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Caterpillar Jumps On The Opening

Can you fight it? ... Why would you want to? It's not like the Stellantis opportunity we had on Monday morning. Is the stock running out of momentum? Up over $22.00 and then up over $28.00 and then up over $30.00. Now this less than an hour later. Caterpillar takes a hit. When Caterpillar goes up over $30.00 in fourteen minutes and you catch it (with Puts) on the downside just take your profits and run. I will show you below how it closed the day. Now a trading comment. It's difficult to fight rising stocks and in hindsight the answer to Caterpillar's meteoric rise would be in holding it's thirty days Calls purchased in the recent past. Today's situation was a mid week option trade, the one day of the week I have often referred to as being the day of reversals. Caterpillar jumped on no news and Deere just sputtered along. It's largely insituational trading and various analyist are bullish on the stock. If this kind of a jump happened on a Thursday or Fr...
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Harley-Davidson

First, I am not a big fan of playing options on stocks in the thirty and forty dollar range. It's not like speculating in Boeing or Caterpillar Calls and Puts with these stocks swinging up or down two or three dollars nearly everyday. Harley Davidson is a thirty five dollar stock. Look at how it is trading so poorly on the good earnings news back at the end of April.
Now here is some of this news.
All the good news was wiped out by the forecasting of a bit of a slowdown in the second half of this year. Investors who bought in early this year when the stock was trading over fifteen dollars higher who correctly anticipcated this surge of earnings must now feel so frustrated. Where are their rewards? Now look below and see where the January 37 Calls are trading at. If the stock gets above forty you would be in luck. That would buy you their next two earnings reports. By then management might see their business in a more favourable light. Yet the chart looks ugly and there doesn't seem to be a support level.* With most option positions "time value" works against you. When you purchase eight months of time and your reasonings for buying in turn out to be correct the time value can become your friend. It is however still a scary position to be considering.

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