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Apple Options

Apple options can move quickly and they are tough to play. Product launches are highly anticipated, often delayed and widely followed. Short term options on Apple expire three times a week. The stock can move $3.00 or $5.00 or $10:00 in any given day. Do I have any special insights into how to play options on it? Not really, in this case the stock has moved sideways for most of the day after a quick morning drop. Now here is it's five day chart. Now this. So what makes these so difficult to play? It's that so many different factors can make the stock move so luck makes up a big part of what might happen next. A six dollar stock drop on Apple is more likely to experience a reversal in price than a twelve dollar drop. Let's see what happens next. Here is the $307.50 series of Calls in the last minute of Monday trading. Can you see the volume of trading shoot upwards in the last 70 minutes of trade. Let's see what the open interest is going to be going into tomorrow...
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The Trade Of The Year On Caterpillar Calls. It's No Surprise It Happened On A Friday

In a past blog Caterpillar averted a strike and it was noted that the stock jumped to the moon on that news. Caterpillar has a large following and likes good news-made in America stories. Biden avoided his government running out of money late Thursday and on Friday the stock Caterpillar jumped to the moon. It opened higher and kept going up.There is no looking back now at what happened.
My May 29th blog talked about how Caterpillar had slight bounce last Friday morning and the light volume of option trading on it. With the stock going sideways to down all that week playing Call options on it was out of fashion. Things changed on Friday June 2nd. Caterpillar bounced. So here now is a look at how two "out-of-the-money" series of Call options traded on it on Friday.
Look at the open interest numbers going into Friday. Two hundred and ninety five contracts. Few traders were expecting the news to come when it did. This blog could now go in many directions. Last week both Caterpillar and Boeing struggled on the week and option trading volumes dried up. My attitude was not to trade, to wait for better days. I should have known better, the system is a little bit corrupt. Insiders could gain the most from a late Thursday release of good news. A one day pop in the next days options. That is what happened. On Friday the D.J.I. was up over 700 points. The one day options on Caterpillar were star performers. It was the "trade-of-the-year" on Caterpillar Calls. It doesn't look like any of the 100,000 or whatever the number of brokers and analysis there are out were clued into this action. So strange. * Also think about this. Caterpillar has something like 109,100 employees. I don't understand why there isn't more traders in on this action.

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