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Will The Markets Top Out?

The Nasdaq Composite index closed up 4.7% on the week. the S&P 500 index, was up 3.6% and the D.J.I.A.was up 3%. Given the elevated volatility levels options have become extremely expensive to buy. Here for example is how Avis Budget traded on Friday. At one point in the day the 300 series of Calls traded as high as $15.43 on the day. The stock never traded much ovee the $302.00 range. What an exorbitant premium forming part of this equation. ........ Now look at the prices on this week's upcoming Calls and Puts. ... What happened to the old days of paying $5.00 or $6.00 for one week out options on stocks in this price range? Look at how Caterpillar jumped on the week on no real news? Up like $83.00 from it's low of the week back on a Monday. Here now is what a one week out just slightly "out-of-the-money" 790 series of Puts is trading at. That's not as bad as the premiums on Avis Budget but look at Caterpillar's thirty day chart. Actually the stoc...
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Ford Puts - sometimes they will surprise!

Back to an old friend. This blog is about why trading stock options on the stock "Ford Motors" can suprise. It's also about trading options I call "penny like options". In this instance I am trading options priced at twelve cents. For first time readers that really means $12.00. Now, a one day and five day chart on Ford. Can you see how volatile the stock is as of late?
Now the five day.
Now a look at it's trading in the morning today up until 11:30 a.m..
Now here is my trading experience on the day.
20 contracts in at 10:05 a.m. at $12.00 each and out at 10:38 a.m. for $18.00 each. That's six dollars profit a contract. It all happened very quickly. Are you able to look at the chart above and see how the chart dipped during that period of time? If you don't play options and want to don't start by making trades like this. Well then again some traders only only make trades like this. It's not uncommon to see a $300.00 trade quicky go to $3,000. It's Ford. Times are changing and Ford feels it most. This leads to yet another point. Being a trader is not everyones cup of tea. Ford options are just something that most people would not want to be thinking about. Pity. ***** Yet another example. This time on a Thursday with one hour and eight minutes to go in the trading session. Take a minute and try to figure out what is happening.
Ford is up .12 cents on the day. Think of what would happen if it ever gave up this gain by the end of the day or on tomorrow's opening. Welcome to trading Ford options. *** Here they are seven minutes into the Friday morning trading session. Yes there was a profit to be made.

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