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$.55 Cent Option On A Monday Morning. Nike

Here is a difficult chart to undestand. It's Nike's five day chart. It appears the world cup tournament has not helped their cause. Do you like this chart for playing the upside? What I like about it is that it seems to have false starts. At the same time I respect the fact that playing short term options in this price range often ends up with disastrous results. Yet saying that, I also know that $.55 option contracts can often double in an hour or two and it's Monday morning which is still all so early in the trading week. ....... Let's see what happens. Now here we are at 11:00 a.m. A safe bet would be to get out and say thank you for a nineteen minute ride. Monday morning resets like this are more common than you might think.* Now this at 1:00 p.m.
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LiveWire

My last blog was about Harley Davidson and what I didn't bring into the conservation was their spin off business which is building electric motorcycles. To be honest these bikes are not getting rave reviews. Two complaints are their crippling range and the possible issue of them being more dangerous to drive because they are so quiet. There is also competion from abroad. Last quarter they built only 63 of them and that experience is part of the company expecting to incur a loss of over $115 million this year. If you do the math each bike built cost them over $200,00.00. A $115 million dollar loss vs a profit of $1.3 billion for Harley Davidison. That loss makes a small dent in the overall big picture and in the process of getting going they used other people's money. Nursing this project to life from a business point of view has merit. Covid didn't help anything. LiveWire has to go slow until the product itself evolves to a level they feel proud to put their name on. Investors know this companies pedigree. See it's chart and read this.
Now go back to the previous blog on Harley Davidson. Put this puzzle together anyway you want. Forcasting of 750 units on the low end is still a three fold increase in production levels from where they are at now. Could they turn to be profitable in the next 1,000 days? Maybe. Yes there are options on LiveWire. Here are the Oct20th/2024 Calls with a striking price of 7.5 and 10 dollars. That's as far out as you can go and no one is trying to play them. The bids and asks are to far apart.
Keep in mind the company will continue to lose money all year. What a muddle. There are easlier games to play.

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