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Cat Calls

The markets opened stronger on a Friday morning and Caterpillar Calls jump over $8.00 in the thirty five minutes of trading. Look at the volume of trading on this series of options. Seven contracts! These are the Puts. What if the opening markets tops out? That volume of trading in the Puts is nothing. Let's compare that number to the number of Calls on this series of Tesla Calls at the same time in the morning. 7 vs 17,309. Crazy. Why are people so afraid to play Caterpillar Calls when the stock has had such a strong surge as of late? Now let's move forward and look at how these two series of Caterpillar options are trading a few minutes later at 10:35 a.m.. The Calls are up even more which draws are attention to what the Puts are doing. Notice the wide spread in the "Bid" and "Ask" on the Puts. This indicates that the option market makers are in a particulary vulnerable spot. Now this, the markets have changed. There was Trumph and China tariff news. Ca...
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Harley-Davidson

First, I am not a big fan of playing options on stocks in the thirty and forty dollar range. It's not like speculating in Boeing or Caterpillar Calls and Puts with these stocks swinging up or down two or three dollars nearly everyday. Harley Davidson is a thirty five dollar stock. Look at how it is trading so poorly on the good earnings news back at the end of April.
Now here is some of this news.
All the good news was wiped out by the forecasting of a bit of a slowdown in the second half of this year. Investors who bought in early this year when the stock was trading over fifteen dollars higher who correctly anticipcated this surge of earnings must now feel so frustrated. Where are their rewards? Now look below and see where the January 37 Calls are trading at. If the stock gets above forty you would be in luck. That would buy you their next two earnings reports. By then management might see their business in a more favourable light. Yet the chart looks ugly and there doesn't seem to be a support level.* With most option positions "time value" works against you. When you purchase eight months of time and your reasonings for buying in turn out to be correct the time value can become your friend. It is however still a scary position to be considering.

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