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Boeing Jumps 10% In One Day!

1) It's chart. 2) A look at how two series of Calls reacted to this news. This time around the volume of options in these two Call positions and other Boeing Call option positions spiked. What a poor way to be offering this kind of guidance. 3) The news. The exact wording of what was said by it's C.F.O. can be found on other news outlets. It wasn't presented in formal way or in a clear and professional manner. 4) Here is why the timing of this news was so welcomed. Here is Boeing's news from 31 days before. What a different story. One month ago Boeing dropped to $205.00 on this news. The bottom line to all of this is that this kind of "happy days" news is putting so many other stocks like Caterpillar in unchartered territories. It's all kind of like walking on eggs. 5) As just mentioned, Caterpillar today also jumped up on this burst of euphoria. Caterpillar didn't really have any good news of it's own. 6) Deere recently had a decent earning...

LiveWire

My last blog was about Harley Davidson and what I didn't bring into the conservation was their spin off business which is building electric motorcycles. To be honest these bikes are not getting rave reviews. Two complaints are their crippling range and the possible issue of them being more dangerous to drive because they are so quiet. There is also competion from abroad. Last quarter they built only 63 of them and that experience is part of the company expecting to incur a loss of over $115 million this year. If you do the math each bike built cost them over $200,00.00. A $115 million dollar loss vs a profit of $1.3 billion for Harley Davidison. That loss makes a small dent in the overall big picture and in the process of getting going they used other people's money. Nursing this project to life from a business point of view has merit. Covid didn't help anything. LiveWire has to go slow until the product itself evolves to a level they feel proud to put their name on. Investors know this companies pedigree. See it's chart and read this.
Now go back to the previous blog on Harley Davidson. Put this puzzle together anyway you want. Forcasting of 750 units on the low end is still a three fold increase in production levels from where they are at now. Could they turn to be profitable in the next 1,000 days? Maybe. Yes there are options on LiveWire. Here are the Oct20th/2024 Calls with a striking price of 7.5 and 10 dollars. That's as far out as you can go and no one is trying to play them. The bids and asks are to far apart.
Keep in mind the company will continue to lose money all year. What a muddle. There are easlier games to play.

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