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Tesla On A Friday Morning.

The concept of playing last day until expiring Tesla options scares most people. Maybe it shouldn't. In the list of the five most actively options on any company Tesla would come it at about #2.. My next statement is going to sound kind strange. One strategy often employed is to look for quick reversals on the opening on Friday mornings with the soon to be expiring options (at 3:00 p.m.) and see how this situation plays out. That's what has happened in the first chart below. It sounds silly yet watch them for yourself for the next month or so and see how often this pattern happens. Now here is it's chart at 9:56 a.m. this morning. It's flat after a dip on the opening.That flat line on the top of the chart shows you wher it strted the day. The dip on the opening dropped these Calls down to $.85 cents. Now here is it's five day chart. You can see this morning's dip in it's chart. Now to further set the stage here is how it's Calls and Puts are tradng, a...
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LiveWire

My last blog was about Harley Davidson and what I didn't bring into the conservation was their spin off business which is building electric motorcycles. To be honest these bikes are not getting rave reviews. Two complaints are their crippling range and the possible issue of them being more dangerous to drive because they are so quiet. There is also competion from abroad. Last quarter they built only 63 of them and that experience is part of the company expecting to incur a loss of over $115 million this year. If you do the math each bike built cost them over $200,00.00. A $115 million dollar loss vs a profit of $1.3 billion for Harley Davidison. That loss makes a small dent in the overall big picture and in the process of getting going they used other people's money. Nursing this project to life from a business point of view has merit. Covid didn't help anything. LiveWire has to go slow until the product itself evolves to a level they feel proud to put their name on. Investors know this companies pedigree. See it's chart and read this.
Now go back to the previous blog on Harley Davidson. Put this puzzle together anyway you want. Forcasting of 750 units on the low end is still a three fold increase in production levels from where they are at now. Could they turn to be profitable in the next 1,000 days? Maybe. Yes there are options on LiveWire. Here are the Oct20th/2024 Calls with a striking price of 7.5 and 10 dollars. That's as far out as you can go and no one is trying to play them. The bids and asks are to far apart.
Keep in mind the company will continue to lose money all year. What a muddle. There are easlier games to play.

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