Featured

Tesla And The Play Of The Week - An Easy Read.

Here is Telsa's five day chart. Can you see how it spiked to the upside on Friday morning before it tanked? Can you see how as the day progressed it dipped down to the support level of the $210.00 range? Here is its one day chart. Now this. Lucky in all this action are all those individuals who purchased one day Puts on Telsa in the first few minutes of trading. Look at how these Puts reacted. The lows of the day happened in the first few minutes of trading. Look at the pecentage gains. In the last example a $1.00 option went to $190.00 in one day. Catching one trade like this could make up for twenty bad trades. What's all this talk of Ai trading? Moves like this could blow up the exchanges if thousand of trading platforms could recognize this could happen. This was one of the best option trading opportunities of the decade.
Post a Comment

Ford - Earnings Come Out This Week. The Action on Monday - Thursday - This One Is A Good Read.

It starts off slowly.... a storm in the brew. Earning reports are coming out for a multitude of companies this week. G.M. is one and a day later Ford. Rising rates means lower vehicle sales. But what's going to happen when the first 25,000 Ford electric truck drivers start to tell their friends about them? It's one of the weeks of the year many odd balls like me look forward to. So much can happen. It will be quite a ride.Here is where the 13 series of Calls and Puts are trading at 9:42 a.m..
Notice the bids and asks are tight which I like so that every ten cent move in the stock's price sets them off in different directions. Here now is what it's five day chart looks like now at 10:05 a.m. going into an earnings release this Wednesday.
Ford didn't move all day and here the closing Call and Put readings.
Now here is the news going into Tuesday's markets.
Now a look at the Ford options twenty minutes after the opening bell.
"/>
It is interesting to think how G.M.'s news might be helping to drag down Ford and if that could offer a trading strategy going forward. Now an update at 1:08 p.m. on Tuesday.
Here is how Ford closed on Tuesday in a down market day.
Two notes. The option makers have done a wonderful job of holding both the Calls and Puts Flat over the last two days and G.M. and Ford both are reporting their earning reports at the start of the week and not the end of the week not to cause havoc with near the end of the week option trading. With stock not up today the expectations are somewhat muted as for tomorrow's earning report. It's now Wednesday and the stock jumped a touch. The Calls jumped from yesterday and the Puts fell. It would have taken guts to purchase the Calls early this morning with the G.M. bad news story still fresh in the air.The earnings come out after the closing bell. He is today's action.
Let's watch Ford jump on the opening tomorrow.
Now here is one look at the Call optons after this morning pop. Timing was everything.
This kind of action doesn't happen very often. You can use all of this material as reference material the next time Ford has an earnings report out. Four times a year this stock is prone to this kind of action.

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

A Fireside Chat - One Year Options and Thirty Day Options. Which is Better?

Image
Some say to think small, not big. Trying to play Disney options is thinking big. It is a stock slighty out of favor. If we start with it's a three year chart, we will see it is down by about 50% over that period of time. Now it's one year chart. If the stock can break 110 in early 2024 the sky is the limit. It does have a lot of moving parts so anything could happen. Look at these Calls options one year out. One year in options buys a lot of time.They look reasonable. If the stock ever inched up to the $105.00 price level in the three or four months these options would jump up in price by about 50%. Even more if they had really good news. Yet it's the "what-if" aspect of the equation that castes such a trade in doubt. "What if" stories just don't cut it. There are to many variables in play. Then again, why are we even thinking of long-term Call options after a December's rally? Let's switch gears. If consumers are out spending for X-mas
Read more

The Crazy Last Day of Option Trading In Tesla.

Image
First, look at it's five day chart. Big jumps everyday. If you try and jump in and play the downside everyday you will quickly get beat up. Here for example is one look at the Tesla 235 Puts on Wednesday at 9:34 a.m., only then to check out the same Puts a few minutes later at 10:15 a.m. How do you know what to do? Well you don't fight stocks running up over $8.00 in the first thirteen minutes of trading. Now here is how these Puts were trading at 12:59 p.m. The game is to sell the Puts when the stock is rising and then cover them to be out of the markets at a profit by the end of the day. It's not the small fish playing this game. Now today is Thursday July 4th and the markets are closed. Tomorrow is Friday July 5th.These Put options will be expiring at tomorrow at 3:00 p.m. If Telsa opens down two or three dollars on the opening there is the potential for a small reaction. They will still however be extremely "out-of-the-money". They might jump a touch i
Read more

I Wonder How The Back Office Is Going To Handle My Complaint

Image
The blog is about dealing with the back office of the brokerage company I trade with. This story happened today. Todays trading session has closed and I just made a telephone call to them just after the market closed to voice a complaint over how I feel I got short changed. Here are my background notes. 1) It involves trading the 370 Boeing Puts that expire at the end of this week. I bought in at 10:08:34 a.m. and sold out at 2:59:38 p.m. I was stuck in this position longer than I had hoped. I got lucky and did O.K., however that is not the point. 2) Here are my two "in-and-out" tickets. Two contracts in at 10:08 a.m. at $163.00 each and two contracts out then "at-market" for $365.00 each at 2:59.38 p.m. Now here is Boeing's one day chart. It dropped precipitously from 2:59:00 p.m.to 3:00:p.m. I just happened to be watching it at the exact time of the crash. That's when news came out that the "FAA opens Now a Boeing Inquiry over 787 inspections"
Read more