Featured

Towards Understanding The Usefullnes Of Long Term Call Options

What do you think of this chart? It's Moderna. It's going to do something but what is it going to do? Up or down and what time horizon should we be looking at? Should it be two days, a week or perhaps two or three months? Here is the chatter about it. Moderna got smoked and now its time to get over it. It's that simple. Here now is how it is trading the morning after. For option traders this is kind of a "no win" situation. Yes it could move up but it could also start to waiver again. Stay away. Now Moderna on the following day. Here is a new chart to look at. Here is what caused the dip. It has had a good run. So now what? Maybe the longer term Calls? Maybe however there is a problem with them. Built into the equasion on both of these stocks is the mindset that they are both going to recover from these tumbles. Look at how expensive these two different series of twelve dollars "out-of-the-money" Call options are on Eli Lilly. It's ridiculous....
Post a Comment

Interday Trading Opportunities. Feb 15th - Boeing

Let's talk about Boeing. The stock was down $1.01 on the day. Here is it's early morning chart.
Call you see it drop a touch before 10:a.m.? Now here is it's chart on the day.
Here is what I did.
In at 9:45 a.m. at $365.00 about ten minutes to early and in at 10:04 a.m. at $305.00 just as the stock started to rebound. That was good timing. I was buying the 215 Calls which expire in three days. That was a chunk of money and what I was really hoping for was a $2.00 quick rebound. That didn't happen and I quickly found myself babysitting something I really didn't want to be in. You can also see my second buy in above. Now check on the chart to see the action between 9:30 a.m. and 11:30 a.m. when I was in this position, now with two contracts. I got tired of waiting and I was lucky to get out before the selloff that happened around 12:30 p.m.. You can see my sell ticket and it's timing also on the ticket shown above. Out of both contracts at $380.00 with one sell ticket. I still liked Boeing as it had a big airplane order this week. My focus for the week however was to shadow the market and take small quick profits. I made less than $70.00 on this one and I found myself stuck in the position for almost two hours waiting for a pop. Talk about painful. Then I double dipped. I seem to have a high threshold for pain. I witnessed Boeing selling off a bit after I got out and I wanted to get back in the action. This was forty minutes after I got out. I was now hoping for an afternoon rally.
I bought back in at 12:10 p.m.. Look back up at the chart again to see where Boeing was at then. It was off in price. My timing to get back in was good.This time however I wanted more upside leverage so I moved the striking price up one series. This time I purchased the 217.50 Calls (vs.the 215 Calls) which was a higher risk but offered more of a return if the stock rebounded quickly. He is what I did.
I bought four contracts at $.96 each at 12:10 p.m.
I got out after waiting just over 1.5 hours to make $25.00 less commissions on each of four contracts. I got out at 1:42 p.m. at $121.00 a contract. That trade was a touch smoother. No one was giving out free money today. Boeing closed the day down $1.01.

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

A Fireside Chat - One Year Options and Thirty Day Options. Which is Better?

Image
Some say to think small, not big. Trying to play Disney options is thinking big. It is a stock slighty out of favor. If we start with it's a three year chart, we will see it is down by about 50% over that period of time. Now it's one year chart. If the stock can break 110 in early 2024 the sky is the limit. It does have a lot of moving parts so anything could happen. Look at these Calls options one year out. One year in options buys a lot of time.They look reasonable. If the stock ever inched up to the $105.00 price level in the three or four months these options would jump up in price by about 50%. Even more if they had really good news. Yet it's the "what-if" aspect of the equation that castes such a trade in doubt. "What if" stories just don't cut it. There are to many variables in play. Then again, why are we even thinking of long-term Call options after a December's rally? Let's switch gears. If consumers are out spending for X-mas...
Read more

Trump Media Technology Options With Three Days To Go.

Image
On Tuesday just after 3:00 p.m the Trump Media Technology Options had stop traded again. What is the next 24 hours going to bring? Who knows. So many option traders follow this stock and most are afraid to buy either Call or Put Options on it because their premiums are so expensive. If Trumph wins the stock should soar and if he loses the stock will tank. The option premiums are priced expensively in both directions. Here now is how both the Calls and Puts traded on the opening today. First the Calls six minutes into the opening. Now the Puts. Now a look at how these options played the day. With a "stop trading" situation the option session ended a little bit early as evidenced in these following readings. Notice also how low the open interest number is in these Puts. Option traders for the most part opted to stay away from this situation. Now this. Trump wins. Here is how the 38 series of Calls traded just after the opening at 10:11 a.m.. The stock is up however the...
Read more

Another Earnings Report - "Roku" - Thursdays and Friday Trading.

Image
Please read this Roku "earnings report" blog. Roku was down fifteen dollars in the first hour of trading today after the release of it's third quarter earnings report. Here is a 10:52 a.m. look at one series of Puts that doubled in price on the opening as a result of this sell off. In my last blog on Caterpillar I talked about points of inflection where stocks rebound after bad news. This time an inflection point may not be in the cards. Caterpillars earning were just shy of expections but nothing had really changed. The world still needs their products and they are still a dominant player in their industry. Roku is a different animal. Their subscribers are a fickle bunch. Companies like Roku and Netflix go up and down all the time. Roku now is just back to a level at which it was trading at earlier this year. I don't know how to interpret their financial statements. Things still look pretty good for them to me. Once again here is a look at the increase in the value...
Read more