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Options On Stocks In The Fifteen And Twenty Dollar Price Range With Seven Days To Go And Not Five Days To Go.

I should have called this blog "Ford Calls" or "Harley Davidson Calls" to get more hits but this time I want to show you something a little bit different. What I want to show you is how options with seven days of trading life left in them can suprise. Seven days and not five days. What's the big difference? Well the extra day buys you the action of a Friday bounce without having to worry about your option position expiring that day. Seven and not six days also. These options would need to be bought on a Thursday before the close. This may sound kind of confusing but let me show you two examples of what played itself out last Friday. Let's first use the stock Harley Davidson and use it's Call options as an example. Here is how "seven-day-out-Call-options" would have traded the day later on Friday February 12th. They jumped 60% in one day! What kind of a jump in the stock's price would have caused that to happen? Well let's look at it...
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The Trade Of The Year On Caterpillar Calls. It's No Surprise It Happened On A Friday

In a past blog Caterpillar averted a strike and it was noted that the stock jumped to the moon on that news. Caterpillar has a large following and likes good news-made in America stories. Biden avoided his government running out of money late Thursday and on Friday the stock Caterpillar jumped to the moon. It opened higher and kept going up.There is no looking back now at what happened.
My May 29th blog talked about how Caterpillar had slight bounce last Friday morning and the light volume of option trading on it. With the stock going sideways to down all that week playing Call options on it was out of fashion. Things changed on Friday June 2nd. Caterpillar bounced. So here now is a look at how two "out-of-the-money" series of Call options traded on it on Friday.
Look at the open interest numbers going into Friday. Two hundred and ninety five contracts. Few traders were expecting the news to come when it did. This blog could now go in many directions. Last week both Caterpillar and Boeing struggled on the week and option trading volumes dried up. My attitude was not to trade, to wait for better days. I should have known better, the system is a little bit corrupt. Insiders could gain the most from a late Thursday release of good news. A one day pop in the next days options. That is what happened. On Friday the D.J.I. was up over 700 points. The one day options on Caterpillar were star performers. It was the "trade-of-the-year" on Caterpillar Calls. It doesn't look like any of the 100,000 or whatever the number of brokers and analysis there are out were clued into this action. So strange. * Also think about this. Caterpillar has something like 109,100 employees. I don't understand why there isn't more traders in on this action.

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