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Caterpillar - Catching A Reversal On A Tuesday

Tuesdays are not the best of days to look for reversals however Caterpillar jumped a modest amount which impacted the value of this series of Puts. This is a 1:36 p.m. readout. Here is it's five day chart. Now its one day chart. It would seem like kind of a random thing to do and why fight a strong stock? One reason is that the markets are only mildly up and could give back some of it's gains before the end of the day. Caterpillar could be gaining strenght based on last weeks articles talking about how Caterpillar could potential gain from this new AI movement. Notice that the five day chart is in an uptrend and notice the small open interest numbers in the Puts. No one wants to hold Puts on Caterpillar when it is in this uptrend. Could it has a soft selloff in the next two hours? Here it is now 50 minutes later. The "bid and ask" are almost unchanged. There is also not much change in the DJIA index.Now this. The DJIA is sellig off and Caterpillar is hanging ...
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"Ford Motor Company" Blogs are Always the Easiest to Understand

PART ONE. It's a company that makes cars and trucks and the stock currently is at around $14.00 per share. Sell more vehicles on a monthly basis and the price of the stock will go up. That's pretty simple. Now read this latest news.
So was that all good news or bad news or a combination of both? Sales were down annually over 7%. Remember also how many of the previous news releases talked about a high number of trucks sitting in parking lots waiting for a few final parts before they can be shipped out. Here now is a look at the 14 series of Calls which will expire in five trading days.
They are trading at 20 dollars a contract so the break even number at the end of the week would have to be around $14.20 per share. PART TWO. I played the same series of Calls last week, buying them at 9:42 a.m. last Monday morning. Here are the two fills. It's about the same price now as it was last last week at the same time.
Now to answer the question of how I did. I was offside big time on Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday but Ford popped Thursday morning and I got out ok.
Here is its five day chart. Imagine buying in on last Wednesday afternoon instead of on Monday morning like I did and getting out when it popped the next day!
Part Three. Here now is how the same series of the fourteen series of Calls closed out last Friday Dec 2nd. They were worth nothing because the stock closed under $14.00 a share. Can you see how highly leveraged these options can be? Part Four. Can you play options on Ford and continually make money? No. The stock wanders. They are however interesting to play on news releases and around earning seasons.

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