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"Tony The Tiger" - A Food Stock

The mood of Wall Street is now changing as the reality of tariffs is starting to kick in. Two weeks ago not so much so. Kelloggs had "so-so" earnings come out a few weeks ago and the stock exploded upwards. Note the very last line above mentions the effects of tariffs are not taken into consideration. So many stocks with "so-so" earning reports have jumped in price based on the "lets make America great again" slogan. Deere stock is shooting to the moon as I keep writing about in spite of declining sales in the last quarter. The sentiment seems to be that they are immune to tariffs. On paper they might be. Read this. Americans are struggling to buy gas, eggs and insurance. Total housing starts in the U.S.in 2024 were down 3.9%. Walmart, the recent darling stock in the last four weeks for Call option players woke up this morning with an earnings report which was healthy but with came with some caveats. Here is what happened. Perhaps the U.S. is starting ...
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Can You Play Deere For A Friday Morning Pop? It's Tricky.

Maybe, here is it's five day chart at the close on a Thursday. Yet a five day chart isn't going to help you in figuring out what is going to happen next.
Which way, up or down? Here are the slightly "out-of-the" money Calls as of a Thursday June 6th closing with one day to go in their trading life.
You can see more people like the upside than the downside? That's always the way it seems to be. Now here are some slightly "in-the-money" Puts.
The stock has gone sideways all week. The number of open contracts on these now "one-day" options are very light so that will have no effect on which way this stock will move. Recent history tells us that one day Friday reversals on this stock are a frequent occurance. Wait until it opens and moves in one direction and then get before it moves in opposite diection. Buy "out-of the-money" options and hope for a three dollar swing in the options. That's not much of a strategy and look at how few traders are playing that game. No one really is. Yet recent histories tells us one day reversals off this magnitude are a very common occurance. Is this a reckless trade? Yes very reckless. If however you are coming off a quick win from playing options on something else it might be something you might feel comfortable entertaining. Let's watch now and see how this situation plays itself. It tanked on the opening and quickly pulled itself up.
Here was the opportunity to play a reversal.
This all happened in the first hour of trading. Now here is how it was trading at 1:15 p.m.
Now the final one day chart.
Remember with option trading the rule is on Friday retail traders must be out of their option positons at 3 p.m.. Now the five day chart.
It's funny when you can double your money or make even more on a trading day when the stock really didn't do anything.

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