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Showing posts from April, 2023

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How To Avoid Time Value Traps With Last Week Options.

This blog is not going to be an exhausting study of this topic. I just want to show you a few charts found in recent blogs and comment on which ones seem to skirt the issue of "time-value-concerns' and which ones don't. 1) Avoid Thursday at the close Call options. In this case Thursday is the second last day of the above chart. If you guess the wrong direction on the close it's going to be game over on Friday when the options expire. Thursday at the close on options that expire the next day are the biggest time value traps you can buy into. If the stock moves in the wrong direction it's game over. 2) Ford on a Monday going into Tuesday. On this chart April 13th is a Monday and Tuesday is the 14th. Can you see Ford closing strong on the close of the 13th? It would make sense to get in on the stong closing because these Calls would still have four trading days to recover if Tuesdays opening was not all that spectacular. 3) This time it's Caterpillar and it...

A Blogging Website About Caterpillar

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Ok. I am guilty of falling asleep at the switch. Caterpillar had great earning report this morning and the stock tanked on the opening. Here is it's five and one day chart. Now the highlights of the report. So now what do I want to show. How the different series of Call options traded. Notice the volumes in the 200 and 202.50 Calls. Next to no volume. Notice the rewards on the higher priced "out-of-the-money" Calls. Big rewards. In the ninety minutes of trading this morning the stock was off slightly. What an opportunity missed!