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Options On Stocks In The Fifteen And Twenty Dollar Price Range With Seven Days To Go And Not Five Days To Go.

I should have called this blog "Ford Calls" or "Harley Davidson Calls" to get more hits but this time I want to show you something a little bit different. What I want to show you is how options with seven days of trading life left in them can suprise. Seven days and not five days. What's the big difference? Well the extra day buys you the action of a Friday bounce without having to worry about your option position expiring that day. Seven and not six days also. These options would need to be bought on a Thursday before the close. This may sound kind of confusing but let me show you two examples of what played itself out last Friday. Let's first use the stock Harley Davidson and use it's Call options as an example. Here is how "seven-day-out-Call-options" would have traded the day later on Friday February 12th. They jumped 60% in one day! What kind of a jump in the stock's price would have caused that to happen? Well let's look at it...
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Caterpillar - It's First Quarter Earnings Report And Traders Are Staying Away. A Read Which Might Be A Good Reference Point Going Forward.

Boeing rallied yesterday on the release of it's earnings report only then to tank. Caterpillar is tanking this morning in the premarkets. Let's begin with it's 5 day and 30 day chart.
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The world needs to be rebuilt and Caterpillar is there to help. It's growing, it's got a good reputation, it's not laying off employees and it's doing just fine. If it misses a beat on it's earnings report so what? Life goes on. Then there are those pesky analyst who are known to offer a convoluted spin on things. If you like Caterpillar just buy it on the dips and put it away. So the markets will be opening on the commentary by the companies C.E.O of "sales about flat". Phrasing it that way is a recipe for short term disaster.
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The two printouts above show some of the early morning action in one Put series and in One Call series. What happened the next day? A slight rebound with next to no traders trying to capitalize on a rebound. What does this tell us? It tells us option traders in general stay away from trading the "release of earning reports" on Caterpillar.
Now the one week out Call options.
Low open interest, a low volume of trading and relatively big pricings considering the these are only slightly "in-the-money" Calls which might take a few seeks to gain value. The bottom line is that this stock really got beat up and going forward it's going to be again upward journey. It helps that they are buying back their own shares. ** Now a look at how Caterpillar traded at the close on Monday April 29th.
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The volume of Calls traded is very light. That's suprising.

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