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First Solar. Part Two And Visa And Walmart.

Back on Thursday I said don't hang onto First Solar Calls going into the Friday trading session after it dropped mid week about $30.00 in one day. Why be stuck in a one day option position just after it had a major drop? Revisit that blog if you like. Now let's move forward to Monday afternoon on January 12th. Here is how First Solar is now doing. It has had a bounce. This time we are looking at it's "this-weeks", Call options. Notice the open interest number? Those were mostly all positions opened up last week by forward thinking option players. Now this. Visa. Last week Trumph suggested after the markets closed on Friday that he wants to cap interest rates on credit cards at 10% for one year. Today is Monday afternoon. Look at Visa's one week chart. Visa dropped $10.00 on the Monday opening, in reaction to this news. Now look at the action in the 340 series of Calls. Lets better look at this activity from a different perspective. Traders who bought Call o...

Harley-Davidson

First, I am not a big fan of playing options on stocks in the thirty and forty dollar range. It's not like speculating in Boeing or Caterpillar Calls and Puts with these stocks swinging up or down two or three dollars nearly everyday. Harley Davidson is a thirty five dollar stock. Look at how it is trading so poorly on the good earnings news back at the end of April.
Now here is some of this news.
All the good news was wiped out by the forecasting of a bit of a slowdown in the second half of this year. Investors who bought in early this year when the stock was trading over fifteen dollars higher who correctly anticipcated this surge of earnings must now feel so frustrated. Where are their rewards? Now look below and see where the January 37 Calls are trading at. If the stock gets above forty you would be in luck. That would buy you their next two earnings reports. By then management might see their business in a more favourable light. Yet the chart looks ugly and there doesn't seem to be a support level.* With most option positions "time value" works against you. When you purchase eight months of time and your reasonings for buying in turn out to be correct the time value can become your friend. It is however still a scary position to be considering.

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