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What does the word disconnect mean? As a verb it means "to sever or interrupt the connection of or between; detach". Option trading - one day options - is a disconnect from the world. What happens to slightly "out-of-the-money" Call options on Costco when the stock shoot up thirty dollars on the day? I will show you what happened on Friday to Costco Calls and the options on a few other stocks I frequently watch. What a disconnect from the real world. But before that a look at how the indexes traded. 1) Costco. It's five day chart and a look at how three of it's option series moved upwards in one day. You may not know how to read these printouts but try to read the highs and lows on these option pricings. One printout shows an "at-the-money" option which means you are buying a contract on the stock, good for one day only at a locked in price equal to (or very close to) what the stock is currently trading at. The other two contracts shown are ...

A 2024 Post. So An Analyst Jump Started The Year.

It's the first trading session of the year and the x-mas chatter is that the world is still in a mess, consumers are overextended, rents might be softening and EV sales are hitting a rough patch. So what's the analyst jump start I am talking about?
This isn't the first time it has jumped in a while. Look at this one day jump in mid December a few years ago.
The stock also did jump from $15.92 on Sept 1st 2019 to $384.86 on Sept 1st 2021. Now look at the price of the 115 puts for this friday. The time of this reading was 1:48 p.m. after the morning jump was over.
So this analyst is really reporting nothing new and simple playing the odds of getting recognized for an early year claim, knowing that the media is starving for news. Yet trying to play the downside on news that is not really news is a tough way to start the year. There are better things to be watching. (See my last's weeks blog on Costco falling). Now see how this series of Puts closed out the day.
Let's see what happens next. It dropped again the following morning. It will not drop forever. Time to move on to something different. Now note the open interest as of yesterdays close. Read what it is. The answer is ONE. That is amazing! Just one. Then see below the number 353 which represents the closing open interest. Subtract this number from the number 1011 and that's the number of in and out contracts traded on the day. Day traders, true to their name were in and out, missing the sizeable drop in share price on the following morning. It all makes sense. Dine and dash.
It also makes me wonder how many insiders played the upside with advance knowledge of this upgrade coming. That is something the regulators should be jumping on.

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