Featured

A Classic Tesla Friday Option Day Story

So Tesla moves up in the first few minutes of trading on a Friday and quickly decides to go south. The DJIA closed down on the day 685 points. Here is how one series of Puts, the 425 series of traded on the day. A low of $4.11, the price the 425 Puts just after the opening and a closing price of $33.90. More surprising were the "out-of-the-money 410 Puts. A low of $.33 and a high of $21.28. The most extreme gain was with the 392.50 Puts which has a low of $.03 or three dollars a contract and a high of $4.12 or four hundred and twelve dollares. Do the math of that one. How many times has this website talked trading "one-day-until-expiring-options" on Tesla options. The answer is many times. There was news this week about Musk raising 75 billion dollars for "Space X" and in doing so is selling out only 4-5% of this new company. Musk is the richest man in the world. Powerful people can make powerful moves. So what's my point? My point is that the option mark...
Post a Comment

A Canadian Company Up 68% In One Day

Canopy Growth. It's one year and one day chart.
Now it's five day chart.
What's going on? Well let's start with why it surged last August.
So now what? Why did it pop this time? Well this time, like last time many of the stocks in the marijuanas space popped. Look at the last Fridays action in these other matijuana stocks.
Here is the news this time. Many sources talk about it in different way.
Now this.
So this kind of paints the picture of what is happening. Canadian companies have kind of got the jump on growing techniques after burning through billions of dollars in startup capital. Now they are all of on a mission to expand their footprints overseas. Skeptics of the industry who have witnessed these surges in this group of stocks might now tout this as being a good time to sell. Afterall there are millions and millions of outstanding shares and the daily volumes traded are at time quite insignificant.These are difficult stocks to play and even more difficult to play are options on them. Watching this segment of the market can be exhausting experience. A March 30th update. Look at how these stocks are trading one week later after this surge.
These numbers are diffcult to read so I will print them out. Sundial up another $.25, Canopy Growth up $.96, Village Farms up $1.03, Curaleaf up $.03, Tilray up $.16, and Aurora down $.67. Let the better times roll. **** To put things into perspective look at some of these ten year charts. Timing is everything. Look at the volumes of trading coming back into some of these stocks. What do you think is going to happen next?
More news, April 3th.

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Waiting For A Drop On The Opening On Bad News - Eli Lilly

Image
Here is the bad news. The company is Eli Lilly. How bad is this news? Well look at it trading in the premarkets. So what do I think? I think the news is a setback of sorts, but not really all that bad. The stock is going to open lower, that's a given. It's like trying to play Boeing after an announcement that an airplane has crashed. So the stock is going to crash and it might have a small rebound and then it's going to slide down some more. A test of sorts will happen sometime in the afternoon. It might stock falling but then where will it go from there? The best case scenario is a recognition that investors got it all wrong and the stock ends up flat on the day. Yet there might be more of a downward dumping of the stock on the close followed by a selloff on tomorrows opening. Should option players be jumping in to play the upside on next week's Calls? That is the question. Here is a look at Boeing on the days after a crash. Day two after the crash was equally as ...
Read more

A Fireside Chat - One Year Options and Thirty Day Options. Which is Better?

Image
Some say to think small, not big. Trying to play Disney options is thinking big. It is a stock slightly out of favor. If we start with it's a three year chart, we will see it is down by about 50% over that period of time. Now it's one year chart. If the stock can break 110 in early 2024 the sky is the limit. It does have a lot of moving parts so anything could happen. Look at these Calls options one year out. One year in options buys a lot of time.They look reasonable. If the stock ever inched up to the $105.00 price level in the three or four months these options would jump up in price by about 50%. Even more if they had really good news. Yet it's the "what-if" aspect of the equation that castes such a trade in doubt. "What if" stories just don't cut it. There are to many variables in play. Then again, why are we even thinking of long-term Call options after a December's rally? Let's switch gears. If consumers are out spending for X-ma...
Read more

News on Polestar , Lucid (Trading After A Reverse Stock Split) Plus Ford News And Vinfast

Image
Look at the one year chart on Polester. Now it's one month chart. What's going on? It's confusing. It was down $.36 cents on the week. If you want you can spend $.20 or $.25 on Puts and hope that the company goes under in the next five or six months. They recently raised more money by releasing more shares so it's running out of options. You can't run at a loss forever and this news will most likely scare off potential new car buyers. This actually is a low number of outstanding Put options. The consensus seems to be that it is not game over yet. Lucid started trading this week on a "one-for-ten" reverse stock split. Here is its one week chart. It was down $1.39 on the week. It's also going to struggle. Both of these stocks have challenges ahead. On a more positive note here is a chart that looks kind of perky. Ford on the week. The stock was down $.03 cents on the week and it was the 3th highest in share volume trading on the NYSE. It appears...
Read more