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The Auto Industry Is Under Control

Look at this printout. Almost every stock on this list was totaly flat. Tesla up fifteen cents. Do you know how seldom this happens? It never does. Yet it happened today. Now this, a chart of how Telsa traded on the day. Look at the three hour price swing between 11:00 a.m. and 2:00 p.m. Now this. The 30 day out Call options on Tesla. Now the thirty day out Put options. They mimic the same kind of price swings. Intraday price swings of $7.20 and $6.97 on these two series of options. So why is this important? Watching thirty day out options is increasingly becoming a smarter way of churning out profits. In these examples one is putting out sums of money like $2,000.00 U.S. with the expections of daily returns, well in this case about $700.00. I know what you might be thinking. You might be thinking that the risk/reward aspect of the equation doesn't make sense. In response to those concerns I would say employing this strategy works best for traders already engaged in trading ot...
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LiveWire

My last blog was about Harley Davidson and what I didn't bring into the conservation was their spin off business which is building electric motorcycles. To be honest these bikes are not getting rave reviews. Two complaints are their crippling range and the possible issue of them being more dangerous to drive because they are so quiet. There is also competion from abroad. Last quarter they built only 63 of them and that experience is part of the company expecting to incur a loss of over $115 million this year. If you do the math each bike built cost them over $200,00.00. A $115 million dollar loss vs a profit of $1.3 billion for Harley Davidison. That loss makes a small dent in the overall big picture and in the process of getting going they used other people's money. Nursing this project to life from a business point of view has merit. Covid didn't help anything. LiveWire has to go slow until the product itself evolves to a level they feel proud to put their name on. Investors know this companies pedigree. See it's chart and read this.
Now go back to the previous blog on Harley Davidson. Put this puzzle together anyway you want. Forcasting of 750 units on the low end is still a three fold increase in production levels from where they are at now. Could they turn to be profitable in the next 1,000 days? Maybe. Yes there are options on LiveWire. Here are the Oct20th/2024 Calls with a striking price of 7.5 and 10 dollars. That's as far out as you can go and no one is trying to play them. The bids and asks are to far apart.
Keep in mind the company will continue to lose money all year. What a muddle. There are easlier games to play.

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