Posts

Showing posts from March, 2022

Featured

Tesla Calls On A Friday That Expire On Monday

It's the same topic I posted last Friday. Today is Independence Day and the markets are closed. For this reason we can't really talk about mimicking last last Friday's trading. Here is it's five day chart. As you can see Tesla dropped on Thursday. Here is a look at how one series of Telsa's Puts traded on Thursday. Now look at the pricing on this one series of "slightly-out-of-the-money" Tesla Calls as of Thursday's close. These Calls would let you be in all of Monday's trading action. Is the price of $4.60 a contract a fair price? Well consider these two points. One day swings in stocks in general in the $400.00 price range can be significant. This five day chart of Tesla below shows you how it jumped $32.13 last Monday! The second point is that long weekends (three full days of no market trading) are know to cause market resets. Stocks like Exxon can get whipped around. That's what makes the pricings on all options now so difficult to gau...

Deere and Company - One Of The Most Dangerous Series Of Call and Put Options to Play When There Is Only Hours To Go.

Image
If you have winnings from a previous trade sometimes you value that money differently. It's difficult to explain why but there are scholars out there who have written books on this very topic. It's like play money or free money that you can now use to make the wildest option trades you can think of. It's money you feel you can risk. It's like being a kid in a candy store with money in your pocket. Everything looks good.There are two stocks that I sometimes follow, Dominos Pizza and John Deere. Both have options available to trade on them however the Call and Put options on the first one, Dominos are near impossible to trade. Why? Well on a Friday morning with options expiring that day on it, how do you predict which direction the stock on the world's largest pizza company is going to go? The answer is you can't. The company is painfully aware that one news release about the price of cheese going up or problems with their ordering apps could send their stock int...