Featured

"Tony The Tiger" - A Food Stock

The mood of Wall Street is now changing as the reality of tariffs is starting to kick in. Two weeks ago not so much so. Kelloggs had "so-so" earnings come out a few weeks ago and the stock exploded upwards. Note the very last line above mentions the effects of tariffs are not taken into consideration. So many stocks with "so-so" earning reports have jumped in price based on the "lets make America great again" slogan. Deere stock is shooting to the moon as I keep writing about in spite of declining sales in the last quarter. The sentiment seems to be that they are immune to tariffs. On paper they might be. Read this. Americans are struggling to buy gas, eggs and insurance. Total housing starts in the U.S.in 2024 were down 3.9%. Walmart, the recent darling stock in the last four weeks for Call option players woke up this morning with an earnings report which was healthy but with came with some caveats. Here is what happened. Perhaps the U.S. is starting ...
Post a Comment

Canadian Owned Electrameccanica. Another Look At It. Also a One Year Later Comment.

Zoom, zoom goes this little electic vehicle. It's a one seater with only three wheels cruising in a lane reserved for two people cars. Their new factory to build them in is soon to be finished. It's in the U.S.. So much for investing on home turf. Earning reports just came out. I have talked about this company before. Go to their website and listen to a ten minute company report. Everything seems very upbeat. If they can ramp up their production to 20,000 units a year everyone including investors will be happy.
Pick the model stlye you like and pick the color. Go to their website and give them your credit card number. A deposit of $250.00 will put you on the buyers list. But wait, Frank Stonach has plans for his three wheeled "Carit" to be built in Ontario. Before you make a decision on any three wheeled companies future you might want to check out some of the driver's reviews found on the internet. They are not the safest vehicles around.
Other parts of the world are building three wheeled electric vehicles at a torrid pace.
This one looks like a toothpick waiting to get knocked over. Here is how Electrameccanica has preformed.
Do I like this stock? Not really. Why not? Well the company seems to have wasted a ton of money so far to get to where they are at now. Things for example like promotion. They have attended all so many national auto shows. Why? The real danger is that some day down the road they may need to raise more money. While Electameccanica has cash in reserve right now if they are not strong on execution things could look different very quickly. That's one of the problems with so many of these preproduction stage companies. The January 2023 Calls with a striking price of $2.00 now cost $.25 cents or twenty five dollars a contract and are lightly traded.Insiders are not jumping to get onboard.
They are not a very good bet. January 20th 2022 is like only a half a year away. Building a new factory is going to cost money. It will be a period of "let's add to the hype". What an exhausting ride so far for existing shareholders. Polestar and Fisker are two other companies waiting to get going who are in this same boat. Until they all start to sell vehicles there isn't much to get excited about.
**** August 23th. Another electric vehicle story. This time Canadian made electric snowmobiles.
An update one year later. Electrameccanica is looking for new opportunities and lawyers are now chasing them.

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Living on Kraft Dinner?

Image
What does the word disconnect mean? As a verb it means "to sever or interrupt the connection of or between; detach". Option trading - one day options - is a disconnect from the world. What happens to slightly "out-of-the-money" Call options on Costco when the stock shoot up thirty dollars on the day? I will show you what happened on Friday to Costco Calls and the options on a few other stocks I frequently watch. What a disconnect from the real world. But before that a look at how the indexes traded. 1) Costco. It's five day chart and a look at how three of it's option series moved upwards in one day. You may not know how to read these printouts but try to read the highs and lows on these option pricings. One printout shows an "at-the-money" option which means you are buying a contract on the stock, good for one day only at a locked in price equal to (or very close to) what the stock is currently trading at. The other two contracts shown are ...
Read more

The Little Engine That Could

Image
Walmart again. It's all I seem to blog about. Here is it's five day chart. The stock keeps going up and the option series are set up in one dollar spreads. Even a fifty cent move on the stock moves the needle on these Calls. Look at how this series of Calls was trading yesterday at 3:00 p.m.. Now here is this same series of Calls just before noon today. Thirty days of upward action like this punctuated by the off day of decline. Now notice the higher volume of trading in the series of Calls with the higher striking price. These are the ones's with more leverage. At the same time look at the five day chart on Costco. The two stocks sometimes trade in tandem. Humpty dumpty sat on a wall .... a had a great fall. Someday soon a fall might happen but what a great ride it has been.
Read more

A Fireside Chat - One Year Options and Thirty Day Options. Which is Better?

Image
Some say to think small, not big. Trying to play Disney options is thinking big. It is a stock slighty out of favor. If we start with it's a three year chart, we will see it is down by about 50% over that period of time. Now it's one year chart. If the stock can break 110 in early 2024 the sky is the limit. It does have a lot of moving parts so anything could happen. Look at these Calls options one year out. One year in options buys a lot of time.They look reasonable. If the stock ever inched up to the $105.00 price level in the three or four months these options would jump up in price by about 50%. Even more if they had really good news. Yet it's the "what-if" aspect of the equation that castes such a trade in doubt. "What if" stories just don't cut it. There are to many variables in play. Then again, why are we even thinking of long-term Call options after a December's rally? Let's switch gears. If consumers are out spending for X-mas...
Read more