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Five Day vs One Day Charts. Do Looking A Five Day Charts Give Traders An Edge On What To Expect On The Following Day?

Here are three examples that might help answer this question. First a five day and one day chart of Home Depot. So a perky looking chart formation which is going upwards on a Thursday (Dec 5th) keeps on going upwards on a Friday. Look at one series of it's Call option action below. Very light trading and very little interest. Get in on the upside during the morning small dip on Friday morning and get out at a profit anytime later in the day. Sticking with Home depot did it's one week out Call options share in a similiar Call option experience? Here are next weeks Calls with the same striking price. Not really as they jumped 26% on the day versus the 68% increase on the "one-day" options. ..................................................................................................................................................2) Caterpillar. First it's five day chart (which includes Fridays trading) and then it's one day chart. Now the options. A big...

The Trade Of The Year On Caterpillar Calls. It's No Surprise It Happened On A Friday

In a past blog Caterpillar averted a strike and it was noted that the stock jumped to the moon on that news. Caterpillar has a large following and likes good news-made in America stories. Biden avoided his government running out of money late Thursday and on Friday the stock Caterpillar jumped to the moon. It opened higher and kept going up.There is no looking back now at what happened.
My May 29th blog talked about how Caterpillar had slight bounce last Friday morning and the light volume of option trading on it. With the stock going sideways to down all that week playing Call options on it was out of fashion. Things changed on Friday June 2nd. Caterpillar bounced. So here now is a look at how two "out-of-the-money" series of Call options traded on it on Friday.
Look at the open interest numbers going into Friday. Two hundred and ninety five contracts. Few traders were expecting the news to come when it did. This blog could now go in many directions. Last week both Caterpillar and Boeing struggled on the week and option trading volumes dried up. My attitude was not to trade, to wait for better days. I should have known better, the system is a little bit corrupt. Insiders could gain the most from a late Thursday release of good news. A one day pop in the next days options. That is what happened. On Friday the D.J.I. was up over 700 points. The one day options on Caterpillar were star performers. It was the "trade-of-the-year" on Caterpillar Calls. It doesn't look like any of the 100,000 or whatever the number of brokers and analysis there are out were clued into this action. So strange. * Also think about this. Caterpillar has something like 109,100 employees. I don't understand why there isn't more traders in on this action.

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