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One Day Options On One Of The Most Difficult Stocks To Play Options On. Carvana

Carvana has a dubious reputation. Insider stock manipulation. That's old news. Who knows what it is now doing? Here is it's five day chart and here are how it's two day until expiring Call and Put options are positioned going into tomorrow's Thursday trading session. .... Both are crazy expensive however they do offer two days of trading activity. That's a long time for options on a stock like Carvana. Look at the dip and the rebound it had on Wednesday. Now I am jumping ahead to Friday, the final day of trading on these two series of options. Look at this. First a five day chart showing Thursdays and Friday's action. Now it's Friday only chart. So what's important about this one day chart? This. Look at how it's Calls options traded. The Call holders lost all their money. Now look at the Puts.This series of Puts we are watching did wonderfully well as did the series of Puts with a higher striking price we were looking at on the closing o...
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LiveWire

My last blog was about Harley Davidson and what I didn't bring into the conservation was their spin off business which is building electric motorcycles. To be honest these bikes are not getting rave reviews. Two complaints are their crippling range and the possible issue of them being more dangerous to drive because they are so quiet. There is also competion from abroad. Last quarter they built only 63 of them and that experience is part of the company expecting to incur a loss of over $115 million this year. If you do the math each bike built cost them over $200,00.00. A $115 million dollar loss vs a profit of $1.3 billion for Harley Davidison. That loss makes a small dent in the overall big picture and in the process of getting going they used other people's money. Nursing this project to life from a business point of view has merit. Covid didn't help anything. LiveWire has to go slow until the product itself evolves to a level they feel proud to put their name on. Investors know this companies pedigree. See it's chart and read this.
Now go back to the previous blog on Harley Davidson. Put this puzzle together anyway you want. Forcasting of 750 units on the low end is still a three fold increase in production levels from where they are at now. Could they turn to be profitable in the next 1,000 days? Maybe. Yes there are options on LiveWire. Here are the Oct20th/2024 Calls with a striking price of 7.5 and 10 dollars. That's as far out as you can go and no one is trying to play them. The bids and asks are to far apart.
Keep in mind the company will continue to lose money all year. What a muddle. There are easlier games to play.

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