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"Tony The Tiger" - A Food Stock

The mood of Wall Street is now changing as the reality of tariffs is starting to kick in. Two weeks ago not so much so. Kelloggs had "so-so" earnings come out a few weeks ago and the stock exploded upwards. Note the very last line above mentions the effects of tariffs are not taken into consideration. So many stocks with "so-so" earning reports have jumped in price based on the "lets make America great again" slogan. Deere stock is shooting to the moon as I keep writing about in spite of declining sales in the last quarter. The sentiment seems to be that they are immune to tariffs. On paper they might be. Read this. Americans are struggling to buy gas, eggs and insurance. Total housing starts in the U.S.in 2024 were down 3.9%. Walmart, the recent darling stock in the last four weeks for Call option players woke up this morning with an earnings report which was healthy but with came with some caveats. Here is what happened. Perhaps the U.S. is starting ...

The Concept Of Playing Caterpillar Calls From An Oversold Situation

There is a danger in playing oversold situations. How do you truly know it's oversold? Well last week there was a total blowout in the markets as it kept dropping everyday. Each day last week was a blur to the downside. What are weekends all about? They are a reprieve in situations like this from all of this negative energy. Thing's can't go down forever. Here is Caterpillar's most recent chart.
So this morning, with fresh minds coming to the screens an uptick could be in sight. I would think so, I watched this mornings action. Look at these printouts. I was tracking one of the series of Caterpillar's Calls. It was lonely experience. Few people were watching this action, or lack of action. There were no trades in this series of Calls in the first few minutes and the speads were far apart. Where was the rebound? Look at this..
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Wow. Only 2 contracts traded 9 minutes after the opening bell and 31 contracts traded in the 225 Calls an hour into the trading session. No one saw an uptick coming but it did. Let's move on. Here is how these options closed the day.Trading options on series like this (a big name stock after a weekend reprieve from the slaughter and no real volume on the Calls) is a good strategy.
No volume, to me that's a good thing. Tomorrow should be a good day. ( the Yahoo chart cut out at 2:00p.m.)
****** A next morning March 14th update. These options are up.
At 10:45 a.m. look at how light the volume of trading is. Look at a morning jump to over $6.00 per contract. Amazingly next to nothing in the way of Call options traded on it. Yet it's Caterpillar which has a huge following. I find that all so strange. But then again option traders are afraid to play options on this stock because it's not like playing Tesla or Boeing which both have more knee jerking reactions to ongoing news. That's the way I see it.

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