, I wouldn't be trying to buy in on Monday's opening. I might be wrong but that's the way I think. What will I be watching this week? Deere on the downside. Look what it did last week.
Lowe's and Home Depot had bad days last week just as analyst were in the process of upgraded both of these stocks.
Look at how low the volumes were in these two Put series last Friday. Trying to play them now either way is a bit of a trap. Earning reports will be coming out and retail stocks are now difficult to play. ** Scroll up to the top left and press the three line icon to read my previous blog on electric cars.

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