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What does the word disconnect mean? As a verb it means "to sever or interrupt the connection of or between; detach". Option trading - one day options - is a disconnect from the world. What happens to slightly "out-of-the-money" Call options on Costco when the stock shoot up thirty dollars on the day? I will show you what happened on Friday to Costco Calls and the options on a few other stocks I frequently watch. What a disconnect from the real world. But before that a look at how the indexes traded. 1) Costco. It's five day chart and a look at how three of it's option series moved upwards in one day. You may not know how to read these printouts but try to read the highs and lows on these option pricings. One printout shows an "at-the-money" option which means you are buying a contract on the stock, good for one day only at a locked in price equal to (or very close to) what the stock is currently trading at. The other two contracts shown are ...

Deere Calls

On April 7th and 8th.Trading options on Deere on a Friday which expire that day hoping to catch a directional move is tricky business for a variety of reasons. In the very first hour of trading on both of these days the "bids and asks" are often to far apart to even attempt to buy into. There are times however with two days to go until expiracy when it gets a touch easlier to play. Look at what happened for example during the trading session on Thursday April 7th. Let's start with a five day chart. Do you see the dip and rebound on the morning April 7th? A full recovery from a morning like that doesn't happen very often.
What's next? Well here is a closer look at it's one day chart on a Thursday as of 12:22 p.m.. The screen shows a low on the day of $5.37 on the 400 series of Calls and then a rebound to a bid/ask of $10:70 - $13:65. Also notice the super low number of Call options traded. What a rebound! All of this happened before noon. It was playable on its rebound if you were focused and the ride back up was sweet.
So, what's next ?
Now here is the closing recap of the day on the 400 series of Calls. Notice only 26 contracts traded on it and an open interest of only 36 contracts. That's nothing. I often wonder why there are not tens of thousands of day traders dialed into these kind of moves. It is easlier however to play options on stocks like Ford where you can purchase options costing forty or fifty dollars each that are equally as interesting to track.I get that.
Now for day two of this action which takes us to Friday April 8th. Lets start with a look at what's happening with the D.J.I. at 10:08 a.m. It's still to early into the trading session to tell what is going to happen.
So now what? Would it be foolish to try and play it on the upside? It's actually the uncertainty of which way the market is going to move which makes the exercise a game of cat and mouse. It can be rewarding when you can catch the house offside. Yet once again it takes money to play in this game and if you find yourself on the wrong side of the action you lose.
** Look at the bid and ask on the 410 Calls at 10:04 a.m.. Why not split the difference on the "bid-and-ask" and get in around $2.25? Look now at how these Call options were trading at at 11:00 a.m.
That's quite a jump. Look now another time at how the markets ended up closing the day and look at where this series of Call options closed out at.
What a sweet ride one day ride. Here is how the markets closed out the day.
** Scroll up to the top left corner and press the little icon button to read my previous blog.

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