Featured

Suicide Options

Do you want to split hairs, meaning do you want to chase the most miniscule of moves in a stock's price? With the way options are structured on Pfizer you can. Look at this five day chart on Pfizer and look at this particular Call option series. These are the 24 series of Calls that expire this Friday. Why do I think these Calls offer good value? Two reasons, the first being that this stock trades on high volumes. As as of 3:50 p.m. today the stock has traded in excess of 39.6 million shares. I take comfort in this number. With this much volume I would think that the option makers would have less power and less desire to control any short term directional moves that this stock has. The second reason I like these options is that they trade in one dollar increments. I like that. In my blogs about Walmart I mention the same thing. In this case we now have a "Bid" of .22 and an "Ask" .25 with a high on the day of .42. Purchase these options in quanties of 20, 30, ...
Post a Comment

Boeing 1st Quarter 2022 Earnings Report

The markets are rough in recent days. Boeing just had earning reports come out. Here is what happened in the first hour of trading. It doesn't matter what the numbers are. What matters is how the company addresses the issues.
How does a company lick it's wounds after news like this. Well they artfully plants forward looking statements.
Seven little very polished points which help to wash away the past and make us look forward. Well done. That's why their C.E.O.s get paid big bucks. Here is a look at one series of Boeing Call options two weeks out. The 155 series of Calls which expire on May 13th 2022. Is two weeks enough time to wash this bad news away? That's the bet.
Notice this is a series which previously never had any "open interest" in them. This is rare but not necessarily a bad thing. Do you have $420.00 U.S. you want play with? It's a chunk of cash. Yes or no? Is this the right time to "pull the trigger"? It's the catching a falling knife position. It's dangerous because the stock might keep falling. It's only 10:30 a.m. so is the bad new scrubbing all over? I don't know. Sometimes you have to live on the wild side. ** A 2:00 p.m. update.
Finally here is how it closed out the day.
We will check back in on a later date.

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

A Fireside Chat - One Year Options and Thirty Day Options. Which is Better?

Image
Some say to think small, not big. Trying to play Disney options is thinking big. It is a stock slightly out of favor. If we start with it's a three year chart, we will see it is down by about 50% over that period of time. Now it's one year chart. If the stock can break 110 in early 2024 the sky is the limit. It does have a lot of moving parts so anything could happen. Look at these Calls options one year out. One year in options buys a lot of time.They look reasonable. If the stock ever inched up to the $105.00 price level in the three or four months these options would jump up in price by about 50%. Even more if they had really good news. Yet it's the "what-if" aspect of the equation that castes such a trade in doubt. "What if" stories just don't cut it. There are to many variables in play. Then again, why are we even thinking of long-term Call options after a December's rally? Let's switch gears. If consumers are out spending for X-ma...
Read more

Another Blog On "Vinfast"

Image
There is so much to read about this companies history online. Do your own homework. Their success is not dependent on what ends up happening with their sales in North America. They are nimble. There are plenty of auto factories all over the world now for sale they can acquire. They have dabbled in Australia. Having access to money to keep going doesn't seem to be their problem. Rivian also seems to enjoy this advantage. Vinfast is currently building a new plant in India which could employ thousands of people. That's an emerging new market. New relationships are being built and new investors will be coming onboard. Are option players looking at this stock? Not really if we look at these "one-month-out" Calls. What about Calls further out? What about next January? Here is a look at the three and four series of Calls. Nobody seems willing to bet Vinfast Calls. Now this. Here are two snippets taken from a blog I wrote about this stock back in early December of 2024. ...
Read more

Waiting For A Drop On The Opening On Bad News - Eli Lilly

Image
Here is the bad news. The company is Eli Lilly. How bad is this news? Well look at it trading in the premarkets. So what do I think? I think the news is a setback of sorts, but not really all that bad. The stock is going to open lower, that's a given. It's like trying to play Boeing after an announcement that an airplane has crashed. So the stock is going to crash and it might have a small rebound and then it's going to slide down some more. A test of sorts will happen sometime in the afternoon. It might stock falling but then where will it go from there? The best case scenario is a recognition that investors got it all wrong and the stock ends up flat on the day. Yet there might be more of a downward dumping of the stock on the close followed by a selloff on tomorrows opening. Should option players be jumping in to play the upside on next week's Calls? That is the question. Here is a look at Boeing on the days after a crash. Day two after the crash was equally as ...
Read more