Featured

Finding A Trade To Make On Thursdays. "Walmart"

I don't like Thursday afternoons in short term option trading. A lot of things seem to happen on Thursdays like government reports coming out. I don't buy in the final seconds of trading, Call options on Boeing, Caterpillar or Eli Lilly or hoping for a Friday morning bounce. The hope today is to do find something good to trade and walk away by early afternoon. Welcome to Walmart. Options on Walmart are tight. Other stocks like McDonalds have options which trade sloppily. Let me show you what I mean by this. Good luck trying to get a fair fill if you're buying or selling. Now the Walmart side of the story on how options trade on it. Can you see the tighter bid and ask and the higher volume of trading? Step back for a second and consider this. The stock is only up $.26 cents in the first 45 minutes of trading. What does that tell us? It's waiting to decide which way it wants to go. Now this. These Call options went on to move up to $1.71 just before noon. There was the...
Post a Comment

Will Fisker Survive?

Maybe. They have whimical t.v. commercials. I want one, but why they make claims to using recylicable materials in their vehicles is something I don't totally understand. Here is it's 5 year, 30 day and 5 day chart.
Image buying near the top and then averaging down? What a mess for existing shareholders. So what is happening now? Auto Trader in Canada has two used one's for sale. If the company goes under will replacement parts be available?
Fisker now needs more $$$$ to survive. Is the next step finding a partner and / or issuing more shares? Their product lines are strikingly beautiful and their name does have some brand recognition.Yet there is a big probem.
A loss last year of $762 million. That's a crazy big chunk of money. How did they get themselves in such a big mess? Now with the added bad publicity of potentially going bankrupt the path forward is even that much more difficult. .
Miracles have happened. Look at how Canoo, another struggling E.V. maker regained some ground this week.
Now this. Fisker Call options. They are pretty stupid to be looking at given that a drastic reverse stock split is probably imminent. Look at what happened to Faraday Future Intelligent Electric Inc.
A one week pop the $.30 cent level would make these options double. (You can't go any further out that September Calls). Might Fisker rebound to $.30 cents per share? It was there only a few days ago. Guess what? It's not worth the risk. So what even if it does. The real money was made in shorting it months ago. Stick to Caterpillar Calls and Puts. Caterpillar is not going to go away anytime soon. ** A March 18th 9:28 a.m. update.
Now this.
A March 26th update.
An April 12th update.
The short sellers win.

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

A Fireside Chat - One Year Options and Thirty Day Options. Which is Better?

Image
Some say to think small, not big. Trying to play Disney options is thinking big. It is a stock slightly out of favor. If we start with it's a three year chart, we will see it is down by about 50% over that period of time. Now it's one year chart. If the stock can break 110 in early 2024 the sky is the limit. It does have a lot of moving parts so anything could happen. Look at these Calls options one year out. One year in options buys a lot of time.They look reasonable. If the stock ever inched up to the $105.00 price level in the three or four months these options would jump up in price by about 50%. Even more if they had really good news. Yet it's the "what-if" aspect of the equation that castes such a trade in doubt. "What if" stories just don't cut it. There are to many variables in play. Then again, why are we even thinking of long-term Call options after a December's rally? Let's switch gears. If consumers are out spending for X-ma...
Read more

Waiting For A Drop On The Opening On Bad News - Eli Lilly

Image
Here is the bad news. The company is Eli Lilly. How bad is this news? Well look at it trading in the premarkets. So what do I think? I think the news is a setback of sorts, but not really all that bad. The stock is going to open lower, that's a given. It's like trying to play Boeing after an announcement that an airplane has crashed. So the stock is going to crash and it might have a small rebound and then it's going to slide down some more. A test of sorts will happen sometime in the afternoon. It might stock falling but then where will it go from there? The best case scenario is a recognition that investors got it all wrong and the stock ends up flat on the day. Yet there might be more of a downward dumping of the stock on the close followed by a selloff on tomorrows opening. Should option players be jumping in to play the upside on next week's Calls? That is the question. Here is a look at Boeing on the days after a crash. Day two after the crash was equally as ...
Read more

Another Blog On "Vinfast"

Image
There is so much to read about this companies history online. Do your own homework. Their success is not dependent on what ends up happening with their sales in North America. They are nimble. There are plenty of auto factories all over the world now for sale they can acquire. They have dabbled in Australia. Having access to money to keep going doesn't seem to be their problem. Rivian also seems to enjoy this advantage. Vinfast is currently building a new plant in India which could employ thousands of people. That's an emerging new market. New relationships are being built and new investors will be coming onboard. Are option players looking at this stock? Not really if we look at these "one-month-out" Calls. What about Calls further out? What about next January? Here is a look at the three and four series of Calls. Nobody seems willing to bet Vinfast Calls. Now this. Here are two snippets taken from a blog I wrote about this stock back in early December of 2024. ...
Read more