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$Home Depot And $Lowes On A Wednesday Morning

These are both what I would call "Big Boy"stocks which are somewhat volatile. Their price movements are often dictated by economic reports. Today is a Wednesday which is mid week in the weekly trading session. Options purchased this morning that expire this Friday will give you one full day of trading today and two more full days of trading. Both of these two stocks are up about $10.00 per shsre in the last two days. Both stocks can move either way. My focus is on the Puts which are both somewhat expensive. They have to be because these stocks are so volatile.Catch the right direction and you will do quite well. Retail stocks like this have a wide following and the price of both of these stocks can be affected by a number of differing ecomomic reports. For this reason the timing of swings can be somewhat of a guessing game. Now this. New home sales in the U.S.A. where down 6.2% in March and down 11.3% in April. It's May numbers are not released until June 24th. Now Home ...
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LiveWire

My last blog was about Harley Davidson and what I didn't bring into the conservation was their spin off business which is building electric motorcycles. To be honest these bikes are not getting rave reviews. Two complaints are their crippling range and the possible issue of them being more dangerous to drive because they are so quiet. There is also competion from abroad. Last quarter they built only 63 of them and that experience is part of the company expecting to incur a loss of over $115 million this year. If you do the math each bike built cost them over $200,00.00. A $115 million dollar loss vs a profit of $1.3 billion for Harley Davidison. That loss makes a small dent in the overall big picture and in the process of getting going they used other people's money. Nursing this project to life from a business point of view has merit. Covid didn't help anything. LiveWire has to go slow until the product itself evolves to a level they feel proud to put their name on. Investors know this companies pedigree. See it's chart and read this.
Now go back to the previous blog on Harley Davidson. Put this puzzle together anyway you want. Forcasting of 750 units on the low end is still a three fold increase in production levels from where they are at now. Could they turn to be profitable in the next 1,000 days? Maybe. Yes there are options on LiveWire. Here are the Oct20th/2024 Calls with a striking price of 7.5 and 10 dollars. That's as far out as you can go and no one is trying to play them. The bids and asks are to far apart.
Keep in mind the company will continue to lose money all year. What a muddle. There are easlier games to play.

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