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Trying to Outguess The Markets

A few years back the markets crashed when Russia invaded Ukraine. The front pages of newspapers around the world at that time showed people trying to escape cities which were heavily shelled. Our heart's sank. How could such atrocities be happening? Why were schools and hospitals targeted? War is evil. Guess what? With Trump acting as a new dictator the world once again has gone awry. It's scary that one old man with so much power can abuse the system. What does all of this mean for option traders? It means time to sit on the sidelines. Yes you can jump in playing rebounds and catch some nice short term directional moves. You are basically trading against computers. Why not just sit it out and chill? Everything is amuck. Why be trying to make hero trades? Ironically enough some traders are being drawn into this action. Look at this chart. While its difficult to see because of a "pop-up" on the screen "Netflix rebounded over ten dollars a share after reboundin...
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A Four Minute Intro to Nio

Last week Ford was the second most active stock traded on the NYSE by share volume. It closed at $17.83, down 1.2% on the week. Nio was the fourth most active stock traded on the NYSE by share volume.That's an accomplishment in itself. It closed at $20.94 down 9.8%. Here is a picture of one of the electric cars it races. It is the fastest electric car in the world.
Here now is some company news.
Now let's look at it's trading history starting with a three year chart and followed by a one year chart and then finally a one week chart.
Might this stock, and Ford start to rebound back up in the first quarter of this year? It's chart isn't particularly attractive but the story behind the chart seems to be good. The stock's price got ahead of itself. I will be tracking the Call and Put options on it this week. *** I am not a fan of purchasing Calls or Puts with one week to go on stocks in the 20 price range. The premiums are to high with only five trading days to go. Tuesdays or Wednesdays are usually better to play the swings in conjunction with what the indexes are doing. Here now is a look at the Nio 20 series of Calls and Nio 20 series of Puts going into the opening on Monday morning. When playing these options one should be looking for short term swings and the near constant danger is that the stock might move a dollar putting you in a position which then goes offside and then never comes back again.
The liquidity in these options is excellent. A Monday update. It's up.
Now here is how the stock end the day (a Monday) and here is a look at the twenty series of Calls and Puts.
The Calls doubled in price in one day and the Puts lost 2/3ths of their value. All on a down day. This is the action that I am talking about.

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