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A Random Walk In The Park On A Monday Morning. A Caution. Monday Mornings Are Often Not An Option Players Best Friend

Let's start with this. It's now 10:26 a.m. A bet on Caterpillar rebounding by the end of the week. There are no takers. Why have to watch the screen for the next four days in agony waiting for a rebound which if happens is just a "break even trade"? But Wait. I made a mistake. The market is actually now down 668 points. What else can we look at? Interactive Brokers. These kind of stocks always do poorly on days with the threat of margin calls. Yet there is something interesting about the printout I am about to show. It is that these options are "one-month-out" Calls. These longer term options trade differently than short term options. (these options trade in one month intervals). If the stock we are following stops it's freefall the value of the options will nudge up ten, fifteen or twenty percent. A seven dollar option Call might creep back up to $8.00 or $9.00 at which time it could be sold. In contrast with a five day option a slight reversal in ...
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Deere - An Introduction to Playing Calls and Puts One Month Out.

Ten days ago I talked about playing Options on "Deer and Company" with one day to go. Today is a Monday I am going to talk about Deere again and show it's one day chart. Look at Deere go up just after opening.
Could you have played the Calls or Puts and made some money? Well only if you where playing the upside in the first thirty minutes of trading. Trading Call or Put options on Deer with four days life left in them is a tough to do. You can get caught off side all to easily. Let me now show you (this now being a Tuesday) the prices of the May 24th Deere Calls and Puts followed by it's three month chart. These are Call and Put options that expire one month out. The action in how they change in value is trend line related. In the last thirty days Deere is up about $30.00 dollars. Many traders feel safer making bets on thirty day moving averages than on let's say four day moving averages. Catch a changing trend correctly and you make out nicely.
Option players can use Call or Put options on Deere which expire in about one month's time to try and catch these types of directional moves. ** Now an April 22nd update at 1:34 p.m. Look at what the 235 Calls are now trading at, the thirty day chart to see how things have changed and the 435 Puts which are exploding in price. See what they are now trading at.
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So much for the security of being in thirty day Call or Put positions.

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