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"Ford Puts" Com.

Can daytraders catch the action like this? 99% of daytraders don't. I watch it, I track it, I occassionally catch some of the action. This morning there was an incredible score to be had. Let me spell it out in greater detail. Look at this chart. It shows how the Ford stock opened on the opening. It opened up about ten cents. That's what the above chart shows. Now let's move on. The next chart is a five day chart. The D.J.I.A. dropped over one thousand points yesterday. Ford surged upwards on an earnings release an then had a partial selloff in the afternoon. Now if you look carefully at this five day chart you will see the slight rebound on the opening. (The one day chart actually shows it better). The 15 series of Ford Puts that expire tomorrow got squeezed. Look at how much they got squeezed for. At the height of this mornings 10 cent uptick they got squeezed down to $.04 per contract. Now lets check in at 11:55 a.m. Can you see how they hit a high of $.42 cents?. I ...

LiveWire

My last blog was about Harley Davidson and what I didn't bring into the conservation was their spin off business which is building electric motorcycles. To be honest these bikes are not getting rave reviews. Two complaints are their crippling range and the possible issue of them being more dangerous to drive because they are so quiet. There is also competion from abroad. Last quarter they built only 63 of them and that experience is part of the company expecting to incur a loss of over $115 million this year. If you do the math each bike built cost them over $200,00.00. A $115 million dollar loss vs a profit of $1.3 billion for Harley Davidison. That loss makes a small dent in the overall big picture and in the process of getting going they used other people's money. Nursing this project to life from a business point of view has merit. Covid didn't help anything. LiveWire has to go slow until the product itself evolves to a level they feel proud to put their name on. Investors know this companies pedigree. See it's chart and read this.
Now go back to the previous blog on Harley Davidson. Put this puzzle together anyway you want. Forcasting of 750 units on the low end is still a three fold increase in production levels from where they are at now. Could they turn to be profitable in the next 1,000 days? Maybe. Yes there are options on LiveWire. Here are the Oct20th/2024 Calls with a striking price of 7.5 and 10 dollars. That's as far out as you can go and no one is trying to play them. The bids and asks are to far apart.
Keep in mind the company will continue to lose money all year. What a muddle. There are easlier games to play.

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