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"Tony The Tiger" - A Food Stock

The mood of Wall Street is now changing as the reality of tariffs is starting to kick in. Two weeks ago not so much so. Kelloggs had "so-so" earnings come out a few weeks ago and the stock exploded upwards. Note the very last line above mentions the effects of tariffs are not taken into consideration. So many stocks with "so-so" earning reports have jumped in price based on the "lets make America great again" slogan. Deere stock is shooting to the moon as I keep writing about in spite of declining sales in the last quarter. The sentiment seems to be that they are immune to tariffs. On paper they might be. Read this. Americans are struggling to buy gas, eggs and insurance. Total housing starts in the U.S.in 2024 were down 3.9%. Walmart, the recent darling stock in the last four weeks for Call option players woke up this morning with an earnings report which was healthy but with came with some caveats. Here is what happened. Perhaps the U.S. is starting ...

A Friday Rally

It happened. Telsa jumped on a Friday which is something remenicent of what it would do back in 2020. Here is an extreme example of how an "out-of-the-money" Call option jumped from obscurity to being worth lots of money at one point during the trading session on Friday..
There was a little bit of chatter about how Telsa raised some of their prices modestly this week and then the D.J.I. jumped over 500 points on Friday. So here now is where this blog gets a touch tangential. On the close on Thursday this Call option was eight dollars and eighty cents "out-of-the-money" and closed at $.10 or ten dollars a contract. Who would be stupid enough to be spending money on this type of a contract which would expire the next day with the probabities of a payoff being so negligibly small? Or are they? Sometimes when I see people driving new shiny Mustang convertables I wonder if they got them by purchasing Ford Calls on a Thursday with one day to go for $2,000 and selling them for $30,000 the next day after the stock jumped. With a Friday pop it happens more often than you might think. So Telsa jumped $8.86 on the day. Look once again at it's five day chart. Can you see how on Wednesday and Thursday it was trading in the $165.00 range? Given where it once was, wouldn't there be a good chance of a quick rebound of three or four or five dollar on Friday morning? If it did, then the ten dollar Call options would at least double or even triple in price. In this case these Calls dropped from ten dollars per contract down to one dollar a contract just after the opening before rebounding back up to a high of 83 dollars. On a different note, here now is how the 165 Telsa Calls did on the day and the Ford Calls.
Fridays with 500 point rallies are days to be savoured. * Shopify Calls were the lucky ones this week.

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