Featured

"Tony The Tiger" - A Food Stock

The mood of Wall Street is now changing as the reality of tariffs is starting to kick in. Two weeks ago not so much so. Kelloggs had "so-so" earnings come out a few weeks ago and the stock exploded upwards. Note the very last line above mentions the effects of tariffs are not taken into consideration. So many stocks with "so-so" earning reports have jumped in price based on the "lets make America great again" slogan. Deere stock is shooting to the moon as I keep writing about in spite of declining sales in the last quarter. The sentiment seems to be that they are immune to tariffs. On paper they might be. Read this. Americans are struggling to buy gas, eggs and insurance. Total housing starts in the U.S.in 2024 were down 3.9%. Walmart, the recent darling stock in the last four weeks for Call option players woke up this morning with an earnings report which was healthy but with came with some caveats. Here is what happened. Perhaps the U.S. is starting ...

Sunnier Days

The Dji index is down 500 points in one morning's session and it looks like some stocks might be looking for reasons to rebound. Look at Moderna, a drug stock and it's five day and one day chart as of 12:30 p.m. today. It's down sixteen dollars on the day.
.
Here are a look at two series of Call options on it which expire at the end of the week.
What's now happening? Players are looking for swings. If Moderna was to gain back half of what it lost on the day in the next few hours then the Calls with the two hundred series striking price might rebound back up to three dollars. It's the two dollar options which are trading with more volumes. So option players are looking for a three hour afternoon rebound to make a gain of fifty percent on their investment. Fair is fair but think of all the speculators who bought in when the stock was five or ten dollars higher earlier this morning looking for a rebound. In the big scheme of things when the markets drop five hundred points in one morning and your sitting on the sidelines the best thing to do is wait for sunnier days. *** Part two. This morning Boeing continued to move up, following it's recent trend. Yet why is it going up if the rest of the market is crashing?
Boeing did finally decide to sell off in sympathy with the rest of the market as the above chart shows and at 1:10 p.m. here is what these Puts looked like. It's mid morning running out of steam did create a playable trade. I will recap both of these trading situations at the end of the trading session.
+++ The markets traded sideway all afternoon and never came back. No pop in Moderna and Boeing tried to rally but then gave it all up. That's why you kind of have to stay away on mornings it drops 500 points.
Scroll back up to the top left to read other recent blogs.

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Living on Kraft Dinner?

The Little Engine That Could

A Fireside Chat - One Year Options and Thirty Day Options. Which is Better?