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Looking for Unusual Experiences. "BigBear".

There is a little stock that has recently started to gain an inordinate amount of attention. It trades millions of shares per day and I recently started blogging about it. It's price changes on a daily basis can be dramatic. Here once again are it's details. Now it's thirty day and five day chart. Option players playing one week options on this stock are getting wild rides. Look at this, today's one day chart. Now look at today's Puts. It's one day, six series of Puts on it traded at a low of $.03 cents in the morning and then shot up in the afternoon. $.35 cents was the high. Is there any point in taking this stock seriously and tracking how it's options are trading? Usually I would say not really however when I see millions of shares trading everyday I know that millions of Americans who can trade commission free can glue themselves to their computer screens and play like these these options all day long enjoying these two and three and ten cent price...
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LiveWire

My last blog was about Harley Davidson and what I didn't bring into the conservation was their spin off business which is building electric motorcycles. To be honest these bikes are not getting rave reviews. Two complaints are their crippling range and the possible issue of them being more dangerous to drive because they are so quiet. There is also competion from abroad. Last quarter they built only 63 of them and that experience is part of the company expecting to incur a loss of over $115 million this year. If you do the math each bike built cost them over $200,00.00. A $115 million dollar loss vs a profit of $1.3 billion for Harley Davidison. That loss makes a small dent in the overall big picture and in the process of getting going they used other people's money. Nursing this project to life from a business point of view has merit. Covid didn't help anything. LiveWire has to go slow until the product itself evolves to a level they feel proud to put their name on. Investors know this companies pedigree. See it's chart and read this.
Now go back to the previous blog on Harley Davidson. Put this puzzle together anyway you want. Forcasting of 750 units on the low end is still a three fold increase in production levels from where they are at now. Could they turn to be profitable in the next 1,000 days? Maybe. Yes there are options on LiveWire. Here are the Oct20th/2024 Calls with a striking price of 7.5 and 10 dollars. That's as far out as you can go and no one is trying to play them. The bids and asks are to far apart.
Keep in mind the company will continue to lose money all year. What a muddle. There are easlier games to play.

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