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Readers Skip Blogs About Tesla

I see the stats. What I see is that viewer's don't care to read my blogs about Tesla options. I understand why. Tesla is not a new kid on the block and most options traders have tried their hand in trading in it. Timing the market swings seems to be problematic. One partial solution as ridiculous as it sounds is to trade it from 1:00 p.m. to 3:00 p.m. on Fridays on days that it is in an uptrend. Then there is Exxon. Exxon moves independently from what the markets in general are doing. It's options trade in one dollar intervals which is nice. Walmart options also have this feature. You can play them interday with interday price swings which are constantly known to suprise. Swings can be large. Profitable trades can be done in hours if you correctly catch the right direction the stock is about to move. Look at this five day chart. Todays trade of the day was to buy it on the early morning dip. Here is a chart showing today's upward action. Stocks surged on hopes for an ...

LiveWire

My last blog was about Harley Davidson and what I didn't bring into the conservation was their spin off business which is building electric motorcycles. To be honest these bikes are not getting rave reviews. Two complaints are their crippling range and the possible issue of them being more dangerous to drive because they are so quiet. There is also competion from abroad. Last quarter they built only 63 of them and that experience is part of the company expecting to incur a loss of over $115 million this year. If you do the math each bike built cost them over $200,00.00. A $115 million dollar loss vs a profit of $1.3 billion for Harley Davidison. That loss makes a small dent in the overall big picture and in the process of getting going they used other people's money. Nursing this project to life from a business point of view has merit. Covid didn't help anything. LiveWire has to go slow until the product itself evolves to a level they feel proud to put their name on. Investors know this companies pedigree. See it's chart and read this.
Now go back to the previous blog on Harley Davidson. Put this puzzle together anyway you want. Forcasting of 750 units on the low end is still a three fold increase in production levels from where they are at now. Could they turn to be profitable in the next 1,000 days? Maybe. Yes there are options on LiveWire. Here are the Oct20th/2024 Calls with a striking price of 7.5 and 10 dollars. That's as far out as you can go and no one is trying to play them. The bids and asks are to far apart.
Keep in mind the company will continue to lose money all year. What a muddle. There are easlier games to play.

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