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Looking For Something To Buy On A Tuesday Afternoon?

Trumph says the war is over but is it? Exxon sells off on that news. Does this make the Calls a good buying opportunity? It's 2:38 p.m.. The Calls shown below expire in two days. Moves downwards this much in a one day time period are somewhat rare. Let's see what happens. This leads us to a new topic. Overtrading. Avid daytraders can pick the days they like to trade the best. I like Fridays for it's one day options and for it's late in the day look at it's "next-week-out-options" which might at that point of the day be somewhat mispriced. Resets in pricings can sometimes happen over the weekend which become apparent in the first few hour or so of Monday morning trading. I also like Wednesday for mid week reversals. The biggest trap are Thursday options that expire the following day. These are the ones that seem to lose the "time value" aspect of the equation the most quickly. Finally Tuesday options that expire the next day, or two days away o...
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The Trade Of The Year On Caterpillar Calls. It's No Surprise It Happened On A Friday

In a past blog Caterpillar averted a strike and it was noted that the stock jumped to the moon on that news. Caterpillar has a large following and likes good news-made in America stories. Biden avoided his government running out of money late Thursday and on Friday the stock Caterpillar jumped to the moon. It opened higher and kept going up.There is no looking back now at what happened.
My May 29th blog talked about how Caterpillar had slight bounce last Friday morning and the light volume of option trading on it. With the stock going sideways to down all that week playing Call options on it was out of fashion. Things changed on Friday June 2nd. Caterpillar bounced. So here now is a look at how two "out-of-the-money" series of Call options traded on it on Friday.
Look at the open interest numbers going into Friday. Two hundred and ninety five contracts. Few traders were expecting the news to come when it did. This blog could now go in many directions. Last week both Caterpillar and Boeing struggled on the week and option trading volumes dried up. My attitude was not to trade, to wait for better days. I should have known better, the system is a little bit corrupt. Insiders could gain the most from a late Thursday release of good news. A one day pop in the next days options. That is what happened. On Friday the D.J.I. was up over 700 points. The one day options on Caterpillar were star performers. It was the "trade-of-the-year" on Caterpillar Calls. It doesn't look like any of the 100,000 or whatever the number of brokers and analysis there are out were clued into this action. So strange. * Also think about this. Caterpillar has something like 109,100 employees. I don't understand why there isn't more traders in on this action.

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