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A Random Walk In The Park On A Monday Morning. A Caution. Monday Mornings Are Often Not An Option Players Best Friend

Let's start with this. It's now 10:26 a.m. A bet on Caterpillar rebounding by the end of the week. There are no takers. Why have to watch the screen for the next four days in agony waiting for a rebound which if happens is just a "break even trade"? But Wait. I made a mistake. The market is actually now down 668 points. What else can we look at? Interactive Brokers. These kind of stocks always do poorly on days with the threat of margin calls. Yet there is something interesting about the printout I am about to show. It is that these options are "one-month-out" Calls. These longer term options trade differently than short term options. (these options trade in one month intervals). If the stock we are following stops it's freefall the value of the options will nudge up ten, fifteen or twenty percent. A seven dollar option Call might creep back up to $8.00 or $9.00 at which time it could be sold. In contrast with a five day option a slight reversal in ...
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U Tube Videos and Carmax

I am hooked on youtube videos watching podcasts of what is happening in the auto industry. One subsection of this addiction is the Tesla story and another what is happening with the U.S. used car market. Who can afford to finance a used car these days with prices and interest rates so high? CarMax had their quarterly earning report today. Up or down? What do you think? Barron's on the weekend made a few bullish statements. "Analysis expect the company to report a fiscal forth-quarter profit of 46 cents a share on sales of $8.8 billion, an increase of 5% and 1% respectively. Sales should get a boost from tax refunds, which accelerated into the end of the quarter and an increased supply of newer used cars". So here is what happened on the release of their earning report.
As a blogger should I have told you this was going to happen before it happened? The human brain is lazy. If you think you can make money in option trading you are going to have to teach yourself to be ahead of the curve. Now look at how the near to expiring ( tomorow ) Puts did as of 12:45 p.m. today? First the 80 series of Puts.
Basically a double. In was a pretty straight forward reaction. Here now is how the extra spicy ones traded.
Mark this date down in your calender book and revisit this scenario a year for now. I should be collecting an email list of all the viewers who want to be reminded of events like this but there are many things I should be doing. *** An observation on Friday April 12th, one day after. Look at this five day chart.
Can you notice the dip in Carmax on the morning prior to the release of the earnings report? Was that a hint that something no so good was about to happen?

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