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Showing posts from March, 2022

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Exxon Has Just Had Like Four Days Of Going Up.

Exxon just broke it's three month high. Now it's five day chart. Now it's chart as of 10:42 a.m. this morning. Today is Wednesday, the markets are closed tommorrow for Christmas and then open again on Friday. Now this. A look first the Calls which are $.30 cents "out-of-the-money" and expire on Friday. Now the Puts which are already like $.30 "in-the-money". Expectations are that the stock is going to go up and that there is still a full day of trading on Friday. Here is what the markets and oil are doing. Can you see how traders have a preference for Call options and are hoping Exxon continues it's natural progression upwards. They are prepared to pay a premium to be positioned in this situation. I don't know what the outcome is going to be. Nobody does. As a reader can you see the complexities of trying to figure out this outcome? My point is that option trading on Exxon is a fair game. Let's watch and see what happens.

Deere and Company - One Of The Most Dangerous Series Of Call and Put Options to Play When There Is Only Hours To Go.

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If you have winnings from a previous trade sometimes you value that money differently. It's difficult to explain why but there are scholars out there who have written books on this very topic. It's like play money or free money that you can now use to make the wildest option trades you can think of. It's money you feel you can risk. It's like being a kid in a candy store with money in your pocket. Everything looks good.There are two stocks that I sometimes follow, Dominos Pizza and John Deere. Both have options available to trade on them however the Call and Put options on the first one, Dominos are near impossible to trade. Why? Well on a Friday morning with options expiring that day on it, how do you predict which direction the stock on the world's largest pizza company is going to go? The answer is you can't. The company is painfully aware that one news release about the price of cheese going up or problems with their ordering apps could send their stock int...