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A Random Walk In The Park On A Monday Morning. A Caution. Monday Mornings Are Often Not An Option Players Best Friend

Let's start with this. It's now 10:26 a.m. A bet on Caterpillar rebounding by the end of the week. There are no takers. Why have to watch the screen for the next four days in agony waiting for a rebound which if happens is just a "break even trade"? But Wait. I made a mistake. The market is actually now down 668 points. What else can we look at? Interactive Brokers. These kind of stocks always do poorly on days with the threat of margin calls. Yet there is something interesting about the printout I am about to show. It is that these options are "one-month-out" Calls. These longer term options trade differently than short term options. (these options trade in one month intervals). If the stock we are following stops it's freefall the value of the options will nudge up ten, fifteen or twenty percent. A seven dollar option Call might creep back up to $8.00 or $9.00 at which time it could be sold. In contrast with a five day option a slight reversal in ...

Visa - A Stock to Add To Your Radar Screen On A Friday Morning.

A credit crunch is happening and Visa should be enthralled in this action. Yet what does that mean for the stock on a day to basis? Not much. Watch last Fridays trading pattern which in many ways was similiar to how Boeing traded last Thursday. That was the subject matter of my last blog. First at look at last weeks five day chart and it's Friday's one day chart.
Like my last blog, this is another example of a "purchase on a dip" scenario. Presented now are three different series of Call options all of which expired last Friday.
Would you have the guts to be buying Call options on Visa on the dip it had last Friday morning? These were Call options expiring that afternoon. Now look at this. Look at how Visa traded on the following Monday when the DJI charged up. Look at the action on the 222.50 series of Calls.
What does this suggest? To me it suggests that there is some trickery to how stocks can be manipulated on Fridays. The trick is in learning how to get onboard.

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