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"Tony The Tiger" - A Food Stock

The mood of Wall Street is now changing as the reality of tariffs is starting to kick in. Two weeks ago not so much so. Kelloggs had "so-so" earnings come out a few weeks ago and the stock exploded upwards. Note the very last line above mentions the effects of tariffs are not taken into consideration. So many stocks with "so-so" earning reports have jumped in price based on the "lets make America great again" slogan. Deere stock is shooting to the moon as I keep writing about in spite of declining sales in the last quarter. The sentiment seems to be that they are immune to tariffs. On paper they might be. Read this. Americans are struggling to buy gas, eggs and insurance. Total housing starts in the U.S.in 2024 were down 3.9%. Walmart, the recent darling stock in the last four weeks for Call option players woke up this morning with an earnings report which was healthy but with came with some caveats. Here is what happened. Perhaps the U.S. is starting ...

Sept. 23 th. The DJI Up Over 800 Points and Caterpillar Jumps

I played Boeing Calls three times this week and won everytime. In a blog two days ago I reported I don't like playing options on Thursday that expire the next day. The reason being is that if you guess the wrong direction you will lose all your money. Failure is harsh medicine.That being said this time I was watching Caterpillar and it opened down as did the markets. Inflation report numbers came out and everyone got it wrong. I jumped in. Look at how it crashed on the opening.
I got in at 9:39 a.m. Look at the chart to see where the stock was at that time. Call me crazy. Here is a better "one day" look at the chart.
Now look at when I got in. I got in at 9:35 a.m. and paid $250.00 for one contract. The low on the day was $2.05 and that was before I got in. I had just made more than twice that amount in Canadian dollars paying Boeing so that's the way I justified my actions.
A drop of like six or seven dollars. For the first ten minutes after I got in I thought I was smoked! How could any stock rebound from a drop that large? Then it started to rebound ever so slightly and I just wanted my money back. The market could roll over and sink again. Anything could happen. In my quest to get out I fought with the option makers and cancelled two sell tickets before I got filled. Can you see above how that happened at 10:11 a.m. and at 10:21 a.m. I cancelled and resubmited a sell ticket? I was chasing the markets down. Finally at 10:21 a.m. I was out. Five minutes or so later it started to explode upwards.
Notice these options hit a high of $9.74 on the day and notice that only 125 contracts traded. Caterpillar has over 128,000 employees. Do the math. Only a small percent of them are playing options on their companies stock. Life is what you make it. Most people don't play options. Today I went to the races and I got spooked as the markets took a slight pause one hour into the morning trading.

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