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Is Tesla A Good Robot Play?

There's going to be pushback if Musk decides to turn his auto production lines into robot making production lines. That's a new fear. It is also noted that used Teslas are dropping in value quickly. Tesla was down in price $5.62 last week. How is Musk going to make this new venture work? Might his first generation of robots like his cybertrucks quickly become obsolete? If you think about it, maybe existing shareholders are already lightening up on their stock positions knowing that a bumpy ride could soon be on the horizon. Now a new topic. How much do the "three-month-out-Calls-and-Puts" on Tesla cost? That's a fair question and here is the answer. Now we also need to look at how it has traded in the last three months. The stock is down about $60.00 over that period of time. Anything is possible with these three month out option series. Now this, Tesla drops on the Monday February 23th opening. The markets are having a bad day. Look now at what the May 26t...
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LiveWire

My last blog was about Harley Davidson and what I didn't bring into the conservation was their spin off business which is building electric motorcycles. To be honest these bikes are not getting rave reviews. Two complaints are their crippling range and the possible issue of them being more dangerous to drive because they are so quiet. There is also competion from abroad. Last quarter they built only 63 of them and that experience is part of the company expecting to incur a loss of over $115 million this year. If you do the math each bike built cost them over $200,00.00. A $115 million dollar loss vs a profit of $1.3 billion for Harley Davidison. That loss makes a small dent in the overall big picture and in the process of getting going they used other people's money. Nursing this project to life from a business point of view has merit. Covid didn't help anything. LiveWire has to go slow until the product itself evolves to a level they feel proud to put their name on. Investors know this companies pedigree. See it's chart and read this.
Now go back to the previous blog on Harley Davidson. Put this puzzle together anyway you want. Forcasting of 750 units on the low end is still a three fold increase in production levels from where they are at now. Could they turn to be profitable in the next 1,000 days? Maybe. Yes there are options on LiveWire. Here are the Oct20th/2024 Calls with a striking price of 7.5 and 10 dollars. That's as far out as you can go and no one is trying to play them. The bids and asks are to far apart.
Keep in mind the company will continue to lose money all year. What a muddle. There are easlier games to play.

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