Featured

Another Blog On "Vinfast"

There is so much to read about this companies history online. Do your own homework. Their success is not dependent on what ends up happening with their sales in North America. They are nimble. There are plenty of auto factories all over the world now for sale they can acquire. They have dabbled in Australia. Having access to money to keep going doesn't seem to be their problem. Rivian also seems to enjoy this advantage. Vinfast is currently building a new plant in India which could employ thousands of people. That's an emerging new market. New relationships are being built and new investors will be coming onboard. Are option players looking at this stock? Not really if we look at these "one-month-out" Calls. What about Calls further out? What about next January? Here is a look at the three and four series of Calls. Nobody seems willing to bet Vinfast Calls. Now this. Here are two snippets taken from a blog I wrote about this stock back in early December of 2024. ...
Post a Comment

Deere On Earnings and Boeing

Here is a look at Deere towards the end of the afternoon after a premarket earnings report was released. It got beat up pretty bad. What we are now looking at is a printout of one Deere option series which will be expiring the next day. This snapshot was taken at 3:37 p.m.. Would now be a good time to buy into these 395 Calls and try to play tomorrow's potential upside? The stock is rebounding from a significant dip.
Lets look at how these options traded the next day. Can you see they hit a high of $4.65 sometime during the following day?
I did two very small trades on the Friday morning bounce back. I just wanted to cover my commissions and make a touch. Remember, Deere options are extremely difficult to play and with only hours to go before this series of Call options expire its not bad to take a profit whenever one materializes.
..................
My times in were 10:14 to 10:31 a.m. and 10:59 to 11.09 a.m. I missed the elusive high of $4.65 which happened after I got out. Part Two. Can you make money looking for bounces? Look a Boeing's five day trading chart last week and look at how it bounced on Thursday.
Guess what I picked up on Wednesday? "Out-of-money" Boeing Calls, 10 of the 190's, they were way "out-of-the money" Calls and 4, 185 Calls. I got lucky and got the bounce I needed on Thursday morning to make out alright. I did, however sell out to quickly - it's always difficult to guess the top, especially when holding "out-of-the-money" soon to expire positions.
Part two. Now let's move forward to looking at holding Boeing over the weekend. It sometimes pops on Monday mornings. I got in on Friday at 3:57 p.m. and out on Monday at 10:15 a.m. Getting out is always the tough part, trying to pick the correct exit point. This time I was off a bit. I got nervous on the fist dip and should have waited longer. In at $1.06 and out at $1.56.
Here is how the stock traded on Monday.
It dropped on a weak opening and then had some strong legs. It lost steam towards the end of the day. To be continued.

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Living on Kraft Dinner?

Image
What does the word disconnect mean? As a verb it means "to sever or interrupt the connection of or between; detach". Option trading - one day options - is a disconnect from the world. What happens to slightly "out-of-the-money" Call options on Costco when the stock shoot up thirty dollars on the day? I will show you what happened on Friday to Costco Calls and the options on a few other stocks I frequently watch. What a disconnect from the real world. But before that a look at how the indexes traded. 1) Costco. It's five day chart and a look at how three of it's option series moved upwards in one day. You may not know how to read these printouts but try to read the highs and lows on these option pricings. One printout shows an "at-the-money" option which means you are buying a contract on the stock, good for one day only at a locked in price equal to (or very close to) what the stock is currently trading at. The other two contracts shown are ...
Read more

The Little Engine That Could

Image
Walmart again. It's all I seem to blog about. Here is it's five day chart. The stock keeps going up and the option series are set up in one dollar spreads. Even a fifty cent move on the stock moves the needle on these Calls. Look at how this series of Calls was trading yesterday at 3:00 p.m.. Now here is this same series of Calls just before noon today. Thirty days of upward action like this punctuated by the off day of decline. Now notice the higher volume of trading in the series of Calls with the higher striking price. These are the ones's with more leverage. At the same time look at the five day chart on Costco. The two stocks sometimes trade in tandem. Humpty dumpty sat on a wall .... a had a great fall. Someday soon a fall might happen but what a great ride it has been.
Read more

A Fireside Chat - One Year Options and Thirty Day Options. Which is Better?

Image
Some say to think small, not big. Trying to play Disney options is thinking big. It is a stock slighty out of favor. If we start with it's a three year chart, we will see it is down by about 50% over that period of time. Now it's one year chart. If the stock can break 110 in early 2024 the sky is the limit. It does have a lot of moving parts so anything could happen. Look at these Calls options one year out. One year in options buys a lot of time.They look reasonable. If the stock ever inched up to the $105.00 price level in the three or four months these options would jump up in price by about 50%. Even more if they had really good news. Yet it's the "what-if" aspect of the equation that castes such a trade in doubt. "What if" stories just don't cut it. There are to many variables in play. Then again, why are we even thinking of long-term Call options after a December's rally? Let's switch gears. If consumers are out spending for X-mas...
Read more