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Costco Is Flat In The Last Five Days.

Well it's actually had a couple of ten or fifteen dollars dips. Can you play it? Some would say why would you want to? If you look at the open interest in these two series of options below you will see that not many players want to. That in a sense that is a good thing. Here are two option series to look at. First the Calls that are set to expire this Friday. Now the Puts which are also expiring this Friday. Now here is it's chart a 10:05 a.m. If your looking for me to make some brillant comment as to what is going to happen next you might be in for a disapointment. All I want to say is that the markets had a bad day yesterday and the 980 series of Calls almost doubled in price on that day. My point is that these options have the potential (Tuesday options that expire on Friday) to make amazing moves. For example in a past blogs I wrote about Costco on March 7th this stock was down $69.60 on the day as I was writing about it! I have strong repect for these options. Recent...

A 2024 Post. So An Analyst Jump Started The Year.

It's the first trading session of the year and the x-mas chatter is that the world is still in a mess, consumers are overextended, rents might be softening and EV sales are hitting a rough patch. So what's the analyst jump start I am talking about?
This isn't the first time it has jumped in a while. Look at this one day jump in mid December a few years ago.
The stock also did jump from $15.92 on Sept 1st 2019 to $384.86 on Sept 1st 2021. Now look at the price of the 115 puts for this friday. The time of this reading was 1:48 p.m. after the morning jump was over.
So this analyst is really reporting nothing new and simple playing the odds of getting recognized for an early year claim, knowing that the media is starving for news. Yet trying to play the downside on news that is not really news is a tough way to start the year. There are better things to be watching. (See my last's weeks blog on Costco falling). Now see how this series of Puts closed out the day.
Let's see what happens next. It dropped again the following morning. It will not drop forever. Time to move on to something different. Now note the open interest as of yesterdays close. Read what it is. The answer is ONE. That is amazing! Just one. Then see below the number 353 which represents the closing open interest. Subtract this number from the number 1011 and that's the number of in and out contracts traded on the day. Day traders, true to their name were in and out, missing the sizeable drop in share price on the following morning. It all makes sense. Dine and dash.
It also makes me wonder how many insiders played the upside with advance knowledge of this upgrade coming. That is something the regulators should be jumping on.

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