Featured

Caterpillar Approaching An Earnings Release

What a week for Caterpillar. Now this. A printout showing how one series of Calls, the $390.00 series traded on Tuesday last week. Thursday was January 23th. It was up over 313% in one day. If you look at the chart you can see how the stock moved up. Now look at how the same series of Calls closed out the week. Now notice the small volume of trading in this series of Calls and notice the very small outstanding "open interest" numbers. Caterpillar has over 130,000 employees. It boggles my mind that it's Call options don't have more of a following. I have mentioned this before and many of us know one of the the reason why. Caterpillar never has much gossip to talk about, other than the strike it had last year. Contrast this to let's say a stock like Apple. Apple like Caterpillar has an earnings report coming out this week. What might happen to it is widely reported. Wall Street is bracing for a weak iPhone sales number, especially in China, and a guide down for t...
Post a Comment

The Quebec Government Likes To Get Their Fingers In A Lot Of Pies.

Quebec is going full force on trying to go electric. Read these two clips.
Now this.
If you don't know about the company they make electric snowmobiles and electric jet skis. Yes or no. Would you invest in them and is this a good time to be making such a decision? Well the 15 million they recently raised isn't that much money to run a factory for any lenght of time. Then again, the Government isn't going to cry if they don't get their money back. It looks good on paper to be adding skilled jobs to their labor force. In the spring Taiga issued 43 million dollars in 10% interest convertable bonds. Ouch. They now have to crank up their production number just to pay the interest on these bonds. So many issues are now apparent. The good news is they now finally have two product lines to sell in the recreational vehicle segment of the marketplace. However their research and development costs continue .
Do people have money to buy these types of toys?
What happens to the jet ski part of the equasion in the winter? Do they continue building them or is that part of their operations placed on hold?
How much money is the company spending on research and development and is it enough? As a investor how much tolerance do you have for these kind of start up stories? Is this blog is just another distraction? You decide. It's chart will make many investors want run away. In some ways it should. This has being a tough year in the markets for most investors. Very few investors have appetites for these kinds of situations and some traders have had bad luck trying to trade Quebec based companies in general. Case in point is The Lion Electric Company (LEV). Tiaga's stock price has being in a downward spiral for three years. Here is a three year chart and a three month chart.
What a rough ride it has had.
There are no options on it to play. Imagine buying in a few years ago at over $10.00 a share to lose 90% of your investment? Crazy. Sad. Did the company offer it's shareholders proper guidance? The stock has dropped significantly in the last week on low volumes after making big strides in production numbers earlier this year. My advise is to keep this one your radar screen but don't buy in. A company that never earns a profit will never survive.

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Living on Kraft Dinner?

Image
What does the word disconnect mean? As a verb it means "to sever or interrupt the connection of or between; detach". Option trading - one day options - is a disconnect from the world. What happens to slightly "out-of-the-money" Call options on Costco when the stock shoot up thirty dollars on the day? I will show you what happened on Friday to Costco Calls and the options on a few other stocks I frequently watch. What a disconnect from the real world. But before that a look at how the indexes traded. 1) Costco. It's five day chart and a look at how three of it's option series moved upwards in one day. You may not know how to read these printouts but try to read the highs and lows on these option pricings. One printout shows an "at-the-money" option which means you are buying a contract on the stock, good for one day only at a locked in price equal to (or very close to) what the stock is currently trading at. The other two contracts shown are ...
Read more

A Fireside Chat - One Year Options and Thirty Day Options. Which is Better?

Image
Some say to think small, not big. Trying to play Disney options is thinking big. It is a stock slighty out of favor. If we start with it's a three year chart, we will see it is down by about 50% over that period of time. Now it's one year chart. If the stock can break 110 in early 2024 the sky is the limit. It does have a lot of moving parts so anything could happen. Look at these Calls options one year out. One year in options buys a lot of time.They look reasonable. If the stock ever inched up to the $105.00 price level in the three or four months these options would jump up in price by about 50%. Even more if they had really good news. Yet it's the "what-if" aspect of the equation that castes such a trade in doubt. "What if" stories just don't cut it. There are to many variables in play. Then again, why are we even thinking of long-term Call options after a December's rally? Let's switch gears. If consumers are out spending for X-mas...
Read more

Trump Media Technology Options With Three Days To Go.

Image
On Tuesday just after 3:00 p.m the Trump Media Technology Options had stop traded again. What is the next 24 hours going to bring? Who knows. So many option traders follow this stock and most are afraid to buy either Call or Put Options on it because their premiums are so expensive. If Trumph wins the stock should soar and if he loses the stock will tank. The option premiums are priced expensively in both directions. Here now is how both the Calls and Puts traded on the opening today. First the Calls six minutes into the opening. Now the Puts. Now a look at how these options played the day. With a "stop trading" situation the option session ended a little bit early as evidenced in these following readings. Notice also how low the open interest number is in these Puts. Option traders for the most part opted to stay away from this situation. Now this. Trump wins. Here is how the 38 series of Calls traded just after the opening at 10:11 a.m.. The stock is up however the...
Read more