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A Random Walk In The Park On A Monday Morning. A Caution. Monday Mornings Are Often Not An Option Players Best Friend

Let's start with this. It's now 10:26 a.m. A bet on Caterpillar rebounding by the end of the week. There are no takers. Why have to watch the screen for the next four days in agony waiting for a rebound which if happens is just a "break even trade"? But Wait. I made a mistake. The market is actually now down 668 points. What else can we look at? Interactive Brokers. These kind of stocks always do poorly on days with the threat of margin calls. Yet there is something interesting about the printout I am about to show. It is that these options are "one-month-out" Calls. These longer term options trade differently than short term options. (these options trade in one month intervals). If the stock we are following stops it's freefall the value of the options will nudge up ten, fifteen or twenty percent. A seven dollar option Call might creep back up to $8.00 or $9.00 at which time it could be sold. In contrast with a five day option a slight reversal in ...
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Toyota - Just Buying a Straight Call Two Weeks Out

A recent past blog highlighted the fact that the volume in Toyota options is super light. Now read this. There was a change of leadership.
Sales are up, the stock is down. They now have the second, third and fourth best selling cars in the world. It was just reported April global sales were up.
Here is the trading in two "in-the-money" Call options that expire in two weeks (The trading on May30th and on May31st).
Now May 31st.
Here is the chart.
This is all so strange. Only one Call option traded in two trading days. One! I must be an odd duck writing about this or missing something. Production levels up with top selling brands which equates to economies of scale. A proven product with a good reputation. A stock off in price two days in a row in a soft market. Any kind of a reversal would send these Calls up 50% in one day. At this point in time the higher up 140 Calls with two weeks to go would also surge on a two dollar reversal. That would cause an instant double.
I hate blogs like this which say something might double. I could look like an idiot for going so off tangent. Oh well. Check back later to see how all of this played itself out. ** One might wonder if you at mercy of the option makers in trading in thinly traded series like this. Yes and no. When something happens to change the projectory of a stock like Toyota there is no stopping it! ** It popped on the opening. Yes you can play Toyota.
Here is how it closed out the day.
...
What a nice one day move. This proves that Toyota is tradeable.

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