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The Topic of Tesla Jumping On A Friday Morning

Why am I often talking about playing Tesla options with one day of trading life remaining in them. Well the Call and Put options on this stock hava a recent a history of pleasing it's followers. What are the odds of sizeable jumps happening? I would suggest more often than you think. Jumps in the first hour of trading can be large. That' a given. Are you able to make money trading these hot potatoes? Yes and no. The concepts of fear and greed come into play. Here is how it jumped in price on Friday morning June 26th . First it opened lower. The time to buy in was in the very first minute of trading. It topped out at 11:30 a.m. That was a huge increase in price. Then between 11:30 a.m. and 3:00 p.m. it lost $7.00. Here is a better look at this action. . . Other stocks may also have interesting Friday trading patterns." Last Day Option Trading" is not for everyone.

LiveWire

My last blog was about Harley Davidson and what I didn't bring into the conservation was their spin off business which is building electric motorcycles. To be honest these bikes are not getting rave reviews. Two complaints are their crippling range and the possible issue of them being more dangerous to drive because they are so quiet. There is also competion from abroad. Last quarter they built only 63 of them and that experience is part of the company expecting to incur a loss of over $115 million this year. If you do the math each bike built cost them over $200,00.00. A $115 million dollar loss vs a profit of $1.3 billion for Harley Davidison. That loss makes a small dent in the overall big picture and in the process of getting going they used other people's money. Nursing this project to life from a business point of view has merit. Covid didn't help anything. LiveWire has to go slow until the product itself evolves to a level they feel proud to put their name on. Investors know this companies pedigree. See it's chart and read this.
Now go back to the previous blog on Harley Davidson. Put this puzzle together anyway you want. Forcasting of 750 units on the low end is still a three fold increase in production levels from where they are at now. Could they turn to be profitable in the next 1,000 days? Maybe. Yes there are options on LiveWire. Here are the Oct20th/2024 Calls with a striking price of 7.5 and 10 dollars. That's as far out as you can go and no one is trying to play them. The bids and asks are to far apart.
Keep in mind the company will continue to lose money all year. What a muddle. There are easlier games to play.

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