Featured

"Tony The Tiger" - A Food Stock

The mood of Wall Street is now changing as the reality of tariffs is starting to kick in. Two weeks ago not so much so. Kelloggs had "so-so" earnings come out a few weeks ago and the stock exploded upwards. Note the very last line above mentions the effects of tariffs are not taken into consideration. So many stocks with "so-so" earning reports have jumped in price based on the "lets make America great again" slogan. Deere stock is shooting to the moon as I keep writing about in spite of declining sales in the last quarter. The sentiment seems to be that they are immune to tariffs. On paper they might be. Read this. Americans are struggling to buy gas, eggs and insurance. Total housing starts in the U.S.in 2024 were down 3.9%. Walmart, the recent darling stock in the last four weeks for Call option players woke up this morning with an earnings report which was healthy but with came with some caveats. Here is what happened. Perhaps the U.S. is starting ...
Post a Comment

What Happens on the Day After a 100 for 1 Reverse Split. Are Shareholders In A Better Position? SugarBud (Symbol SUGR)

Management was sleeping at the switch today to allow their share price to drop 24% on a volume of only 30,000 shares on a day just after a 100 to 1 reverse split. With somewhere over five million shares left outstanding a drop of 24% wipes out about one million dollars in shareholder value. Lets add to this storey the following information. I also note that there was some good news. Yet then again, how good really was this news?
So now what? Check out Sedar. Look at how SugarBud is filled to the rafters with inventory that is not going anywhere and look at how their operating expenses are double what their gross sales are. You can't run a business that way. In a recent blog I noted how "Eve and Company" (Symbol EVE.V) near London Ontario Canada also has inventory problems. There is nothing special about growing weed. Anyone can do it. It's an industry of the survival of the fittest. When I looked at the Mendocannabis.ca website I came across "Nextleaf Solutions" (symbol OILS). They also supply product to Medicibis and they recently raised over three million dollars in a new issue. Here now is more about it. Do your own homework. The marijuana space is a dangerous sector of the market to be in right now.
>
*** A final note on the root of this problem. Prices derived from growing the product are falling. To learn about an interesting company who is busy trying to get ahead in this space go the the Sedar website and read the news releases on Sundial. They never seem to stop in trying to reinvent themselves and their daily trading volumes are impressive.
+++++++ A Feb 28th update. If this was to happen and this happens and this happens... SugarBud now has a new friend.
*A 2022 update. SugarBud did not survive.

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Living on Kraft Dinner?

Image
What does the word disconnect mean? As a verb it means "to sever or interrupt the connection of or between; detach". Option trading - one day options - is a disconnect from the world. What happens to slightly "out-of-the-money" Call options on Costco when the stock shoot up thirty dollars on the day? I will show you what happened on Friday to Costco Calls and the options on a few other stocks I frequently watch. What a disconnect from the real world. But before that a look at how the indexes traded. 1) Costco. It's five day chart and a look at how three of it's option series moved upwards in one day. You may not know how to read these printouts but try to read the highs and lows on these option pricings. One printout shows an "at-the-money" option which means you are buying a contract on the stock, good for one day only at a locked in price equal to (or very close to) what the stock is currently trading at. The other two contracts shown are ...
Read more

The Little Engine That Could

Image
Walmart again. It's all I seem to blog about. Here is it's five day chart. The stock keeps going up and the option series are set up in one dollar spreads. Even a fifty cent move on the stock moves the needle on these Calls. Look at how this series of Calls was trading yesterday at 3:00 p.m.. Now here is this same series of Calls just before noon today. Thirty days of upward action like this punctuated by the off day of decline. Now notice the higher volume of trading in the series of Calls with the higher striking price. These are the ones's with more leverage. At the same time look at the five day chart on Costco. The two stocks sometimes trade in tandem. Humpty dumpty sat on a wall .... a had a great fall. Someday soon a fall might happen but what a great ride it has been.
Read more

A Fireside Chat - One Year Options and Thirty Day Options. Which is Better?

Image
Some say to think small, not big. Trying to play Disney options is thinking big. It is a stock slighty out of favor. If we start with it's a three year chart, we will see it is down by about 50% over that period of time. Now it's one year chart. If the stock can break 110 in early 2024 the sky is the limit. It does have a lot of moving parts so anything could happen. Look at these Calls options one year out. One year in options buys a lot of time.They look reasonable. If the stock ever inched up to the $105.00 price level in the three or four months these options would jump up in price by about 50%. Even more if they had really good news. Yet it's the "what-if" aspect of the equation that castes such a trade in doubt. "What if" stories just don't cut it. There are to many variables in play. Then again, why are we even thinking of long-term Call options after a December's rally? Let's switch gears. If consumers are out spending for X-mas...
Read more