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Towards Understanding Tesla Calls.

First, forget everything you know about Tesla's current state of operational history. Forget their news about their new factory in Germany, their new models and how many kids a fifty four year old fellow named Elon Musk has. Focus on the moment. In this case it's a Thursday afternooon and we are looking at options on Tesla it that expire the very next day. The interesting thing in this situation is that we are catching Tesla trading flat on the day. It has maintained for the last 2.5 hours a slight predisposition to the upside. Now this as we approach 1:00 p.m.. We find a price of $4.70 for the Call option shown above. These Calls are just slightly "in-the-money" and expire the next day. Things could change even before the end of the day. It takes big money to buy in and the risk is high. I get it. The Puts will also cost you chunk of money. It's Tesla and you are trading with some of the ...
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LiveWire

My last blog was about Harley Davidson and what I didn't bring into the conservation was their spin off business which is building electric motorcycles. To be honest these bikes are not getting rave reviews. Two complaints are their crippling range and the possible issue of them being more dangerous to drive because they are so quiet. There is also competion from abroad. Last quarter they built only 63 of them and that experience is part of the company expecting to incur a loss of over $115 million this year. If you do the math each bike built cost them over $200,00.00. A $115 million dollar loss vs a profit of $1.3 billion for Harley Davidison. That loss makes a small dent in the overall big picture and in the process of getting going they used other people's money. Nursing this project to life from a business point of view has merit. Covid didn't help anything. LiveWire has to go slow until the product itself evolves to a level they feel proud to put their name on. Investors know this companies pedigree. See it's chart and read this.
Now go back to the previous blog on Harley Davidson. Put this puzzle together anyway you want. Forcasting of 750 units on the low end is still a three fold increase in production levels from where they are at now. Could they turn to be profitable in the next 1,000 days? Maybe. Yes there are options on LiveWire. Here are the Oct20th/2024 Calls with a striking price of 7.5 and 10 dollars. That's as far out as you can go and no one is trying to play them. The bids and asks are to far apart.
Keep in mind the company will continue to lose money all year. What a muddle. There are easlier games to play.

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