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Looking For Options That Can Have Big Moves On A Near Regular Basis. This Might Help.

Since the start of the year I have done 9 blogs on Tesla, 8 blogs on Caterpillar, 6 blogs on Eli Lilly, 5 blogs on Exxon and less on others. Guess which stock fascinates me the most for option trading? The answer is Exxon and I want to share with you one of the most dramatic one day option price swings I have witnessed this year. It affected as you might guess "last-day-to-expiring options'. It happened yesterday on February 20th which was a Friday and it happened with it's one day Put options. What do I know about the world energy situation and the complexities of oil tankers circling the world? Not much. I do have two good friends in the oil business who don't know each other but they both say the same thing. They don't talk about business that much but say things are good when the price of oil is down and say things are bad when the price of oil is up. They both seem to work like six months a year overseas and they both are avid soccer fans. They bet on soccer ...
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LiveWire

My last blog was about Harley Davidson and what I didn't bring into the conservation was their spin off business which is building electric motorcycles. To be honest these bikes are not getting rave reviews. Two complaints are their crippling range and the possible issue of them being more dangerous to drive because they are so quiet. There is also competion from abroad. Last quarter they built only 63 of them and that experience is part of the company expecting to incur a loss of over $115 million this year. If you do the math each bike built cost them over $200,00.00. A $115 million dollar loss vs a profit of $1.3 billion for Harley Davidison. That loss makes a small dent in the overall big picture and in the process of getting going they used other people's money. Nursing this project to life from a business point of view has merit. Covid didn't help anything. LiveWire has to go slow until the product itself evolves to a level they feel proud to put their name on. Investors know this companies pedigree. See it's chart and read this.
Now go back to the previous blog on Harley Davidson. Put this puzzle together anyway you want. Forcasting of 750 units on the low end is still a three fold increase in production levels from where they are at now. Could they turn to be profitable in the next 1,000 days? Maybe. Yes there are options on LiveWire. Here are the Oct20th/2024 Calls with a striking price of 7.5 and 10 dollars. That's as far out as you can go and no one is trying to play them. The bids and asks are to far apart.
Keep in mind the company will continue to lose money all year. What a muddle. There are easlier games to play.

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