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Can You Play Exxon Crashing On The Opening?

Here is it's five day chart. I have talked about these options before. Exxon drops on the opening. The Puts going into the trading session obviously did well. Is it time to buy the Calls for a rebound? Here are two series to look at. Only one contract traded in the first five minutes of trading. That tells us traders do not see this as being an amazing opportunity. It also shows us that experienced option traders have taught themselves to wait before they attempt to participate in any kind of a rebound. That's what you have to teach yourself to do. ....... Does this change at the 15 minute into the market time period? I can't tell for sure however it looks like someone may have bought a block of 50 contracts in the 116 series of Calls. Here we are at 10:00 a.m. Could this be the bottom? Now here we are at 12:22 p.m. Happy times are here again. The 115 series of Calls which were trading for $1.87 at 9:46 a.m. now at 12:22 p.m have moved upwards to $2.70. The 116 ser...

Caterpillar - It's First Quarter Earnings Report And Traders Are Staying Away. A Read Which Might Be A Good Reference Point Going Forward.

Boeing rallied yesterday on the release of it's earnings report only then to tank. Caterpillar is tanking this morning in the premarkets. Let's begin with it's 5 day and 30 day chart.
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The world needs to be rebuilt and Caterpillar is there to help. It's growing, it's got a good reputation, it's not laying off employees and it's doing just fine. If it misses a beat on it's earnings report so what? Life goes on. Then there are those pesky analyst who are known to offer a convoluted spin on things. If you like Caterpillar just buy it on the dips and put it away. So the markets will be opening on the commentary by the companies C.E.O of "sales about flat". Phrasing it that way is a recipe for short term disaster.
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The two printouts above show some of the early morning action in one Put series and in One Call series. What happened the next day? A slight rebound with next to no traders trying to capitalize on a rebound. What does this tell us? It tells us option traders in general stay away from trading the "release of earning reports" on Caterpillar.
Now the one week out Call options.
Low open interest, a low volume of trading and relatively big pricings considering the these are only slightly "in-the-money" Calls which might take a few seeks to gain value. The bottom line is that this stock really got beat up and going forward it's going to be again upward journey. It helps that they are buying back their own shares. ** Now a look at how Caterpillar traded at the close on Monday April 29th.
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The volume of Calls traded is very light. That's suprising.

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