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Why Disney Options At This Point In Time Should Be On Your Radar Screen

Very few option traders trade short term options on Disney. The first two printouts below help to illustrate this point. Look at how low the open interest was last Friday on one series of it's Calls and one series of it's Puts. .. Most traders of these options are focused on making interday trades. The low open interest on both of theses series of options tell us that. Now look at how Disney traded on Friday, the last day of the week. Many of the trades made are AI induced. Reversals happened in the morning for example at exactly at 9:31:00 a.m., 9:33:00 a.m., 9:37:00 a.m., 9:41:00 a.m. and other times all to the second of the minute.That's a big the hint it's Ai trading. Now it's one month chart. Disney is down. Now a five day chart. Here is where it gets interesting. What it shows us is that some one week Put options would have doubled in price on a Monday and some Calls would have doubled in price on a Tuesday and a Puts would have doubled in price on a Wedne...
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LiveWire

My last blog was about Harley Davidson and what I didn't bring into the conservation was their spin off business which is building electric motorcycles. To be honest these bikes are not getting rave reviews. Two complaints are their crippling range and the possible issue of them being more dangerous to drive because they are so quiet. There is also competion from abroad. Last quarter they built only 63 of them and that experience is part of the company expecting to incur a loss of over $115 million this year. If you do the math each bike built cost them over $200,00.00. A $115 million dollar loss vs a profit of $1.3 billion for Harley Davidison. That loss makes a small dent in the overall big picture and in the process of getting going they used other people's money. Nursing this project to life from a business point of view has merit. Covid didn't help anything. LiveWire has to go slow until the product itself evolves to a level they feel proud to put their name on. Investors know this companies pedigree. See it's chart and read this.
Now go back to the previous blog on Harley Davidson. Put this puzzle together anyway you want. Forcasting of 750 units on the low end is still a three fold increase in production levels from where they are at now. Could they turn to be profitable in the next 1,000 days? Maybe. Yes there are options on LiveWire. Here are the Oct20th/2024 Calls with a striking price of 7.5 and 10 dollars. That's as far out as you can go and no one is trying to play them. The bids and asks are to far apart.
Keep in mind the company will continue to lose money all year. What a muddle. There are easlier games to play.

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