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Do You Have To Be A Wizard To Play Exxon Mobile Options? You Decide.

Look at this chart. It's Exxon's one day trading chart of last Friday. Zoom,zoom, zoom. Here is it's five day chart. Shipping oil on the high seas is becoming more of a game of cat and mouse. Looking at the above five day chart would you want to holding this weeks 135 Calls starting the trading session on Monday morning? Here is how the 135 Calls closed the week. Now this, the premarkets on Monday morning. You can't trust these numbers. Sometimes the hype burns itself out before the markets open. At some point in this process the following news ws being assimilated. Now this. Exxon jumps on the opening but not that much and quickly gives up some of that gain. Now this. The Calls are up 25% in the first three minutes of trading. That's something but not bad if you bought in at the closing seconds of Friday's trading session. Are traders now rushing in to buy the Puts? Not really. Exxon Mobile commands respect. Now this at 9:57 a.m. Exxon is now down...
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Harley-Davidson

First, I am not a big fan of playing options on stocks in the thirty and forty dollar range. It's not like speculating in Boeing or Caterpillar Calls and Puts with these stocks swinging up or down two or three dollars nearly everyday. Harley Davidson is a thirty five dollar stock. Look at how it is trading so poorly on the good earnings news back at the end of April.
Now here is some of this news.
All the good news was wiped out by the forecasting of a bit of a slowdown in the second half of this year. Investors who bought in early this year when the stock was trading over fifteen dollars higher who correctly anticipcated this surge of earnings must now feel so frustrated. Where are their rewards? Now look below and see where the January 37 Calls are trading at. If the stock gets above forty you would be in luck. That would buy you their next two earnings reports. By then management might see their business in a more favourable light. Yet the chart looks ugly and there doesn't seem to be a support level.* With most option positions "time value" works against you. When you purchase eight months of time and your reasonings for buying in turn out to be correct the time value can become your friend. It is however still a scary position to be considering.

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