Featured

Why It's Difficult To Play Options With Four Trading Days Left In Them.

The premiums are to expensive. Here is what I mean. Look first at Nvidia. Now look at the price of it's end of week Calls and Puts. Do you see the prices of $7.14 and $720.00? Those are both crazy high numbers. If we look at Walmart it's the very same story. Super expensive Calls and Puts if we are looking four days out. Suprising Exxon with a much more interesting five day chart have options that look somewhat reasonably priced. Look at how few Exxon Puts there are outstanding compared to the Calls. Few traders see any positive Middle East developments. Now consider how this narrative is so much different than the one day action I talked about yesterday on Nvidia's last day to expiring options. One day options offer so much more action. Let's revisit this blog over the next few days or so to add more commentary to this story.
Post a Comment

Ford Puts - sometimes they will surprise!

Back to an old friend. This blog is about why trading stock options on the stock "Ford Motors" can suprise. It's also about trading options I call "penny like options". In this instance I am trading options priced at twelve cents. For first time readers that really means $12.00. Now, a one day and five day chart on Ford. Can you see how volatile the stock is as of late?
Now the five day.
Now a look at it's trading in the morning today up until 11:30 a.m..
Now here is my trading experience on the day.
20 contracts in at 10:05 a.m. at $12.00 each and out at 10:38 a.m. for $18.00 each. That's six dollars profit a contract. It all happened very quickly. Are you able to look at the chart above and see how the chart dipped during that period of time? If you don't play options and want to don't start by making trades like this. Well then again some traders only only make trades like this. It's not uncommon to see a $300.00 trade quicky go to $3,000. It's Ford. Times are changing and Ford feels it most. This leads to yet another point. Being a trader is not everyones cup of tea. Ford options are just something that most people would not want to be thinking about. Pity. ***** Yet another example. This time on a Thursday with one hour and eight minutes to go in the trading session. Take a minute and try to figure out what is happening.
Ford is up .12 cents on the day. Think of what would happen if it ever gave up this gain by the end of the day or on tomorrow's opening. Welcome to trading Ford options. *** Here they are seven minutes into the Friday morning trading session. Yes there was a profit to be made.

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Waiting For A Drop On The Opening On Bad News - Eli Lilly

Image
Here is the bad news. The company is Eli Lilly. How bad is this news? Well look at it trading in the premarkets. So what do I think? I think the news is a setback of sorts, but not really all that bad. The stock is going to open lower, that's a given. It's like trying to play Boeing after an announcement that an airplane has crashed. So the stock is going to crash and it might have a small rebound and then it's going to slide down some more. A test of sorts will happen sometime in the afternoon. It might stock falling but then where will it go from there? The best case scenario is a recognition that investors got it all wrong and the stock ends up flat on the day. Yet there might be more of a downward dumping of the stock on the close followed by a selloff on tomorrows opening. Should option players be jumping in to play the upside on next week's Calls? That is the question. Here is a look at Boeing on the days after a crash. Day two after the crash was equally as ...
Read more

A Fireside Chat - One Year Options and Thirty Day Options. Which is Better?

Image
Some say to think small, not big. Trying to play Disney options is thinking big. It is a stock slightly out of favor. If we start with it's a three year chart, we will see it is down by about 50% over that period of time. Now it's one year chart. If the stock can break 110 in early 2024 the sky is the limit. It does have a lot of moving parts so anything could happen. Look at these Calls options one year out. One year in options buys a lot of time.They look reasonable. If the stock ever inched up to the $105.00 price level in the three or four months these options would jump up in price by about 50%. Even more if they had really good news. Yet it's the "what-if" aspect of the equation that castes such a trade in doubt. "What if" stories just don't cut it. There are to many variables in play. Then again, why are we even thinking of long-term Call options after a December's rally? Let's switch gears. If consumers are out spending for X-ma...
Read more

News on Polestar , Lucid (Trading After A Reverse Stock Split) Plus Ford News And Vinfast

Image
Look at the one year chart on Polester. Now it's one month chart. What's going on? It's confusing. It was down $.36 cents on the week. If you want you can spend $.20 or $.25 on Puts and hope that the company goes under in the next five or six months. They recently raised more money by releasing more shares so it's running out of options. You can't run at a loss forever and this news will most likely scare off potential new car buyers. This actually is a low number of outstanding Put options. The consensus seems to be that it is not game over yet. Lucid started trading this week on a "one-for-ten" reverse stock split. Here is its one week chart. It was down $1.39 on the week. It's also going to struggle. Both of these stocks have challenges ahead. On a more positive note here is a chart that looks kind of perky. Ford on the week. The stock was down $.03 cents on the week and it was the 3th highest in share volume trading on the NYSE. It appears...
Read more