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Options On A Monday Morning On Nvidia That Expire At The End Of The Day.

Options on Nvidia are widely traded. There are options on it set up to expire three times each week. Monday, Wednesday and Friday. Nvidia is on a terror as earnings keep skyrocketing upwards. Here are it's thirty and five day charts. Imagine buying last weeks Call options on the close last Wednesday and getting out on Friday? What a score that would have been. Now look at Monday morning's trading action. Now shown above is how the stock is trading on the opening. It is up. Didn't it's perky chart look like that might happen? These are "step-up-charts" which you don't see very often. It's 220 series of Calls are up 271% twenty minutes into the trading action on 110,800 contracts! But wait. We first started looking at the 215 series of calls however suddenly we are tracking the 220 "out-of-the-money" series of Calls. What's that all about? Can you see how dangerous a game this can be considering that these are "last-day-to-expiracy ...

LiveWire

My last blog was about Harley Davidson and what I didn't bring into the conservation was their spin off business which is building electric motorcycles. To be honest these bikes are not getting rave reviews. Two complaints are their crippling range and the possible issue of them being more dangerous to drive because they are so quiet. There is also competion from abroad. Last quarter they built only 63 of them and that experience is part of the company expecting to incur a loss of over $115 million this year. If you do the math each bike built cost them over $200,00.00. A $115 million dollar loss vs a profit of $1.3 billion for Harley Davidison. That loss makes a small dent in the overall big picture and in the process of getting going they used other people's money. Nursing this project to life from a business point of view has merit. Covid didn't help anything. LiveWire has to go slow until the product itself evolves to a level they feel proud to put their name on. Investors know this companies pedigree. See it's chart and read this.
Now go back to the previous blog on Harley Davidson. Put this puzzle together anyway you want. Forcasting of 750 units on the low end is still a three fold increase in production levels from where they are at now. Could they turn to be profitable in the next 1,000 days? Maybe. Yes there are options on LiveWire. Here are the Oct20th/2024 Calls with a striking price of 7.5 and 10 dollars. That's as far out as you can go and no one is trying to play them. The bids and asks are to far apart.
Keep in mind the company will continue to lose money all year. What a muddle. There are easlier games to play.

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