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Ford Motor Company "Calls".

The one week chart tells the entire story. A thirty day chart adds more detail. Moves this large seldom happen over such compressed periods of time. Look at how these two series of Call options traded on Friday. Back on May 6th I did a blog called "Ford Motor Company Calls On The Week" and in that blog I showed this chart. Back then it was still the same story. Also of note is the fact that Ford is not doing particularly well in their quest to churn out more vehicles. I think this stock will now take a breather. Anyone playing thirty day options on Ford during this time period will be up like three or four times on their initial investment. Naysayers take note. Opportunities do happen. Traders are even finding value in 2028 Ford option Calls! Now Hertz. Might car rentals pick up in the next month as summer months approaches? Yes gas prices are up however summer is when many people take vacations and want to hit the road. Flying is now getting expensive. Renting a car is...
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LiveWire

My last blog was about Harley Davidson and what I didn't bring into the conservation was their spin off business which is building electric motorcycles. To be honest these bikes are not getting rave reviews. Two complaints are their crippling range and the possible issue of them being more dangerous to drive because they are so quiet. There is also competion from abroad. Last quarter they built only 63 of them and that experience is part of the company expecting to incur a loss of over $115 million this year. If you do the math each bike built cost them over $200,00.00. A $115 million dollar loss vs a profit of $1.3 billion for Harley Davidison. That loss makes a small dent in the overall big picture and in the process of getting going they used other people's money. Nursing this project to life from a business point of view has merit. Covid didn't help anything. LiveWire has to go slow until the product itself evolves to a level they feel proud to put their name on. Investors know this companies pedigree. See it's chart and read this.
Now go back to the previous blog on Harley Davidson. Put this puzzle together anyway you want. Forcasting of 750 units on the low end is still a three fold increase in production levels from where they are at now. Could they turn to be profitable in the next 1,000 days? Maybe. Yes there are options on LiveWire. Here are the Oct20th/2024 Calls with a striking price of 7.5 and 10 dollars. That's as far out as you can go and no one is trying to play them. The bids and asks are to far apart.
Keep in mind the company will continue to lose money all year. What a muddle. There are easlier games to play.

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