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Caterpillar - Catching A Reversal On A Monday

Mondays are not the best of days to look for reversals however Caterpillar jumped upwards a modest amount which impacted the value of this series of Puts. The Puts are off about 50% on the day at this point in time. This is a 1:36 p.m.readout. Here is it's five day chart. Now its one day chart. It's Puts. Why consider them? It would seem like kind of a random thing to do. Why fight a strong stock? One reason is that the markets are only mildly up and could give back some of it's gains before the end of the day. Caterpillar could be gaining strenght based on all of last weeks business articles talking about how Caterpillar could potentially benefit from all this new AI movement. Caterpillar afterall builds heavy equipment which can be used in the construction of nuclear reactors. Notice that the five day chart is in an uptrend and notice the small open interest numbers in the Puts. That's understandable. No one wants to hold Puts on Caterpillar when it is in this...

Walmart Shines on Earnings Reports

Look at this chart.
It's the five day chart on Walmart leading into this morning's opening bell. Walmart releases it's second quarter eanings report before the opening bell. But wait, look at this chart.This wasn't that long ago. Walmart at times can stumble. Do consumers, hit by inflation have money to spend?
Now also look at this one.
My point is that if you guess the wrong way on Walmart you will get burnt. So now how are the cards stacked up this morning waiting for this earnings report? Here is a look at two close to the money Calls and Puts.
So here is what happened about twenty minutes after the opening bell.
The Puts got obliterated. The real winners were all the Call option purchasers who got in a few days ago. Here is how this option series closed the day.
Why did happen this way? In a way Walmart's results act as a barometer of how the U.S. economy is doing. It's mainstream in a different way than Costco. Opportunities to make a judgement call like this happen four times a year.

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