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Showing posts from April, 2024

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Eli Lilly - Expect Morning Moves Like This. Also Costco and Carvana

I don't like writing blogs about Eli Lilly. Why? Three reasons. It's option premiums are expensive and the stock makes giant moves. The third reason is that I know next to nothing about Eli Lilly's "day-to-day" operating realities. If I guess wrong, yes I say the word guess and I am not apologizing for using it, it's game over. Look at what happened this morning, a Tuesday. It jumped upwards after the opening and then sold off. ... The Puts traded down to $12.64 on the stock's early morning blip upwards and then nearly doubled in price on the ensuing decline. A second chart here below shows that action better. Buy the Puts just after the opening and sell them a few minutes later or wait and sell them at lunchtime. It's not only Eli Lilly that moves like this. Look at Costco today. It also was up on the opening and then tanked. This series of Puts moved up in price. Finally Carvana. The same story. Up on the opening and then tanking. .. If you ar...

Roku Jumped in Anticipation Of A Good Earnings Report

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Only to fall again. Look at this five and thirty day chart. ................................................... Yet thats only part of the story. Look at it's year to date chart. How bad was their earnings report? Do you think their pain and suffering is all now behind them? The stock is down 38% on the year. All I know is that they still seem to be making a pile of money. On a different note and in a different industry a stock named "First Solar" was stuck in neutral a few months back because interest rates where to seemingly high and companies in that industry were cutting back on the size and number of projects they were working on. Since that time and for whatever reason the stock in on fire. Both Boeing and Caterpillar also crashed last week on earning report releases. There seemed to be a hint of danger present in both companies releases. It's almost as if there was a domino effect. Next question? Why is Netflix gettng beat up? Look at it's chart. Is ...

Caterpillar - It's First Quarter Earnings Report And Traders Are Staying Away. A Read Which Might Be A Good Reference Point Going Forward.

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Boeing rallied yesterday on the release of it's earnings report only then to tank. Caterpillar is tanking this morning in the premarkets. Let's begin with it's 5 day and 30 day chart. ... The world needs to be rebuilt and Caterpillar is there to help. It's growing, it's got a good reputation, it's not laying off employees and it's doing just fine. If it misses a beat on it's earnings report so what? Life goes on. Then there are those pesky analyst who are known to offer a convoluted spin on things. If you like Caterpillar just buy it on the dips and put it away. So the markets will be opening on the commentary by the companies C.E.O of "sales about flat". Phrasing it that way is a recipe for short term disaster. ..... The two printouts above show some of the early morning action in one Put series and in One Call series. What happened the next day? A slight rebound with next to no traders trying to capitalize on a rebound. What does this tell ...