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"Tony The Tiger" - A Food Stock

The mood of Wall Street is now changing as the reality of tariffs is starting to kick in. Two weeks ago not so much so. Kelloggs had "so-so" earnings come out a few weeks ago and the stock exploded upwards. Note the very last line above mentions the effects of tariffs are not taken into consideration. So many stocks with "so-so" earning reports have jumped in price based on the "lets make America great again" slogan. Deere stock is shooting to the moon as I keep writing about in spite of declining sales in the last quarter. The sentiment seems to be that they are immune to tariffs. On paper they might be. Read this. Americans are struggling to buy gas, eggs and insurance. Total housing starts in the U.S.in 2024 were down 3.9%. Walmart, the recent darling stock in the last four weeks for Call option players woke up this morning with an earnings report which was healthy but with came with some caveats. Here is what happened. Perhaps the U.S. is starting ...
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A Santa Clause Rally in Boeing And Caterpillar And Others

It happened in the last thirty days.
Caterpillar was up $2.70 on the week and Boeing was up $10.83. These are both thirty day charts and as you can see both stocks have had huge runs.
So what next? Maybe it's time to splash some cold water on things. Here is a not so whimsical weekend report on Boeing.
Now look at how these three auto have done over the last run. Another Santa Clause rally.
All this keeps going. Look at Fedex, Costco and Home Depot over the last month.
So now what? Is the party soon coming to an end? Well here is the thing. These rallies are not exclusive to anyone stock. In a way that's kind of a bad thing. Each one of these individual stocks are up for non specific reasonings. Look at Walmart and it's one month chart. It's down when everything else seems to be up.
Why isn't Costco affected by this news?
The current news is that higher interest rates are here to stay. Strong jobs reports makes big rate cuts unlikely in 2024 and we are living in a more inflation prone world. Earning reports this year in general are healthy. But wait, things can change. We are bordering on a recession. I hate to ask this question but I am going to. If Walmart is down why is Costco up? It's a puzzle. (90% of the U.S. population lives within ten miles of a Walmart and the company has a broad customer base). Wouldn't they have their ears to the ground as to what is happenening? I am not a big fan of Costco Puts because the stock has a history of out outperforming the markets. At some point however on a strong uptick they might be something to consider. When it falls it can fall big/

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