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Caterpillar Jumps Like $30.00 On The Opening

Here is it's chart. Nobody used options to play it. The stock opened stronger. Now what? The Puts? Ten contracts have traded in the 707.50 series. . Why aren't more traders attracted to this situation? Why haven't ten or fifteen thousand contracts on this series traded so far this morning? Sure it's dangerous however the potential to make money on this trade is huge. Over the next few hours or days Trumph will mess up again and say something stupid. He is the most powerful man in the world. Let's see what happens. Now this only fourteen minutes later. Look at the wide spread in the "bid-and-ask"? Nervousness is in the air. Now this, a look at a lower series of Put options, the $700.00 series. When I see 100 contracts traded I get suspicious. A bigger fish is also playing these options. That's a good thing. Going solo can be a lonely game. Let's move forward to 12:15 p.m.. Let's go back to the 707.50 series of Puts and look at how it is t...

Harley-Davidson

First, I am not a big fan of playing options on stocks in the thirty and forty dollar range. It's not like speculating in Boeing or Caterpillar Calls and Puts with these stocks swinging up or down two or three dollars nearly everyday. Harley Davidson is a thirty five dollar stock. Look at how it is trading so poorly on the good earnings news back at the end of April.
Now here is some of this news.
All the good news was wiped out by the forecasting of a bit of a slowdown in the second half of this year. Investors who bought in early this year when the stock was trading over fifteen dollars higher who correctly anticipcated this surge of earnings must now feel so frustrated. Where are their rewards? Now look below and see where the January 37 Calls are trading at. If the stock gets above forty you would be in luck. That would buy you their next two earnings reports. By then management might see their business in a more favourable light. Yet the chart looks ugly and there doesn't seem to be a support level.* With most option positions "time value" works against you. When you purchase eight months of time and your reasonings for buying in turn out to be correct the time value can become your friend. It is however still a scary position to be considering.

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