Featured

Walmart Again

On Monday I did a blog on buying this week's Call options on Walmart. Today is now Thursday and there was a big crash in the markets yesterday. For example, Tesla had an insane selloff. Here is what happened to it. Today it is slightly rebounding as are so many other stocks. Thursdays however as oftened mentioned are not a good time to be purchasing one day options on stocks that expire the next day. So how is any of this revelant to Walmart's trading today? Well, there was a whole bunch other stocks that got knocked yesterday that might now rebound back up again together. Look at the chart below of Walmart and see how it was off a couple of dollars yesterday. Could you buy in now and get out later in the day? Fantasy thinking, one might say. Could it sneak up even one dollar? Now this. The stock mid morning is now merely trading sideways. Now look at this, the 93 series of Calls. (On Monday we were looking at the 94 series of Calls). At 10:22 a.m. the stock is up six cents...
Post a Comment

Nio - Electric Cars

Let's look at a $30.00 stock jumping upwards in price on Thursday morning last week. It was Nio, a Chinese electric vehicle maker and earlier this year it's stock price was double what it is at now. Nio an interesting stock to play. This stock has a history moving up and down wildly.
Let's start with the early morning action on the 28 dollar series of Calls and then the 29 and 30 series. The 28 series Calls opened at .35 and within the first 33 minutes of trading jumped up in value to $2.16 The other two series of Call options had equally impressive gains. Look at how the slightly out-of-money option series attracted more interest.
Later on that morning it was higher again. Now for two observations or comments. 1) The stock was rising in price in anticipation of a news release about production numbers due out the following day. Here is what these production numbers ended up looking like. Also shown below is a five year chart of this stock. Only two years ago the stock was trading for one-tenth of it's current value! Yet investors sitting on this stock have also watched it drop in price by half from the highs of this year.
2) Now let us look at one series of Puts, the Dec. 31st 30 series of Puts as the stock surged upward in price in the first opening thirty minutes of trading. Just over 2,800 Put contracts traded in the first 30 minutes of opening trading. Contrast this to the 22,000 or so Calls which traded in this same series. These Puts and the 31 series of Puts both ended up expiring worthless the following day.
The Call buyers were correct in their thinkings. Early morning buyers where able to make money on this rally. Here now is a five day chart showing how Nio closed out the week after it's Thursday surge. Trying to play the downside in a case like this would have being a mistake. Nio remained relatively strong on Friday, the day their production level news came out.
* Part three of this story. Tuesday Jan 4th. Nio sold off to a slightly lower trading range.
* A June 6th 2022 update. Times change. Here is a three year chart. There is talk about delisting Chinese stocks because of accounting irregularities.
*** Stocks in the twenty dollar price range are in general difficult to pay options on.

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

A Fireside Chat - One Year Options and Thirty Day Options. Which is Better?

Image
Some say to think small, not big. Trying to play Disney options is thinking big. It is a stock slighty out of favor. If we start with it's a three year chart, we will see it is down by about 50% over that period of time. Now it's one year chart. If the stock can break 110 in early 2024 the sky is the limit. It does have a lot of moving parts so anything could happen. Look at these Calls options one year out. One year in options buys a lot of time.They look reasonable. If the stock ever inched up to the $105.00 price level in the three or four months these options would jump up in price by about 50%. Even more if they had really good news. Yet it's the "what-if" aspect of the equation that castes such a trade in doubt. "What if" stories just don't cut it. There are to many variables in play. Then again, why are we even thinking of long-term Call options after a December's rally? Let's switch gears. If consumers are out spending for X-mas...
Read more

Trump Media Technology Options With Three Days To Go.

Image
On Tuesday just after 3:00 p.m the Trump Media Technology Options had stop traded again. What is the next 24 hours going to bring? Who knows. So many option traders follow this stock and most are afraid to buy either Call or Put Options on it because their premiums are so expensive. If Trumph wins the stock should soar and if he loses the stock will tank. The option premiums are priced expensively in both directions. Here now is how both the Calls and Puts traded on the opening today. First the Calls six minutes into the opening. Now the Puts. Now a look at how these options played the day. With a "stop trading" situation the option session ended a little bit early as evidenced in these following readings. Notice also how low the open interest number is in these Puts. Option traders for the most part opted to stay away from this situation. Now this. Trump wins. Here is how the 38 series of Calls traded just after the opening at 10:11 a.m.. The stock is up however the...
Read more

Another Earnings Report - "Roku" - Thursdays and Friday Trading.

Image
Please read this Roku "earnings report" blog. Roku was down fifteen dollars in the first hour of trading today after the release of it's third quarter earnings report. Here is a 10:52 a.m. look at one series of Puts that doubled in price on the opening as a result of this sell off. In my last blog on Caterpillar I talked about points of inflection where stocks rebound after bad news. This time an inflection point may not be in the cards. Caterpillars earning were just shy of expections but nothing had really changed. The world still needs their products and they are still a dominant player in their industry. Roku is a different animal. Their subscribers are a fickle bunch. Companies like Roku and Netflix go up and down all the time. Roku now is just back to a level at which it was trading at earlier this year. I don't know how to interpret their financial statements. Things still look pretty good for them to me. Once again here is a look at the increase in the value...
Read more