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Eli Lilly

When a stock drops over $50.00 in the first three hours on trading one a day and when the DJIA index is up can you play it for a one or two day partial rebound? $9.00 or nine hundred dollars gets you in. That's the question now being asked and based on the number of new Call contracts being purchased the answer is probably no. As of 11:50 a.m. I can't find any news to explain this drop. Now this, if you just came off a morning gain from trading Tesla Calls, see my last blog might you be willing to part with some of these winnings? This could be another short term opportunity given that the D.J.I.A is so strong. Lets check out the action in thirty minutes. The stock is up $3.81 and the Call options went from $9.00 to $11.80 in thirty minutes. Do you take the money and run? Very few traders are speculating in this series of Calls. There is the danger that in this kind of situations that a second shoe could drop at any minute. Yet the DJIA continues to remain positive. That sho...
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Harley-Davidson

First, I am not a big fan of playing options on stocks in the thirty and forty dollar range. It's not like speculating in Boeing or Caterpillar Calls and Puts with these stocks swinging up or down two or three dollars nearly everyday. Harley Davidson is a thirty five dollar stock. Look at how it is trading so poorly on the good earnings news back at the end of April.
Now here is some of this news.
All the good news was wiped out by the forecasting of a bit of a slowdown in the second half of this year. Investors who bought in early this year when the stock was trading over fifteen dollars higher who correctly anticipcated this surge of earnings must now feel so frustrated. Where are their rewards? Now look below and see where the January 37 Calls are trading at. If the stock gets above forty you would be in luck. That would buy you their next two earnings reports. By then management might see their business in a more favourable light. Yet the chart looks ugly and there doesn't seem to be a support level.* With most option positions "time value" works against you. When you purchase eight months of time and your reasonings for buying in turn out to be correct the time value can become your friend. It is however still a scary position to be considering.

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