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"Tony The Tiger" - A Food Stock

The mood of Wall Street is now changing as the reality of tariffs is starting to kick in. Two weeks ago not so much so. Kelloggs had "so-so" earnings come out a few weeks ago and the stock exploded upwards. Note the very last line above mentions the effects of tariffs are not taken into consideration. So many stocks with "so-so" earning reports have jumped in price based on the "lets make America great again" slogan. Deere stock is shooting to the moon as I keep writing about in spite of declining sales in the last quarter. The sentiment seems to be that they are immune to tariffs. On paper they might be. Read this. Americans are struggling to buy gas, eggs and insurance. Total housing starts in the U.S.in 2024 were down 3.9%. Walmart, the recent darling stock in the last four weeks for Call option players woke up this morning with an earnings report which was healthy but with came with some caveats. Here is what happened. Perhaps the U.S. is starting ...
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Deere and Caterpillar - A Market Drop 500 Points In One Day.

The markets crashed 500 points so play John Deere Puts.
It sounds simple but it isn't.
Look at these charts on it today. First a mid day chart which shows Deere jumping up quickly on the opening and then a one day chart and finally a five day chart.
So I decided to play it on the downside thirty five minutes into the trading session after it jumped up on the opening with a Put option that would expire on it the following day. I was fishing. It was the 390 series of Puts I was looking at and they were about eight dollars "out-of-the-money". Sound crazy? Well I wouldn't actually need a drop that large. A move of let's say five dollars to the downside during the day would be enough to generate a profit. Here is a chart showing the 390 Puts for the entire day and a cancelling of a my buy order early in the morning.
At 9:54 a.m. I cancelled a buy order for a 390 Deere Put for $1.05 dollars when they were trading for about $1.10 This buy ticket was placed only about three minutes earlier. If you scroll up to the top of the three charts can you see how the stock shot up in price in the first thirty minutes of trading. That was my reasonings for getting excited about playing the downside on it. Had I not cancelled the order I would have gotten a fill around 10:00 a.m. or then again around 12:30 p.m. as Deere stayed strong until just after lunch. Then look at how this series of put options closed the day at $2.05 after reaching an interday high of $2.65. I missed all of this action. All of this is crazy you might say. You could be right! Look at how low the volume of trading was on this series of Puts. ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... Now for a look at how Caterpillar traded today, the day once again of a 500 point D.J.I. drop. It traded down on the day by .30 cents. What a strange looking chart. Around 10:40 a.m. would have being a good time to play it down.
Here is what I did and here is how Caterpillar closed the day.
The rally it had at the end of the day will make for a feable opening on Friday morning.

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