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What A Week For Market Swings. This Time Boeing

My last two blogs have focused on options expiring on Mondays and Wednesdays. This blog on a Thursday deals with options that expire tomorrow on Friday. AS A GENERAL RULE PURCHASING CALLS ON A THURSDAY MORNING THAT EXPIRE THE VERY NEXT DAY IS NOT A SMART MOVE TO MAKE. We have witnessed huge daily price swings this week where profits from option trading can be made in a matter of hours. Now let's look at Boeing's morning action. Sometimes when you see charts like this and if you're coming off a streak of three or four profitable trades it's best to jump in hoping for a reversal to the upside and ask questions later. Especially when the D.J.I.A is strongly up in price as it was. I quickly looked around and couldn't find any news to account for this price drop. Trumph was in China and we later learned that there was talk of China ordering 200 more of Boeing's new airplanes. Talk like this is only talk. Now this at 9:51 a.m.. The interest in this particular series...
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LiveWire

My last blog was about Harley Davidson and what I didn't bring into the conservation was their spin off business which is building electric motorcycles. To be honest these bikes are not getting rave reviews. Two complaints are their crippling range and the possible issue of them being more dangerous to drive because they are so quiet. There is also competion from abroad. Last quarter they built only 63 of them and that experience is part of the company expecting to incur a loss of over $115 million this year. If you do the math each bike built cost them over $200,00.00. A $115 million dollar loss vs a profit of $1.3 billion for Harley Davidison. That loss makes a small dent in the overall big picture and in the process of getting going they used other people's money. Nursing this project to life from a business point of view has merit. Covid didn't help anything. LiveWire has to go slow until the product itself evolves to a level they feel proud to put their name on. Investors know this companies pedigree. See it's chart and read this.
Now go back to the previous blog on Harley Davidson. Put this puzzle together anyway you want. Forcasting of 750 units on the low end is still a three fold increase in production levels from where they are at now. Could they turn to be profitable in the next 1,000 days? Maybe. Yes there are options on LiveWire. Here are the Oct20th/2024 Calls with a striking price of 7.5 and 10 dollars. That's as far out as you can go and no one is trying to play them. The bids and asks are to far apart.
Keep in mind the company will continue to lose money all year. What a muddle. There are easlier games to play.

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