Featured

McDonalds Again And A Follow Up To Yesterday's Blog..

Some option traders on Friday mornings just want to be in and out in the first hour or so of trading on short term options they feel comfortable trading. In the second half of the day most of the action calms down. Take your winnings and run. McDonalds sold off a little bit yesterday afternoon and firmed up a bit towards the closing. Could this "mostly downtrend" continue? Here is a partial look at the opening bell's action, today a Friday however let us first look at how the stock traded yesterday. Now a look at it's trading pattern at 9:32.22 a.m. Now this, McDonald's jumps up $4.98 and the 317.50 Puts we followed yesterday which are now "out-of-the-money" acted accordingly. During the fist 2.22 minutes of trading they traded down to 34 dollars a contract. Now this. In the first three minutes of trading the stock jumped a bit and started to come off a touch. These Call options where not attacting all that much attention. The bid and ask jumped up ...
Post a Comment

One Week Options. Are They A Good Bet In Times like This?

Look at how these these four stocks traded last week. 1)
What a great week for one week Call option players on Boeing even though the stock ended up down .83 cents on the week. 2) Roku. Roku hasn't yet recovered from a not so good quarterly report. Roku lost $1.13 on the week. (Netflix in somewhat the same space was up $35.780.)
3) Disney suprised. I talked about that in a recent blog.
4) Now Caterpillar. It was up $12.83
Now The D.J.I. was down .11% or basically flat. In good times Call options can be your best friend. To be continued. Now let us look at the next week's action. Let's begin with Boeing. Here is it's Monday March 4th one day chart.
Look at the buying opportunity which presented itself around 10:00 a.m. Next Roku. Look a how it traded on the day. Can you see how buying in on the opening would have been a mistake? That is a common theme with one week Calls on a Monday morning. Buying into it during the late morning was better.
Now Disney. First it's one day movement.
Note the strong open interest numbers.
Now Caterpillar. Last week it had a strong run up in price so it would seem to be more vulerable to a breather on the opening today.
All this happend on a day when the markets were down.
To be continued. Now a Wedneday after the closing bell update on March 6th. Everything is down.
Two days of going sideways like this is unheard of. Now Roku
It's 30 day chart tells us not to expect to much in the next couple of days.
Now Disney. It suprised last week on unexpected news. Not so much this week.
When the open interest in a series of Calls like this starts to creep up you know the option makers want to see the stock flounder for a few more days. Now Caterpillar. It's down. It still looks like it has some upside.
A March 9th weekend update. Boeing 198.49, Roku 64.50, Disney 110.32 and Caterpillar 339.19. The D.J.I. fell .9%. It was the second weeek that this index went sideways. Let's check in on these four stocks at the end of next week.

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Living on Kraft Dinner?

Image
What does the word disconnect mean? As a verb it means "to sever or interrupt the connection of or between; detach". Option trading - one day options - is a disconnect from the world. What happens to slightly "out-of-the-money" Call options on Costco when the stock shoot up thirty dollars on the day? I will show you what happened on Friday to Costco Calls and the options on a few other stocks I frequently watch. What a disconnect from the real world. But before that a look at how the indexes traded. 1) Costco. It's five day chart and a look at how three of it's option series moved upwards in one day. You may not know how to read these printouts but try to read the highs and lows on these option pricings. One printout shows an "at-the-money" option which means you are buying a contract on the stock, good for one day only at a locked in price equal to (or very close to) what the stock is currently trading at. The other two contracts shown are ...
Read more

The Little Engine That Could

Image
Walmart again. It's all I seem to blog about. Here is it's five day chart. The stock keeps going up and the option series are set up in one dollar spreads. Even a fifty cent move on the stock moves the needle on these Calls. Look at how this series of Calls was trading yesterday at 3:00 p.m.. Now here is this same series of Calls just before noon today. Thirty days of upward action like this punctuated by the off day of decline. Now notice the higher volume of trading in the series of Calls with the higher striking price. These are the ones's with more leverage. At the same time look at the five day chart on Costco. The two stocks sometimes trade in tandem. Humpty dumpty sat on a wall .... a had a great fall. Someday soon a fall might happen but what a great ride it has been.
Read more

A Fireside Chat - One Year Options and Thirty Day Options. Which is Better?

Image
Some say to think small, not big. Trying to play Disney options is thinking big. It is a stock slighty out of favor. If we start with it's a three year chart, we will see it is down by about 50% over that period of time. Now it's one year chart. If the stock can break 110 in early 2024 the sky is the limit. It does have a lot of moving parts so anything could happen. Look at these Calls options one year out. One year in options buys a lot of time.They look reasonable. If the stock ever inched up to the $105.00 price level in the three or four months these options would jump up in price by about 50%. Even more if they had really good news. Yet it's the "what-if" aspect of the equation that castes such a trade in doubt. "What if" stories just don't cut it. There are to many variables in play. Then again, why are we even thinking of long-term Call options after a December's rally? Let's switch gears. If consumers are out spending for X-mas...
Read more