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Rivian. History Repeats Itself

Back on June 26th 2024 I posted a blog about V.W. injecting $5 billion dollars in Rivian. That's a fair chunk of money. Here are two clips borrowed from that blog. .... Rivian jumped on that news. It now has a future. Now look directly below at how it traded two days later. The good news from this event quickly dissipated. Now guess what? Look at what happened this week. There was a Rivian "good news" event again. Now here is how the stock performed this week on this news. Jumping into buying Puts on this news with two days of life left in them would have been the way to play it. Here is how two series of Rivian Puts traded on Friday. (For interest sake only, here is Rivian's three year chart. It has it's ups and downs). For the most part, Rivian is not a fun stock to play options on. That's a comment I often make about playing stocks in the $15.00 range. **** History doesn't repeat itself when it comes to where our readership is coming from. This i...
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Pension Funds and EV Stocks - A Need To Be Part Of The Action

Pension funds invest in EV stocks. Currently Lucid is 81% owned by institutions and 4% insiders. Rivian is 63% owned by institutions and 12% insiders. It's not the average guy on the street who own these two stocks. What do institutional investors know about stocks in this sector that we don't? Tesla is 44% owned by institutions and 13% by insiders. Workhorse is 33% owned by institutions and 4% insiders. In contrast Polestar is only 4% owned by institutions and 47% by insiders. Lucid and Rivian are both up and running with production output. For this reason they both seem to be gaurishing an inordinate amount of attention. Please now read this. After you finish reading this I will tell you what I think.
It seems to me that institutions are out in the garden patch whimically putting EV stocks into their basket. What a dangerous voyage of discovery. Yet what floats the boat is Tesla which has had a wonderful run. The scary part is that this stock has a P/E ratio of 71:80-1. The boat will continue to float as long as consumers continue go electric. It looks like things are headed in that direction. England for example has the goal to ban the sale of all new petrol and diesel vehicles by 2030. Now for a reality check. Look at how these six EV stocks traded this week. What a scrubbing!
The charging station evolution is just as crazy with pension fund money also following the action. This weeks downward action across the board was abnormal.* A look at this situation one year later. What a mess. Investing in companies before they start to have earnings has proven to be a huge mistake.

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