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Ford Is Expected To Open Lower

Let's jump right in. It's Monday morning and here is how the 12 series of it's Calls that are expiring this coming Friday are starting the week. The "bid-and-ask" on the stock was down about $.05 cents in the premarkets. The markets are sometimes slow to get going after a weekend. If the stock opened lower in sympathy with the markets opening lower, how low could this $.27 premium trade down to? Would they then be a good buy if they dropped to like $.19? They do afterall still have five full days of trading like left in them. Now this, today's action. It was nothing to crazy. The stock only moved up $.03 or three cents on entire the day. This printout is not pretty but it tells you a lot of stuff. 1) The low of the day. It was $.11 or eleven dollars a contract at around 11 a.m. Yes the stock sputtered a touch, then it moved up again. 2) Look at the high of the day, $.27 or twenty seven dollars a contrct which is over a double from the low of the day. 3) I am...
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LiveWire

My last blog was about Harley Davidson and what I didn't bring into the conservation was their spin off business which is building electric motorcycles. To be honest these bikes are not getting rave reviews. Two complaints are their crippling range and the possible issue of them being more dangerous to drive because they are so quiet. There is also competion from abroad. Last quarter they built only 63 of them and that experience is part of the company expecting to incur a loss of over $115 million this year. If you do the math each bike built cost them over $200,00.00. A $115 million dollar loss vs a profit of $1.3 billion for Harley Davidison. That loss makes a small dent in the overall big picture and in the process of getting going they used other people's money. Nursing this project to life from a business point of view has merit. Covid didn't help anything. LiveWire has to go slow until the product itself evolves to a level they feel proud to put their name on. Investors know this companies pedigree. See it's chart and read this.
Now go back to the previous blog on Harley Davidson. Put this puzzle together anyway you want. Forcasting of 750 units on the low end is still a three fold increase in production levels from where they are at now. Could they turn to be profitable in the next 1,000 days? Maybe. Yes there are options on LiveWire. Here are the Oct20th/2024 Calls with a striking price of 7.5 and 10 dollars. That's as far out as you can go and no one is trying to play them. The bids and asks are to far apart.
Keep in mind the company will continue to lose money all year. What a muddle. There are easlier games to play.

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