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Mid Week Morning Option Trading . Apple

Apple moves up in the first hour of trading on a Wednesday. Are there reasons now to be looking at it's Puts? Well with computer generated trading the 10:00 a.m. time period might magically click in to be a "time-of-a-reversal". We are two minutes away from that happening at 10:00 a.m.. Let's check back in twenty five minutes to see what happens. The small upward spike on top of an initial spike did not hold. That's the way I see it anyways.The 10:00 a.m. trading mark was a speed bump that served to change the upward projectory of this stock. Now a revisit to this situation twenty minutes later. Apple shed these worries. With "last day to expiring options" the 10:00 a.m. morning time period is often fraught with worries. That's just the way it is. Now let's focus in on this action just minutes before the 3:00 p.m. option expiracy deadline. Are you starting to understand the power of mid week option trading?
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LiveWire

My last blog was about Harley Davidson and what I didn't bring into the conservation was their spin off business which is building electric motorcycles. To be honest these bikes are not getting rave reviews. Two complaints are their crippling range and the possible issue of them being more dangerous to drive because they are so quiet. There is also competion from abroad. Last quarter they built only 63 of them and that experience is part of the company expecting to incur a loss of over $115 million this year. If you do the math each bike built cost them over $200,00.00. A $115 million dollar loss vs a profit of $1.3 billion for Harley Davidison. That loss makes a small dent in the overall big picture and in the process of getting going they used other people's money. Nursing this project to life from a business point of view has merit. Covid didn't help anything. LiveWire has to go slow until the product itself evolves to a level they feel proud to put their name on. Investors know this companies pedigree. See it's chart and read this.
Now go back to the previous blog on Harley Davidson. Put this puzzle together anyway you want. Forcasting of 750 units on the low end is still a three fold increase in production levels from where they are at now. Could they turn to be profitable in the next 1,000 days? Maybe. Yes there are options on LiveWire. Here are the Oct20th/2024 Calls with a striking price of 7.5 and 10 dollars. That's as far out as you can go and no one is trying to play them. The bids and asks are to far apart.
Keep in mind the company will continue to lose money all year. What a muddle. There are easlier games to play.

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