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A "Get Ready For Monday Morning" Blog . "Avis-Budget" Symbol "CAR"

There is always news. War news. News on gas prices and news that Costco is trying to sue the government over tariff monies. Two weeks ago I mentioned a situation with Super Micro Computer. That stock really got beat up when a company officer was arrested. Now that news is slowly being shrugged off. Now this, the car leasing company Avis has a story. To better help explain what is happening let's look at it's five day chart. . What's going on? Articles are appearing saying that stocks in this sector are being boosted by TSA Airport chaos. Yet there has to more news than that. Look at it's latest five day chart. Now here is how the 170 series of Calls last Friday closed out the day. On that day the stock closed up $20.35 dollars! Other stocks in the same sector remained calm. The stock is now in nose bleeding territories. Obviously options on this stock will be hot potatoes this week. Here are two "near-to-the-money" series of this weeks options to look at...
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LiveWire

My last blog was about Harley Davidson and what I didn't bring into the conservation was their spin off business which is building electric motorcycles. To be honest these bikes are not getting rave reviews. Two complaints are their crippling range and the possible issue of them being more dangerous to drive because they are so quiet. There is also competion from abroad. Last quarter they built only 63 of them and that experience is part of the company expecting to incur a loss of over $115 million this year. If you do the math each bike built cost them over $200,00.00. A $115 million dollar loss vs a profit of $1.3 billion for Harley Davidison. That loss makes a small dent in the overall big picture and in the process of getting going they used other people's money. Nursing this project to life from a business point of view has merit. Covid didn't help anything. LiveWire has to go slow until the product itself evolves to a level they feel proud to put their name on. Investors know this companies pedigree. See it's chart and read this.
Now go back to the previous blog on Harley Davidson. Put this puzzle together anyway you want. Forcasting of 750 units on the low end is still a three fold increase in production levels from where they are at now. Could they turn to be profitable in the next 1,000 days? Maybe. Yes there are options on LiveWire. Here are the Oct20th/2024 Calls with a striking price of 7.5 and 10 dollars. That's as far out as you can go and no one is trying to play them. The bids and asks are to far apart.
Keep in mind the company will continue to lose money all year. What a muddle. There are easlier games to play.

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