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Caterpillar - Catching A Reversal On A Monday

Mondays are not the best of days to look for reversals however Caterpillar jumped upwards a modest amount which impacted the value of this series of Puts. The Puts are off about 50% on the day at this point in time. This is a 1:36 p.m.readout. Here is it's five day chart. Now its one day chart. It's Puts. Why consider them? It would seem like kind of a random thing to do. Why fight a strong stock? One reason is that the markets are only mildly up and could give back some of it's gains before the end of the day. Caterpillar could be gaining strenght based on all of last weeks business articles talking about how Caterpillar could potentially benefit from all this new AI movement. Caterpillar afterall builds heavy equipment which can be used in the construction of nuclear reactors. Notice that the five day chart is in an uptrend and notice the small open interest numbers in the Puts. That's understandable. No one wants to hold Puts on Caterpillar when it is in this...
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Barron's Says

" Not much has changed for the power grid over the past couple of decades. The U.S. consumed about 4.2 trillion kilowatt-hours of electricity in 2022, a record, but overall demand has been sluggish - just 0.4% growth annually since 2000. About 60% of that comes from burning coal and natural gas. Another 20% comes from nuclear power, with another 20% from renewable sources..... Right now EVs account for less than 1% of total electricity demand.... All told, electricity use could grow by 2% over the next decade.... Production will also be increasingly decentralized. Utilities will still generate the bulk of the electricity, but it will also come from a Walmart store with a solar roof, a Telsa owner with a backup battery, or a homeowner with a standby generator." Telsa had a bad week for trading. Here is it's five day chart.
Telsa was down $18.60 on the week or 7.8%. It's getting to have a million pieces to the puzzle, with this week news of price drops in China and production problems in Europe. Fisker is also another EV company facing headwinds with the new realizations that production gains are a must to survive.
This at the same time of receiving awards.
Then there is Nio. Last week and the week before that it was the most actively traded stock by share volume on the NYSE. Look at how it traded in the past five days.
Even Ford got beat up.
What's going to cushion these blows going forward? Earning reports are off on the horizon reflecting yet another quarter of high priced vehicle sales. Yet these reports might also be full of some suprises. Remember my past blogs on the Canadian company Electrameccanica which hoped to produce three wheeled electric vehicles? Here is a five year look at it's chart.
Hopes for it's future are now dashed. It's no longer a going concern. Other early start EVs companies are succumbing to this fate.
Down but not totally out. Needless to say, the action in EV stocks has hit a rough patch.

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