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Options On Stocks In The $4.00 Range "Big Bear a.i."

First a look at the one day chart on a company named Big Bear a.i.. The second chart just above is a five day chart so the jump I am talking about happened on the fourth day of this five day chart which was Tuesday. On Wednesday as you can see the stock slightly retreated. Next you can see how on Tuesday the four series of Calls went from $.04 to $.25. I have blogged about this company in the past. A few months ago this stock was on the most active list week-after-week. Here is it's "year-to-date" chart. This story keeps going. The stock ended having a lessor bounce on Thursday. It was an interesting bounce with a portion of it happened at exactly 2:00 p.m. and lasted for about an hour. Here is what the bounce looked like and this time we are looking at the 3.5 series of Calls which is a lower series of "in-the-money" Calls than we looked at two days ago. Slightly "in-the-money" Calls are the best options to use in situations like this. While al...

LiveWire

My last blog was about Harley Davidson and what I didn't bring into the conservation was their spin off business which is building electric motorcycles. To be honest these bikes are not getting rave reviews. Two complaints are their crippling range and the possible issue of them being more dangerous to drive because they are so quiet. There is also competion from abroad. Last quarter they built only 63 of them and that experience is part of the company expecting to incur a loss of over $115 million this year. If you do the math each bike built cost them over $200,00.00. A $115 million dollar loss vs a profit of $1.3 billion for Harley Davidison. That loss makes a small dent in the overall big picture and in the process of getting going they used other people's money. Nursing this project to life from a business point of view has merit. Covid didn't help anything. LiveWire has to go slow until the product itself evolves to a level they feel proud to put their name on. Investors know this companies pedigree. See it's chart and read this.
Now go back to the previous blog on Harley Davidson. Put this puzzle together anyway you want. Forcasting of 750 units on the low end is still a three fold increase in production levels from where they are at now. Could they turn to be profitable in the next 1,000 days? Maybe. Yes there are options on LiveWire. Here are the Oct20th/2024 Calls with a striking price of 7.5 and 10 dollars. That's as far out as you can go and no one is trying to play them. The bids and asks are to far apart.
Keep in mind the company will continue to lose money all year. What a muddle. There are easlier games to play.

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