Featured

Another Blog On "Vinfast"

There is so much to read about this companies history online. Do your own homework. Their success is not dependent on what ends up happening with their sales in North America. They are nimble. There are plenty of auto factories all over the world now for sale they can acquire. They have dabbled in Australia. Having access to money to keep going doesn't seem to be their problem. Rivian also seems to enjoy this advantage. Vinfast is currently building a new plant in India which could employ thousands of people. That's an emerging new market. New relationships are being built and new investors will be coming onboard. Are option players looking at this stock? Not really if we look at these "one-month-out" Calls. What about Calls further out? What about next January? Here is a look at the three and four series of Calls. Nobody seems willing to bet Vinfast Calls. Now this. Here are two snippets taken from a blog I wrote about this stock back in early December of 2024. ...
Post a Comment

Will Fisker Survive?

Maybe. They have whimical t.v. commercials. I want one, but why they make claims to using recylicable materials in their vehicles is something I don't totally understand. Here is it's 5 year, 30 day and 5 day chart.
Image buying near the top and then averaging down? What a mess for existing shareholders. So what is happening now? Auto Trader in Canada has two used one's for sale. If the company goes under will replacement parts be available?
Fisker now needs more $$$$ to survive. Is the next step finding a partner and / or issuing more shares? Their product lines are strikingly beautiful and their name does have some brand recognition.Yet there is a big probem.
A loss last year of $762 million. That's a crazy big chunk of money. How did they get themselves in such a big mess? Now with the added bad publicity of potentially going bankrupt the path forward is even that much more difficult. .
Miracles have happened. Look at how Canoo, another struggling E.V. maker regained some ground this week.
Now this. Fisker Call options. They are pretty stupid to be looking at given that a drastic reverse stock split is probably imminent. Look at what happened to Faraday Future Intelligent Electric Inc.
A one week pop the $.30 cent level would make these options double. (You can't go any further out that September Calls). Might Fisker rebound to $.30 cents per share? It was there only a few days ago. Guess what? It's not worth the risk. So what even if it does. The real money was made in shorting it months ago. Stick to Caterpillar Calls and Puts. Caterpillar is not going to go away anytime soon. ** A March 18th 9:28 a.m. update.
Now this.
A March 26th update.
An April 12th update.
The short sellers win.

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Living on Kraft Dinner?

Image
What does the word disconnect mean? As a verb it means "to sever or interrupt the connection of or between; detach". Option trading - one day options - is a disconnect from the world. What happens to slightly "out-of-the-money" Call options on Costco when the stock shoot up thirty dollars on the day? I will show you what happened on Friday to Costco Calls and the options on a few other stocks I frequently watch. What a disconnect from the real world. But before that a look at how the indexes traded. 1) Costco. It's five day chart and a look at how three of it's option series moved upwards in one day. You may not know how to read these printouts but try to read the highs and lows on these option pricings. One printout shows an "at-the-money" option which means you are buying a contract on the stock, good for one day only at a locked in price equal to (or very close to) what the stock is currently trading at. The other two contracts shown are ...
Read more

The Little Engine That Could

Image
Walmart again. It's all I seem to blog about. Here is it's five day chart. The stock keeps going up and the option series are set up in one dollar spreads. Even a fifty cent move on the stock moves the needle on these Calls. Look at how this series of Calls was trading yesterday at 3:00 p.m.. Now here is this same series of Calls just before noon today. Thirty days of upward action like this punctuated by the off day of decline. Now notice the higher volume of trading in the series of Calls with the higher striking price. These are the ones's with more leverage. At the same time look at the five day chart on Costco. The two stocks sometimes trade in tandem. Humpty dumpty sat on a wall .... a had a great fall. Someday soon a fall might happen but what a great ride it has been.
Read more

A Fireside Chat - One Year Options and Thirty Day Options. Which is Better?

Image
Some say to think small, not big. Trying to play Disney options is thinking big. It is a stock slighty out of favor. If we start with it's a three year chart, we will see it is down by about 50% over that period of time. Now it's one year chart. If the stock can break 110 in early 2024 the sky is the limit. It does have a lot of moving parts so anything could happen. Look at these Calls options one year out. One year in options buys a lot of time.They look reasonable. If the stock ever inched up to the $105.00 price level in the three or four months these options would jump up in price by about 50%. Even more if they had really good news. Yet it's the "what-if" aspect of the equation that castes such a trade in doubt. "What if" stories just don't cut it. There are to many variables in play. Then again, why are we even thinking of long-term Call options after a December's rally? Let's switch gears. If consumers are out spending for X-mas...
Read more