Featured

Apple Options

Apple options can move quickly and they are tough to play. Product launches are highly anticipated, often delayed and widely followed. Short term options on Apple expire three times a week. The stock can move $3.00 or $5.00 or $10:00 in any given day. Do I have any special insights into how to play options on it? Not really, in this case the stock has moved sideways for most of the day after a quick morning drop. Now here is it's five day chart. Now this. So what makes these so difficult to play? It's that so many different factors can make the stock move so luck makes up a big part of what might happen next. A six dollar stock drop on Apple is more likely to experience a reversal in price than a twelve dollar drop. Let's see what happens next. Here is the $307.50 series of Calls in the last minute of Monday trading. Can you see the volume of trading shoot upwards in the last 70 minutes of trade. Let's see what the open interest is going to be going into tomorrow...
Post a Comment

Will Fisker Survive?

Maybe. They have whimical t.v. commercials. I want one, but why they make claims to using recylicable materials in their vehicles is something I don't totally understand. Here is it's 5 year, 30 day and 5 day chart.
Image buying near the top and then averaging down? What a mess for existing shareholders. So what is happening now? Auto Trader in Canada has two used one's for sale. If the company goes under will replacement parts be available?
Fisker now needs more $$$$ to survive. Is the next step finding a partner and / or issuing more shares? Their product lines are strikingly beautiful and their name does have some brand recognition.Yet there is a big probem.
A loss last year of $762 million. That's a crazy big chunk of money. How did they get themselves in such a big mess? Now with the added bad publicity of potentially going bankrupt the path forward is even that much more difficult. .
Miracles have happened. Look at how Canoo, another struggling E.V. maker regained some ground this week.
Now this. Fisker Call options. They are pretty stupid to be looking at given that a drastic reverse stock split is probably imminent. Look at what happened to Faraday Future Intelligent Electric Inc.
A one week pop the $.30 cent level would make these options double. (You can't go any further out that September Calls). Might Fisker rebound to $.30 cents per share? It was there only a few days ago. Guess what? It's not worth the risk. So what even if it does. The real money was made in shorting it months ago. Stick to Caterpillar Calls and Puts. Caterpillar is not going to go away anytime soon. ** A March 18th 9:28 a.m. update.
Now this.
A March 26th update.
An April 12th update.
The short sellers win.

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Waiting For A Drop On The Opening On Bad News - Eli Lilly

Image
Here is the bad news. The company is Eli Lilly. How bad is this news? Well look at it trading in the premarkets. So what do I think? I think the news is a setback of sorts, but not really all that bad. The stock is going to open lower, that's a given. It's like trying to play Boeing after an announcement that an airplane has crashed. So the stock is going to crash and it might have a small rebound and then it's going to slide down some more. A test of sorts will happen sometime in the afternoon. It might stock falling but then where will it go from there? The best case scenario is a recognition that investors got it all wrong and the stock ends up flat on the day. Yet there might be more of a downward dumping of the stock on the close followed by a selloff on tomorrows opening. Should option players be jumping in to play the upside on next week's Calls? That is the question. Here is a look at Boeing on the days after a crash. Day two after the crash was equally as ...
Read more

News on Polestar , Lucid (Trading After A Reverse Stock Split) Plus Ford News And Vinfast

Image
Look at the one year chart on Polester. Now it's one month chart. What's going on? It's confusing. It was down $.36 cents on the week. If you want you can spend $.20 or $.25 on Puts and hope that the company goes under in the next five or six months. They recently raised more money by releasing more shares so it's running out of options. You can't run at a loss forever and this news will most likely scare off potential new car buyers. This actually is a low number of outstanding Put options. The consensus seems to be that it is not game over yet. Lucid started trading this week on a "one-for-ten" reverse stock split. Here is its one week chart. It was down $1.39 on the week. It's also going to struggle. Both of these stocks have challenges ahead. On a more positive note here is a chart that looks kind of perky. Ford on the week. The stock was down $.03 cents on the week and it was the 3th highest in share volume trading on the NYSE. It appears...
Read more

A Fireside Chat - One Year Options and Thirty Day Options. Which is Better?

Image
Some say to think small, not big. Trying to play Disney options is thinking big. It is a stock slightly out of favor. If we start with it's a three year chart, we will see it is down by about 50% over that period of time. Now it's one year chart. If the stock can break 110 in early 2024 the sky is the limit. It does have a lot of moving parts so anything could happen. Look at these Calls options one year out. One year in options buys a lot of time.They look reasonable. If the stock ever inched up to the $105.00 price level in the three or four months these options would jump up in price by about 50%. Even more if they had really good news. Yet it's the "what-if" aspect of the equation that castes such a trade in doubt. "What if" stories just don't cut it. There are to many variables in play. Then again, why are we even thinking of long-term Call options after a December's rally? Let's switch gears. If consumers are out spending for X-ma...
Read more