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Showing posts from March, 2022

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Look At How Eli Lilly Tanked On The Opening

Here is it's chart. Can you see how much it dropped? Here is what one series of Calls and Puts did. First the Calls. Notice the light trading. Now the Puts. The Puts on the opening never traded at lower prices than this one lonely trade. The Bids and Asks would have dropped after this trade happened however there were no takers, partly because there was a built in expectation that the stock might rebound upwards again. Now let's push forward. Here is what it's five day chart looked like at the close of the day. So the chart looks like a mess with a step down formation on each of the last two openings. From past experiences I think that kind of a chart experience is a kiss of death on tomorrws opening. i expect it to open lower again and what happens after than remains unclear. It is going to take some good news to prompt it back upwards again. Here is how this one series closed the day. Once again, I would expect it to have another drop on the opening. I wouldn't b...

Deere and Company - One Of The Most Dangerous Series Of Call and Put Options to Play When There Is Only Hours To Go.

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If you have winnings from a previous trade sometimes you value that money differently. It's difficult to explain why but there are scholars out there who have written books on this very topic. It's like play money or free money that you can now use to make the wildest option trades you can think of. It's money you feel you can risk. It's like being a kid in a candy store with money in your pocket. Everything looks good.There are two stocks that I sometimes follow, Dominos Pizza and John Deere. Both have options available to trade on them however the Call and Put options on the first one, Dominos are near impossible to trade. Why? Well on a Friday morning with options expiring that day on it, how do you predict which direction the stock on the world's largest pizza company is going to go? The answer is you can't. The company is painfully aware that one news release about the price of cheese going up or problems with their ordering apps could send their stock int...