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Why The Appeal Of Trading Caterpillar Options Is Now Diminishing

In previous blogs I looked at Caterpillar spiking upwards through the $1,000.00 barrier for the very first time. Twenty and thirty and forty dollar daily jumps on the stock were the norm. Today we are entering more sobering times. Pundits are now commenting on the upcoming release on August 4th of Caterpillar's quarterly earning report. That is not far away. The stock has doubled in price in a relatively short period of time. Is the party over? Look at Caterpillars one year chart. The companies earnings have not doubled in the last year. Far from it. So now what? Buy a Put option thirty days out in the hopes the stock might drop ten percent on a more normalized earning's report? Maybe. Here is an example of the cost of what one of these Puts would look like. Given it's current bid and ask the stock would have to drop to the $1,005.00 just to break even. It could, however most active option day traders are seeking opportunities which can play out in hours or in a day. Case...

Will Fisker Survive?

Maybe. They have whimical t.v. commercials. I want one, but why they make claims to using recylicable materials in their vehicles is something I don't totally understand. Here is it's 5 year, 30 day and 5 day chart.
Image buying near the top and then averaging down? What a mess for existing shareholders. So what is happening now? Auto Trader in Canada has two used one's for sale. If the company goes under will replacement parts be available?
Fisker now needs more $$$$ to survive. Is the next step finding a partner and / or issuing more shares? Their product lines are strikingly beautiful and their name does have some brand recognition.Yet there is a big probem.
A loss last year of $762 million. That's a crazy big chunk of money. How did they get themselves in such a big mess? Now with the added bad publicity of potentially going bankrupt the path forward is even that much more difficult. .
Miracles have happened. Look at how Canoo, another struggling E.V. maker regained some ground this week.
Now this. Fisker Call options. They are pretty stupid to be looking at given that a drastic reverse stock split is probably imminent. Look at what happened to Faraday Future Intelligent Electric Inc.
A one week pop the $.30 cent level would make these options double. (You can't go any further out that September Calls). Might Fisker rebound to $.30 cents per share? It was there only a few days ago. Guess what? It's not worth the risk. So what even if it does. The real money was made in shorting it months ago. Stick to Caterpillar Calls and Puts. Caterpillar is not going to go away anytime soon. ** A March 18th 9:28 a.m. update.
Now this.
A March 26th update.
An April 12th update.
The short sellers win.

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